Spring and Summer 2025
Named and expected winter storm set to arrive from Friday, and it WILL bring widespread snow + When are where snow warnings are likely to be issued? Explained…
Prior to the now first named and expected storm arriving across our shores during the early hours of Friday morning we will also see rain turning temporarily to snow or heavy and settling snow in places (higher and lower elevations) on Thursday afternoon and evening in parts across the northern half of the UK and Ireland and potentially in some parts as far south as central England, Wales, and to the east of Ireland.
The named winter storm will then make its presence felt across large parts of the UK and Ireland from around late Thursday and during the early hours of Friday, initially bringing with it strong winds and heavy rain.
These strong winds could also become very strong and reach over at least 70-90 MPH in some of the worst hit regions during Friday, particularly in some western parts of the country, Scotland, and across parts of Northern Ireland.
It WILL also be cold enough for some widespread and disruptive heavy snow showers to form from expected these developments during Friday, and I would be very surprised if there aren’t any snow warnings in place from elsewhere across some large parts of northern England and Scotland and Northern Ireland for this period.
Parts as far south as some central regions could also see rain turning to temporary snow during this same period of earlier Friday but there is a bit more of a fine line for being definitive on snow occurring here, and will have to be more of a wait and see event for these parts.
However, our forecast still also fully expects widespread snow showers to continue in the days after this (something our forecast has always stated for these dates) as I will explain.
From around Friday evening and into early Saturday will see further snow and heavy snow across some large parts of the north, including northern England, Scotland, and Northern Ireland, for which apt weather warnings are also likely to be issued.
Those snow showers will continue into this weekend and could also become well-organised to give some moderate to heavy and potentially accumulating snow in parts as far south as the capital and southern England and some central regions (for which warnings are also likely to follow from elsewhere).
Early to mid-Saturday will see that snow risk being highlighted by others in southern England and potentially towards the capital of the country, and around Saturday evening and into the early hours of Sunday WILL see the snow risk heightening once again across some large parts of the north including Scotland and northern England and potentially to the north and west of Ireland a little earlier.
Some of these final snow and heavy snow showers for this week WILL also be likely to reach as parts as far south as some central regions and parts of Wales during this same end of the week period.
Our dated winter storm warnings and snow expectations from several days earlier for these exact days and dates.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1139378431525110/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1140465578083062/?app=fbl
Our most recent week ahead forecast also went a little further and strongly showed at least 1-2 named storms for this upcoming period:
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1141949544601332/?app=fbl
James Madden: Exacta Weather
(22/01/2025)
Calm Before The Expected Winter Storms & Snow...
The start of this week and the next few days will see a continuation of thick cloud cover, mist/fog in places, and some passing showers in among some fairly calm and cool weather.
However, the calm before the storm quote will be very apt here, as some strong weather systems and/or potentially named winter storms look set to push in from the Atlantic later in the week.
Prior to this and throughout Thursday, we will see those showers increasing in nature across large parts of the country, and they will also start to turn wintry and snowy, even to some lower levels across some large parts of the northern half of the UK and Ireland and in parts potentially as far south as some central regions.
The 2 x expected winter storms and/or named storms (significant low-pressure areas) will then make their approach around Friday and again on Sunday/Monday, bringing with them strong to exceptionally strong winds at times and rain to begin with.
However, it will also be cold enough at particular times during this Friday-to-Sunday/Monday period for widespread and disruptive snow showers to develop across large parts of the UK and Ireland in among these windy and stormy conditions.
Time to consider battening down those hatches for more winter storms once again (due to long-term Gulf Stream changes) and preparing for further snow!
All as previously covered in our earlier forecast expectations and further winter storms for these same dates...
May I also apologise and explain regarding the lateness of this week's more detailed week-ahead update...
Unfortunately, early Monday or at the weekend seems to have become a prime time for certain aspects of the press to continue stealing and twisting my hard forecast work (I switched it to these days to avoid this) and I really don't like having to mix things up a bit on my part to prove this and feel sort of deceitful in having to now hold back certain information from what I would have normally put out to within the public domain by now.
However, the amount of people who continue to make money out of my back and steal my work is literally at ridiculous levels and needs addressing, as they are also not thorough with what has been said and can often include misleading headlines that don't match my included "quotations."
Additionally, to prove this further and remain honest to myself and my page followers, even though a cold easterly was on the cards within other third-party model projections, did any of my updates use or mention the words "easterly" or "beast from the east" ONCE prior to or during these projections from elsewhere?
I only ever referred to the "easterly" potential once it was passing or had passed altogether, and please feel free to check this for yourself in all the dated posts below.
Additionally, I also pointed out VERY QUICKLY in numerous updates and DURING these changes from elsewhere that the alternative and equally weighted scenario would still bring winter storms, widespread snow prospects and colder conditions than anticipated with the expected timings for this for the exact dates of this week.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1138939054902381/?app=fbl
I am also well aware that many of you are aware of this whole charade with the press and people copying and misinterpreting my hard work, but there are others who aren't and just see the version that pays and benefits the others the best.
James Madden: Exacta Weather
UK & Ireland Spring & Summer 2025 Weather Reports…
Any preorder or lifetime and 5-year subscribers who haven't already received the above reports or previous subscribers (we believe most of you have them already) please email us at the following email, and we will sort this as quickly as possible for you:
High pressure dominates this week with dense fog in places and less cold/mild days before the cold and snow start to return once again...
As expected, and to match our short-, moderate-, and long-range weather projections, the upcoming week will be less cold and potentially even mild on certain days with largely dry weather for many parts, and the worst of any weather types will come in the form of mist and fog as high pressure dominates for much of the week.
Additionally, some of those fog patches could be quite dense in places, particularly more so across southern and central regions and parts of Wales and Ireland, and some drizzle or light rain could also start to impact places by next weekend.
However, for in and around the start of next week (20th January) and through much of that week, we will start to see the overall theme turning colder and more wintry again, paving the way for some further notable cold and widespread snow once again for the UK and Ireland throughout late January and into early February.
As covered in our earlier forecast expectations below:
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1133128178816802/?app=fbl
https://vm.tiktok.com/ZGdS21ep2/
James Madden: Exacta Weather
The preorder spring and summer 2025 forecast 50% off introduction offer for only 9.00 instead of 18.00 will be removed once the forecasts go live.
The Severe Wintry Weather & Snow Persist Across Britain & Ireland This Week, But For How Long & When Will The More Memorable Cold/Snow Arrive...
The wintry, icy, and snowy conditions have been persisting in some large parts of the north overnight and into early today (Monday), and some parts of northern, central, and eastern and southern England are all at risk of this precipitation band turning wintry in places through today and into this evening, and in parts of Wales and Ireland.
Additionally, our last several website updates and dated postings on here, and since the week before last, have clearly stated that this snowy period would persist for several days once it started and again in parts further south from further expected low-pressure areas in this period.
One of those low-pressure areas will arrive in and around Wednesday afternoon/evening and into early Thursday, and this will once again bring the risk of some moderate to heavy snow in parts of southern England and towards the capital.
The current projections are also for this low pressure to be more of a southern England-only snow event unless we see some changes to drag in some parts further north between now and then.
However, frequent snow showers will still continue to develop across parts away from the south of the UK and Ireland during this working week, and although anywhere could see a passing one, they will be more likely in coastal areas and parts of Wales in addition to some further heavier snow showers across Scotland and Northern Ireland/Ireland.
Additionally, our last several website updates and dated postings on here stated that these conditions would start to head back to normal by the end of this upcoming week, but only after another low-pressure and stormy area brings the risk of further at least transient snow for in and around next weekend and prior to this event starting to turn things much milder.
At present the other main third-party computer models are not fully buying a stormy or at least transient snowy period as this low-pressure feature passes through around next weekend, but we could see details of this changing as the week progresses, and it is definitely a work in process for the finer details and its overall snow prospects as of yet, but a respite in the colder weather and snow potential will reduce for several days significantly following on from this milder and windy weather and rain transition afterwards.
Unfortunately, with the thaw will come ample flood warnings once again...
Additionally, our several-month-ahead winter subscribers report covered a major snow event for these exact dates in early January, in addition to what we expect to be an even more memorable weather event later in January and possibly into at least early February, which we still expect to occur with even higher confidence on an already high confidence scenario due to the recent and expected cold and snow that has taken shape so nicely.
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter
Throughout much of the last working week, we had snow across Scotland and in parts of northeast England and Ireland, and although not to the exact scale we had expected, it snowed when we said it would again, and images are available of snow in these locations for then via X and our Facebook page.
However, the more recent and continuing snowstorm of this weekend was more to scale and included snow in parts that were never meant to see any snow (London), according to others (it was also always touted and covered as the biggest of these TWO snowy/stormy periods on our part).
Our posting from 29 December and below (8 DAYS AGO) covering the past working week snow events and something bigger for the weekend/snowstorm, including parts of southern England.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1124976309631989/?app=fbl
Additionally, below are some of the heaviest snow images from yesterday, courtesy of X, and the link provided below also contains further images of the snowstorm and snow-filled roads across some large parts of the country during early Sunday morning.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1130163385779948/?app=fbl
For those non-snow enthusiasts or more warm-weather lovers…
Our UK & Ireland Spring & Summer 2025 long-range forecasts provide details on when and what to expect for the upcoming spring and summer 2025 periods.
The full and final spring 2025 (March-May) and preliminary summer 2025 (June-August) weather forecasts will shortly be ready and sent out via PDF download and delivered instantly to subscribers/lifetime subscribers.
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
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https://exactaweather.com/autumn-2024-free-report
https://exactaweather.com/summer-2024-free-report
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https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
James Madden: Exacta Weather
(06/01/2025)
A Multitude of Widespread Snow Events from Saturday for the UK & Ireland + When, Where & How…
The risk of any wintry weather or snow will continue throughout this afternoon and evening in some coastal fringes of eastern England and Scotland, in addition to some possible wintry weather across at least higher ground in some parts of the far north and west of Ireland.
This will then pave the way for the first of a multitude of widespread and major snow events for several days throughout much of Saturday, but particularly more so from around midday for many parts of the UK and Ireland.
Initially the snow and wintry weather will start to form during Saturday morning/afternoon across parts of southwest England and Southern Ireland.
The snow will then expand to many other southern parts of the country, including in and around the capital, before spreading further afield and intensifying across parts of central England, Yorkshire, and many parts of Ireland, before intensifying even further during Saturday evening and into much of Sunday across large parts of northern and northeast England, Scotland, and Northern Ireland.
To summarise and conclude for the weekend snow event, many parts of the far south (UK and Ireland) are likely to see snow or moderate settling snow in places from around early Saturday for an hour or two and then later on Monday.
Other southern regions will also experience some slightly more intensified moderate to heavy settling snow showers in comparison to parts of the very far south as this winter storm begins to take shape on Saturday and clashes with the cold conditions as it moves northwards/northeastwards.
Additionally, many parts of central England and Yorkshire and many other parts of Ireland are also likely to see snow or moderate to heavy and settling snow in places from Saturday afternoon, particularly down the central spine of the country and in parts of Staffordshire and Yorkshire for any heavier snow.
Additionally, some extra caution must be advised for the next region summaries, as some large parts of northern and northeast England, Wales, Scotland, and Northern Ireland are at risk of some potentially severe conditions from some very heavy and settling snow throughout Saturday evening and into much of Sunday, and major disruption or a potential red weather warning could even be issued in some of these parts, particularly across parts of northwest England and Wales.
From next Monday and through much of next week, we will also see the snow risk remaining in place for many, and it will also significantly heighten and return across parts of southern England once again as further expected weather features sweep southwards during early next week, and a potentially later-in-the-week stormy period looks to keep the snow prospects, or at least transient snow prospects, quite good during next week, particularly during the Monday to Wednesday/Thursday period and in and around next weekend and how they will coincide with the colder conditions for more further widespread snow events.
A breakdown of these colder and wintry conditions is more likely to happen towards the end of the next week, but only after one final transient snowy and stormy episode will we see some sort of respite from these overall conditions.
Our much earlier forecast updates on this stated:
"Further multiple and significant low-pressure areas will then continue to barrage in across our shores and bring further very windy weather throughout this upcoming WEEKEND under a much colder airflow, and this will initially bring further snow and heavy snow to parts of SOUTHERN England and SOUTHERN Ireland on multiple occasions prior to the north on this occasion."
"However, parts of the north of the UK and Ireland will also face further significant snow later this WEEKEND and continuing into NEXT WEEK as these significant areas of low pressure and stormy conditions continue to arrive but under much more favourable, optimum, and much colder conditions for multiple and widespread snow events across large parts of the UK and Ireland over a quite SUSTAINED time period."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1124976309631989/?app=fbl
"However, by SUNDAY many parts of the country (UK and Ireland) are now likely to be at the risk of seeing snow and heavy snow, and snow warnings will be in place across large parts of the country (north and south) as a MAJOR spell of cold and snow arrives across our shores and persists with variation for SEVERAL days."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1126402869489333/?app=fbl
James Madden: Exacta Weather
When and where to expect snow over the coming days, and a big snow event is still set to strike this weekend!
I'm unsure as to why others have changed their outlook or warning statuses for this week.
Additionally, when does their forecast ever match mine, and then 90% of the time it flips at the last minute... I totally ignore their projections the best I can, tbf, and they have also ALL started updating just after me of late.
As far as I can see from my own projections and those of the GFS, some large parts of the UK and Ireland will still be getting snow from Wednesday to Friday of this week and in parts as far south as southern and eastern England.
Some changes for the weekend and the low-pressure areas, which I don't totally buy yet, but the alternative scenario will still bring snow across the board as that expected cold on our part digs in further and as expected/covered in many other updates.
I hope this extra update helps and sort of explains, but at the same time conclusively proves I pay little or no attention to elsewhere, news, or TV forecasts (something I am very proud of).
Our overnight projections and those of others, such as the GFS, still show further heavy snow falling across the far north of Scotland and potentially in some parts of Northern Ireland during the early part of New Year's Day/tomorrow.
Additionally, they also show that a decent snow event is likely to form across parts of northern and northeast England during the evening of the 1st and potentially in some parts of Wales and to the west of Ireland as any rain turns to snow in these parts.
Some further but less intensive snow is also likely to develop in this same period in some central regions and across parts of Yorkshire, and some currently questionable snow is still possible in some southern areas depending on how far south the precipitation turns wintry in this period.
The snow showers will then become less frequent or less widespread throughout Friday as it begins to turn colder from the north, but some snow showers are still likely to occur across parts of Scotland and eastern England and potentially in parts to the north and east of Ireland.
However, by Sunday many parts of the country (UK and Ireland) are now likely to be at the risk of seeing snow and heavy snow, and snow warnings will be in place across large parts of the country (north and south) as a major spell of cold and snow arrives across our shores and persists with variation for several days.
A close-running low-pressure feature also needs monitoring for further snow opportunities across southern areas for this same period.
Additionally, this will also pave the way for something even more memorable and potent in terms of cold and snow for later in January, and to match our unchanged several-month-ahead winter report for the exact same dates.
James Madden: Exacta Weather
To celebrate the arrival of 2025 this is one of your last chances for 90% off the 5-year subscription to all seasonal forecasts at just £9.99 (returns to £99.99 on 01/01/2025).
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
This will grant you instant access to the rest of the winter reports, plus the upcoming spring 2025 and preliminary summer 2025 long-range weather reports within the next few weeks.
When, where, and how widespread snow will fall over the next 7-10 days as a sustained and expected cold, wintry, and stormy period with multiple widespread snow events begins...
(both in the north and south of the UK and Ireland)...
I hope everyone has had a good festive period that was dominated by a spell of rather benign, mild, drizzly, and foggy weather for many.
However, the calm before the storm, or storms and widespread snowstorms, would be more apt, as the upcoming week will now see an upsurge from this quieter weather activity as more expected stormy and windy weather returns (some of these storms could be named) and coincides with some much colder weather to deliver multiple and widespread snow events across some large parts of the country.
Initially, the first of these heavy and settling snow showers will begin during the early hours of Monday morning across parts of the far north of Scotland and even to lower levels in these parts whilst persisting throughout much of Tuesday, with elsewhere remaining more cloudy, showery, and windy.
However, the 'first' significant low-pressure area for the upcoming week will begin to arrive and have implications upon our weather with very windy conditions from around the early hours of Wednesday and into Thursday, when it will be cold enough for some significant and heavy snow showers to develop across higher and lower ground across large swathes of the northern half of the country (both the UK and Ireland).
Additionally, as the colder air starts to dig in during late Wednesday and into Thursday, the widespread snow risk will then transfer into more central and southern parts of the country, and any earlier rain in these parts will also turn to snow later in parts of southeast and eastern England.
Further multiple and significant low-pressure areas will then continue to barrage in across our shores and bring further very windy weather throughout this upcoming weekend under a much colder airflow, and this will initially bring further snow and heavy snow to parts of southern England and southern Ireland on multiple occasions prior to the north on this occasion.
However, parts of the north of the UK and Ireland will also face further significant snow later this weekend and continuing into next week as these significant areas of low pressure and stormy conditions continue to arrive but under much more favourable, optimum, and much colder conditions for multiple and widespread snow events across large parts of the UK and Ireland over a quite sustained time period.
Additionally, to increase confidence, I can state that these imminent snow events are of much higher confidence than anything we experienced in late November and the winter to date, and I can stick my neck on the line with this one and say that MANY parts of the country (UK and Ireland) WILL see some notable and heavy snow from Wednesday morning and evening and for up to several days after.
The following double-posted update from mid-December also stated the following in reference to this "snowy" and "stormy" period for these exact dates:
"However, another potentially snowy and stormy period could still follow on from this, and for in and around the final days of December and to start 2025."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1116124123850541/?app=fbl
An additional Christmas website and Facebook update also promised widespread snow events as a parting gift for Christmas for these exact dates by stating:
"Our several-month-ahead subscribers winter report and recent forecast indications for the 'final days of December and early 2025' are still highly set for a widespread snowy period on our current forecast indicators (around early next week starting 30 Dec)."
"I'll be back before long to bring home that late December snow event, which should then also be on the radars of all the others."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1120559536740333/?app=fbl
These also match our much longer-range forecast projections and those of our unchanged winter 2024/25 subscribers report for these exact dates in late December and early 2025.
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
Enjoy, everyone, but also take care!
James Madden: Exacta Weather
Hi everyone,
Before I wish you all an early Merry Christmas for this year, I would like to leave you all with a parting gift, so to speak, and with it being that special time of year and to lift any dampened spirits for those who were hoping for snow on Christmas Day and/or for those who haven't seen any snow so far this autumn and winter, and last but not least, for all our loyal year-round followers.
Here it is...
Our several-month-ahead subscribers winter report and recent forecast indications for the 'final days of December and early 2025' are still highly set for a widespread snowy period on our current forecast indicators (around early next week starting 30 Dec, possibly slightly earlier), and this is also something that some of the main third-party computer models are already becoming repeatedly aware of in recognition of a similar widespread snowy scenario for these exact same dates.
Additionally, the following detailed and recent update in the link below also covered this mild Christmas, the late December and early January snowy scenario, and what to expect for certain dates in January 2025 in a little finer detail.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1119877460141874/?app=fbl
At this point I really need to spend some important time with my daughter and family over the next several days, guys, in addition to the important foundation work and lengthy forecast analysis for the upcoming spring 2025 forecast and some important website additions for early 2025.
You also don't really need me to tell you that it will be largely settled and mild for the upcoming Christmas period (the worst conditions for the next several days will come in the form of fog and/or drizzle).
Obviously I'm gutted at the white Christmas prospects being diminished once again and restricted to the highest of ground in Scotland, and if at ALL (the official terms are for one definitive flake of snow to fall and are NOT actually guaranteed for within the 24 hours of Christmas Day across our shores for this year as it stands).
However, at the same time, I am also personally very grateful for several days of respite in the weather from this point at an important time of the year and the more constant short- to moderate-range analysis that is usually required on my part, and I'll be back before long to bring home that late December snow event, which should then also be on the radars of all the others.
Merry early Christmas, everyone.
Regards,
James Madden: Exacta Weather
Widespread snow images from the weekend across Scotland, Northern Ireland, and Northern England, and in parts as far south as Yorkshire and Staffordshire during earlier Sunday:
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1119609063502047/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1119678176828469/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1119851390144481/?app=fbl
How The Big Snow Event For This Weekend Is Likely To Play Out For The UK & Ireland...
Throughout late tomorrow evening (Saturday) and into Sunday, we will be cold enough for widespread and heavy snow showers to start developing across large parts of the country (even to lower levels).
Throughout Saturday afternoon and evening, we will see the first of these widespread and heavy snow showers forming and falling across some large parts of Scotland and large parts of northern England and potentially to parts of northeast England and also across parts of Northern Ireland.
These heavy snow showers are very likely to bring some significant and accumulating snow across higher ground in combination with accumulating snow over a large span of some much lower levels in these parts.
The snow showers will continue for much of Sunday and could also become temporarily problematic across parts of Yorkshire and some central/Midland regions and in eastern parts of Ireland.
Our forecast indicators also keep returning wintry weather and snow showers in parts as far south as southern and eastern England during Sunday, and despite being unlikely to reach the same scale or intensity as all the above localities, there is still a good chance of some less notable wintry weather or snow appearing towards the capital in this same period and after some potentially more settled and even sunny periods for these parts beforehand whilst this expected snowstorm begins to take hold and shape elsewhere during late Saturday and early Sunday.
Additionally, it will also be quite windy for many in this same period, and this will also allow for the formation of some blizzards in parts of Scotland and northern England in this same period, particularly but not necessarily restricted to higher ground.
I am also pretty certain that social media and various webcam images will more than conclusively prove and verify most, if not all, of the above snow forecast details for this upcoming period (high and low levels) despite a lack of consensus on this from elsewhere at present (they are hoping this will be a damp squib, but it will NOT be).
By tomorrow evening the many, many forecasters and TV forecasters who have been repeatedly stating that there will be "NO snow whatsoever in the run-up to Christmas" will have to eat their own regurgitated words once again and issue snow warnings as conditions on the ground and many snow images will prove in this period.
Additionally, as covered earlier in the week, the snow won't last into Christmas, and from around Christmas Eve and over the upcoming festive period, it will then actually become quite settled and less cold as high pressure looks set to influence our weather pattern for several days, and the worst of any weather types will only probably come in the form of fog.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1116124123850541/?app=fbl
To summarise, large parts of Scotland and northern England (high and low levels) will see the worst of these heavy snow showers and even blizzards developing in places, particularly in western parts of Scotland and northern England.
Some heavy and settling snow is also likely across parts of northeast England, Wales, Yorkshire, and some central/Midlands regions, and parts as far south as southern/eastern England could even see some less severe wintry weather or snow in places on Sunday.
Parts of Northern and eastern Ireland in particular could see some moderate to heavy snow in this same period, whilst some other large parts of Ireland are also at risk of some less severe wintry weather or snow in places during Saturday evening and into Sunday.
Our winter subscribers report will end up being just one day out with this from several months ahead for these exact dates.
Enjoy, everyone!
James Madden: Exacta Weather
For today only we will be offering our a whole 5-year subscription to all seasonal forecasts and future snow and big freeze dates for January and February 2025, will be instantly delivered by digital delivery at just £19.99.
This will be prior to some important website maintenance and new changes that are set to follow in the next several days for early 2025 and will then be priced at £99.99.
Early Winter Storm Warning for This Upcoming Weekend + the Rest of December/Christmas and What We Expect in January...
An expected stormy period of weather (potentially severe in places) and further, more potent snow prospects originally for in and around 23-27 December from our several-month-ahead and unchanged subscribers report is currently looking like arriving and being more prominent for around Sunday (22nd December) of this week instead.
This will also bring a significantly heightened risk for more notable and widespread snow prospects across the northern half of the country at the very least (possibly a bit further with any slight changes between now and then), in among some widespread stormy conditions for elsewhere from around Saturday evening and into early Sunday on our current projections, but particularly more so across the northern half of the country.
I also wouldn’t be surprised to see another named storm developing from elsewhere here (something we have been covering for several months around these exact dates).
Unfortunately for snow or, fortunately for more settled weather lovers, this would then look to set the way for some normal to even mild temperatures and potentially more settled weather around the Christmas period on the current main third-party repeated projections of recent days.
Additionally, the same several-month-ahead winter subscribers report for this winter also clearly stated this as a possibility for around the Christmas period (less cold or mild weather) if we were to experience any limited or later stratospheric interference in this period (I will also publish the full report soon for all to see).
However, another potentially snowy and stormy period could still follow on from this, and for in and around the final days of December and to start 2025.
Additionally, the same winter 2024/25 forecast also clearly depicted that the coldest and most snowiest part of this winter would occur in January 2025 and for which part and why, and it also noted it as a “potentially memorable weather period,” and if any part of this winter will resemble a big freeze or a decent run of widespread snow events, then this is the period it will occur within (something I have been covering repeatedly for several months now).
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
James Madden: Exacta Weather (17/12/2024)
Winter Weather Update: Turning very unsettled and windy + cold enough for snow in places from tomorrow evening + the rest of December and January 2025…
That expected low pressure will influence some very windy weather and showers for many from tomorrow.
Additionally, it will also be cold enough for some of these showers to turn wintry in places and to snow from Wednesday evening and into early Thursday.
The highest risk of where this will occur will initially come across parts to the west of Scotland, northern England, and Northern Ireland, and later to parts of Wales during this Wednesday evening and into early Thursday period, and despite being definitive across higher ground, we could still see some snow showers appearing to lower levels in this period.
Additionally, some of these showers could still also turn briefly wintry or to transient snow and appear in some central and southern areas when it is likely to be significantly cooler during these same overnight and early morning periods from Wednesday evening, and possibly more so in some parts of southwest England and to the east of Ireland.
The expected stormy period (potentially severe in places) and further, more potent snow prospects in and around 23-27 December from our several-month-ahead and unchanged subscribers report is currently looking like arriving for around Sunday (22nd December) of this week instead.
Unfortunately for snow or fortunately for settled weather lovers, this would then look to set the way for some normal to even mild temperatures and potentially settled weather around the Christmas period on the current main third-party repeated projections of recent days.
Additionally, the same several-month-ahead winter subscribers report for this winter also clearly stated this as a possibility for around the Christmas period (less cold or mild weather) if we were to experience any limited or later stratospheric interference in this period (I will also publish the full report soon for all to see).
However, another potentially snowy and stormy period could still follow on from this, and for in and around the final days of December and to start 2025.
Additionally, the same winter 2024/25 forecast also clearly depicted that the coldest and most snowiest part of this winter would occur in January 2025 and for which part and why, and it also noted it as a “potentially memorable weather period,” and if any part of this winter will resemble a big freeze or a decent run of widespread snow events, then this is the period it will occur within (something I have been covering repeatedly for several months now).
It also said absolutely nothing about 3 x sudden stratospheric warmings actually occurring within this period; that is just certain aspects of the press that continue to misinterpret my work with their headline titles, which only benefit them, I'm afraid.
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
James Madden: Exacta Weather
Only 14 Days Left On Our Subscribers 70% OFF Winter Offer…
The end-of-year subscribers sale with 70% off our 5-year memberships to all seasonal forecasts (£29.99), plus January and February 2025 snow dates, ends soon and will return to the full price of £99.99.
Cold enough for snow from Wednesday evening and into Thursday/Friday (north and south of the UK and across certain parts of Ireland)…
The upcoming week will bring a very mixed theme of weather for many parts of the country with further grey skies and cool to cold weather among some potential brighter and less cold spells and windy to potentially very windy conditions for many at times.
Additionally, it will also be cold enough for any precipitation to turn to snow during this period, particularly from around Wednesday evening and into Thursday and Friday from some expected low-pressure features that will also make it quite windy for many.
Initially the precipitation will begin to turn wintry and to snow across parts of Scotland, northern England, Wales, and potentially across some large parts of Ireland during this same Wednesday evening to Thursday period, and despite being definitive for it to snow across higher ground in this period in these parts, there is no reason as to why some much lower levels won't also see snow during this developing period.
Our current forecast projections also show a higher than normal probability for some moderate to heavy snow at times across parts of northern England and Wales, and a more moderate to slightly less high possibility of this in some central regions of the country and to the east of Ireland for this same period.
Additionally, throughout Thursday and into Friday will also bring the risk of some at least transient and moderate to heavy snow in parts as far south as central and southern England and in and around the capital, particularly during the late and early hours in this period, when it will be significantly cooler and more optimum for snow to fall and settle in these parts.
These dates are also within the exact range of our subscribers long-range winter forecast expectations for another at least 2-4 day cold and wintry period with some further widespread snow events during December 11-19.
Additionally, as we said they would much earlier, the main third-party computer models and other forecasters are now starting to incorporate widespread snow showers for this same period below.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1110690221060598/?app=fbl
To conclude this update and despite posting less frequent but more detailed weather updates on Facebook at particular times in recent months to prevent clear misuse and clear copying from elsewhere, our Facebook page statistics have continued at record levels for the second consecutive year with a combined page visits, views, and reach of nearly 1.2 million for 2024!
Additionally, nearly 250,000 of those 1.2 million page statistics have come about within the last 28 days and taken us over that 1 million barrier (something I thought we would miss out on this year).
Those are some pretty pleasing page statistics to look at at this stage of the year once again for a very small page of less than 18K likes, and it shows me that I'm going in the right direction with Exacta Weather, and may I also thank all the loyal followers who have contributed to these figures and continued to support my long-range weather forecast analysis and forecasts.
James Madden: Exacta Weather
The end-of-year subscribers sale with 70% off our 5-year memberships to all seasonal forecasts (£29.99), plus January and February 2025 snow dates, ends soon and will return to the full price of £99.99.
More settled with dense fog before the widespread snow risk begins to heighten...
Now the stormy weather has fizzled out and quieter conditions begin to usher in to start this week, our detailed week-ahead forecast for this period of last week stated:
"Unfortunately, another deep low-pressure area looks to influence our weather towards the end of this working week and into early next weekend, which will initially bring further wet and windy weather for many, and not the big snow event that others may have been wrongly anticipating or hoping we would judge incorrectly for this period."
"Again, windy weather and rain are our forecasting terminology used a lot in this week's forecast, and this particular section of the forecast matches our much earlier subscribers December report for some mild December weather and further stormy conditions at times in this period, plus a transient snow event December 2-4."
"However, following on from this, we do still also expect it to turn significantly colder from this next upcoming weekend, and the first widespread wintry showers from these changes are therefore expected to occur and be visible in places throughout next weekend."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1103668445096109/?app=fbl
https://exactaweather.com/uk-long-range-weather
Some transient snow did also occur for the expected dates, and when to expect more potent wintry conditions and widespread snow below…
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1107993504663603/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1108818791247741/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1108876597908627/?app=fbl
Our detailed postings from several months earlier on why there are so many storms and their overall intensity, and prior to several more storms for the correct dates on our part (long- to moderate-range forecasts Sep-Dec)…
https://vm.tiktok.com/ZGdMeXSyG/
https://vm.tiktok.com/ZGdMe1DHH/
Additionally, the following dated posting from a week earlier also said to expect DENSE FOG for this developing period:
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1105185554944398/?app=fbl
More potent cold and snowy periods are still set to develop on cue for December and when...
From around next weekend and into much of the following week starting December 16 will bring a significantly higher risk than normal for widespread snow events across large parts of the country from some high confidence and expected weather developments on our part.
Additionally, this also matches our much earlier forecast projections and our several-month-ahead winter subscribers report for a more potent and prolonged period of cold and widespread snow to develop for the UK and Ireland during the period of 11-19 December.
More details to follow on this soon, and watch this space for how others will adjust their forecasts for this exact period quoted above.
Regards,
James Madden: Exacta Weather
The end-of-year subscribers sale with 70% off our 5-year memberships to all seasonal forecasts ends soon and will return to the full price of 99.99.
Exacta Weather - UK Short Range Forecast
Cold & Wintry Week Ahead For The UK & Ireland + Widespread Snow Showers + Where/When Snow Answers…
Temperatures dropped to a very cold -7 to -8C in the coldest spots of the country overnight as the expected cold and wintry theme for this week begins to gain more of a stronghold across large parts of the UK and Ireland.
Initially, many parts of the country will begin on a cold and wet note as an area of low pressure influences some heavy rain showers alongside those colder temperatures throughout today.
However, as we progress into early evening tonight (Monday), some of this wet weather will begin to turn to snow at times across parts of northern England and Northern Ireland to begin with, and despite it being quite definitive for snow across higher ground in these parts later today, there is also no reason why some of this precipitation won’t also turn wintry or to temporary heavy snow showers at some much lower levels at times as the combination of colder conditions and unsettled weather becomes optimum for a decent risk of snow.
Additionally, the snow risk will then transfer further south to large parts of Wales and central, eastern, and southern regions, including the capital, and to some other parts in the northern half of Ireland during this evening and into Tuesday morning (unusual for November).
Again, despite projections for snow being definitive across higher ground in these above regions, there is also no reason as to why some of this weather won’t turn temporarily wintry or have some heavy snow showers at lower levels as the conditions become ripe for these types of wintry developments during this period.
Our much earlier and within at least several repeated updates and well-viewed TikTok videos also covered the exact dates of in and around 19-20 November for these types of developments to occur (see dated posts below and via the Exacta Weather website).
Additionally, this is something I feel many of the others are either playing down deliberately or they genuinely have little intrinsic knowledge of how the weather and snow work, even in their relatively very short-range projections, and I’m sure certain aspects of social media will provide clear proof and images of these upcoming snow events throughout this week, even to lower levels.
Beyond this first widespread snow event throughout this evening and into tomorrow, we will then see the wintry precipitation and snow showers continuing sporadically across the country throughout the whole working week, and literally anywhere could see a developing snow shower or two, with some more prominent snow showers continuing across the north and in many western and eastern coastal areas, particularly across large parts of Wales and, more unusually but temporarily, in some southern parts of Ireland on our current indications.
Additionally, and more importantly, an area of significant low pressure will then become more threatening to elsewhere and other forecasters from later this week (around Friday to Sunday), and this will signal an end to the cold and wintry weather from elsewhere upon first glance to them and how it will eventually bring a return to some less cold and even mild conditions afterwards.
However, this initially and strongly screams out to me, ‘a transient and widespread snow event’ for large parts of the UK and Ireland for later this week (north and south) as the unsettled and potentially stormy conditions clash with the much colder weather conditions in place across our shores during this given period of around Friday to Sunday, and prior to any changes back to less cold and even mild weather.
The return to mild weather is also likely to be very well documented from elsewhere (easy to predict) and something we put an original timespan on of around 7-10 days in overall duration in our much earlier cold and snow updates for this exact period.
To honor this on cue arrival of the expected cold and widespread snow risk in this period within all our short- to moderate-range dated forecasts and in our 125-days-plus ahead forecast, we will extend the sale price of our 5-page final winter report and further expected snow dates for December to February for a few more days.
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
Happy Monday, everyone, and enjoy!
James Madden: Exacta Weather
Major Cold & Wintry Weather For November + Widespread November Snow To Strike On Cue From Later This Week & Beyond!
From this upcoming weekend will see the first snow showers of the upcoming transition to some much colder weather starting to fall across parts of the north to begin with as an initially quite cold northerly for November begins to establish some expected and quite stark changes for most and if not all parts of the country during this period, as I will explain.
The developing snow showers throughout this weekend will initially be more notable across higher ground and sporadically to some lower levels at times in parts of Scotland, northern England, and Northern Ireland, and then later across some large parts of Wales and potentially to some parts of southwest England.
However, from Monday of next week and through to around Wednesday (18th-20th November) will now bring a significantly heightened risk for some widespread and potentially notable snow for November at times across some large parts of the country from the far north to the far south of the country as the widespread wintry weather and snow showers really begin to take ahold across large parts of the UK and Northern Ireland/Ireland.
Our much earlier updates on this also pinpointed the exact dates of in and around November 19-20 for these changes to start taking effect across our shores.
Additionally, a similar sort of theme is likely to play out throughout the rest of next week, and the signals are strong for the wintry weather and widespread snow risk to continue throughout much of this above period and beyond for the exact key dates we opted for in late November, for which many other forecasters were basically mocking myself/exacta and posting repeated headline titles within their weather updates about NO snow anytime soon.
Time for them to eat their own words and choke on them as a very potent period of wintry weather and quite widespread snow for November arrives on cue across our shores to deliver the first proper and major cold and wintry weather of this autumn and winter.
In essence, there is now likely to be quite a lot of snow warnings in place from this weekend and throughout much of next week, and large parts of the country will certainly experience some form of wintry weather or snow during next week, particularly in some parts of northern, eastern, central, and southern parts of the country later in this given period (heavy snow).
Additionally, our 125+ days ahead subscribers and follow-up forecasts for late November also opted for a high-confidence cold and wintry period for this exact period of November with snow in parts much further south than normal, and after all the expected high pressure rises on our part in the earlier part of the same autumn report for September to November + the earlier stormy periods for the exact dates in September and October.
Enjoy, everyone!
Regards,
James Madden: Exacta Weather
12/11/2024
Further expected widespread snow dates for December to February 2025 in the Winter Weather Outlook + What else to expect… https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
Temperatures peak at a very hot 34.8°C, but turning much cooler and more unsettled. When is the next heat surge likely?
It was the hottest day of the year earlier today, with temperatures falling just short of 35°C (34.8C).
Our detailed posting below and via Facebook above from 4 weeks in advance clearly depicts the incoming heat event for these exact dates by stating:
"The next opportunity of much 'higher' confidence has been repeatedly showing in our forecasts for several weeks now for in and around August 10, and the overall period of August 10-15 looks extremely favourable for some kind of major heat surge due to a strong area of high pressure pushing in across our shores (UK and Ireland)."
"It is important to note that these potential heatwaves or heat surges in August are bonus heatwaves, so to speak, and were not actually part of our original long-range summer forecast, for which we had expected a quick reversion to the predominant cooler and unsettled conditions of much of the summer to date once again."
"However, as with the mid-to-late June heat surge with temperatures exceeding 30°C, which we identified and repeated from late May onwards due to some earlier and repeated forecast indicators that were not in our original projections (still a long range forecast in itself), and this is pretty much the same for this one in and around August 10."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/995325239263764/?app=fbl
Our much earlier forecast indications for this period were also quoted in the national news several weeks ahead of time (Daily Mirror).
"Madden also identified around August 10 to August 15 as when this second "heat surge" will strike."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-faces-high-30cs-heatwave-33239125.amp
The BBC and Met Office apps were almost 10°C out (9.8C) with maximum temperatures in the UK for this period! 🌞 🔥 🥵
Our earlier and dated posting is below:
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1011786310950990/
Our posting from last week in reference to today's maximum temperatures of at least 34°C!
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1013617134101241/
Signals are ever-increasing for the hot to very hot weather to return during late August/later next week and into September...
There are currently some increasing signals for another major heat surge during late August or for one to develop over several days in and around August 20–25 (same as our weekend update on this).
Four consecutive heat surges have occurred for almost or on the exact dates on our part throughout this summer in repeated reports and updates dating anywhere from 4 to 16 weeks in advance, which therefore increases confidence to something moderately higher.
Another hot to very hot period from another high pressure build is now gaining strength for our originally earmarked period to subscribers and our earlier updates for around August 20–25, and is also something I have been covering as a possibility for recent updates.
Additionally, these high pressure rises are even more confident to continue into September at times, but with some notable caveats that have been covered in the subscriber reports and also something that I will post more details on at a later date.
Unfortunately, there is still a quite prolonged and much cooler and unsettled theme on the cards for many prior to this next heat surge, and this is also something I have been forewarning of repeatedly for much of the second half of August.
The following and subsequent dated website and Facebook updates from last week also stated the following in reference to this:
"Unfortunately, beyond this upcoming weekend does look rather cool and unsettled for the foreseeable, with the only crumb of hope coming from a potentially 'low to moderate' confidence heat burst later in August as the cool and unsettled theme becomes the more predominant feature from a more southerly driven jet stream (something we have covered predominantly over the past several months)."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1011786310950990/
"Additionally, from in and around next Wednesday (August 14th) or possibly earlier, we will see a more prolonged run for a southerly driven jet stream developing, which will in turn bring a much cooler and unsettled theme for the foreseeable future for many (you have been warned), and it could also feel quite autumnal at times for the height of summer and August."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1012948724168082/
"However, from Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, we will see areas further north turning gradually and significantly cooler and more unsettled, and this will eventually drag in most, if not all, parts of the country for a potentially prolonged period and somewhat of a potentially widespread thundery breakdown as next week progresses."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1013617134101241/
The subsequent Daily Mirror articles from earlier last month (July) and earlier last week also stated:
Madden reckons the second half of August will bring "some much cooler and unsettled weather."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-faces-high-30cs-heatwave-33239125.amp
Exacta Weather forecaster James Madden said: "At the very least, we are going to see temperatures well in excess of 30C to 35C in the hottest parts of the country later this week!"
Madden did add that, after this upcoming weekend, conditions do "look rather cool and unsettled for the foreseeable."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-weather-exact-dates-heatwave-33398643
But the summer and sun will still be returning, plus for Ireland too.
More forecast details are to follow on this shortly.
James Madden: Exacta Weather
12/08/2024, 20:00
UK & Ireland Autumn and Winter 2024/25 Weather Reports 🍂🍃❄️🌨️🥶
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
This is currently the only section that is monetized via Exacta Weather, and any revenue generated will simply be reinvested in trying to cover running costs and future free services via the website or apps.
This works out at less than £4 per report for 5 reports in total and is for those in need of a longer-range forecast for business or commercial requirements.
1 x 4-page Autumn 2024 report upon purchase (September - December)
1 x SSW report and dates for early winter 2024/25 upon purchase
1 x September 2024 report in August
1 x October 2024 report in September
1 x November 2024 report in October
Instant email delivery upon purchase
Temperatures start to rise today as a HOT SUMMER WEEKEND arrives on cue for many!
From today (Thursday), we will see high pressure starting to push in across our shores, and this will start to influence a significant rise in temperatures from today and into this weekend.
This will initially see temperatures reaching or nearing 20°C throughout this afternoon quite widely, and some parts of the southeast could see temperatures reaching or passing 25°C later today.
Throughout tomorrow (Friday), we will once again see temperatures reaching or nearing 20°C quite widely, and the heat will start to become more extensive across parts of southern and eastern England, where temperatures will rise into the mid- to high 20s in some places during Friday afternoon.
A similar theme and temperatures will continue into Saturday (10th AUGUST), before things really turn up a notch throughout Sunday and into Monday, when temperatures could reach as high as 32-34°C in some parts of southern and eastern England.
Additionally, temperatures are also likely to reach into the mid- to high 20s at the peak of this in many other parts of the country during this Sunday to Monday period.
Even some heat-starved and large parts of Ireland and certain parts of Scotland are also likely to see temperatures ranging in the low to mid-20s at the peak of these developments during this same period, particularly on Sunday.
Warm to summery conditions but not as hot as the previous days, then look to cling on for at least another 2-4 days in parts of the south of the country during the next week to begin with.
However, from Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, we will see areas further north turning gradually and significantly cooler and more unsettled, and this will eventually drag in most, if not all, parts of the country for a potentially prolonged period and somewhat of a potentially widespread thundery breakdown as next week progresses.
Our update from earlier in the week also stated the following in reference to the above forecast details when there were no such indications from elsewhere:
"From in and around Wednesday and THURSDAY, we will see temperatures rising significantly once again as high pressure rises across our shores throughout this period and into THIS WEEKEND, delivering a much more summery and hot theme than current app indications."
"Another forced check of the current BBC and Met Office apps for this period and later this week are showing some very unsettled conditions and temperatures no higher than 19°C for my own location in Lancashire and no higher than 25°C for London."
Our much earlier forecast indications for this period in late June were also quoted in the national news in early July (Daily Mirror).
The same article also correctly covered the mid- and late-July heat surges and the incoming one at present before any other forecaster or forecasting company that is finally in recognition of this now.
"Madden also identified around August 10 to August 15 as when this second "heat surge" will strike."
"Madden reckons the second half of August will bring "some much cooler and unsettled weather."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-faces-high-30cs-heatwave-33239125.amp
James Madden: Exacta Weather
08/08/2024 - 05:00
UK & Ireland Autumn and Winter 2024/25 Weather Reports 🍂🍃❄️🌨️🥶
The forecasts are reduced by 50% in a limited-time offer until 5 p.m.
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
War Of The Weathermen Important Update...
I've literally only just spotted this one now, everyone, as I've started checking news and media articles periodically (to avoid any confusion from other contributors within the same articles for myself).
It is unusual for a national news article to do such a piece, but there are also some very true statements contained throughout by myself, and the Daily Star has done a great job of covering this "war of the weathermen." 😂
I wondered why the Met Office tried dressing up a new type of long-range weather forecast recently too. 😂
Thanks
https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/weathermen-war-met-office-slammed-33381917
Additionally, all our correct forecast predictions since 2010 are contained within the following links below, plus proof of this (something similar from a 170-year establishment compared to my 14 years would be nice to see):
https://exactaweather.com/the-exacta-weather-story
https://exactaweather.com/our-correct-predictions
James Madden: Exacta Weather
07/08/2024 - 07:00
