How The Big Snow Event For This Weekend Is Likely To Play Out For The UK & Ireland...
Throughout late tomorrow evening (Saturday) and into Sunday, we will be cold enough for widespread and heavy snow showers to start developing across large parts of the country (even to lower levels).
Throughout Saturday afternoon and evening, we will see the first of these widespread and heavy snow showers forming and falling across some large parts of Scotland and large parts of northern England and potentially to parts of northeast England and also across parts of Northern Ireland.
These heavy snow showers are very likely to bring some significant and accumulating snow across higher ground in combination with accumulating snow over a large span of some much lower levels in these parts.
The snow showers will continue for much of Sunday and could also become temporarily problematic across parts of Yorkshire and some central/Midland regions and in eastern parts of Ireland.
Our forecast indicators also keep returning wintry weather and snow showers in parts as far south as southern and eastern England during Sunday, and despite being unlikely to reach the same scale or intensity as all the above localities, there is still a good chance of some less notable wintry weather or snow appearing towards the capital in this same period and after some potentially more settled and even sunny periods for these parts beforehand whilst this expected snowstorm begins to take hold and shape elsewhere during late Saturday and early Sunday.
Additionally, it will also be quite windy for many in this same period, and this will also allow for the formation of some blizzards in parts of Scotland and northern England in this same period, particularly but not necessarily restricted to higher ground.
I am also pretty certain that social media and various webcam images will more than conclusively prove and verify most, if not all, of the above snow forecast details for this upcoming period (high and low levels) despite a lack of consensus on this from elsewhere at present (they are hoping this will be a damp squib, but it will NOT be).
By tomorrow evening the many, many forecasters and TV forecasters who have been repeatedly stating that there will be "NO snow whatsoever in the run-up to Christmas" will have to eat their own regurgitated words once again and issue snow warnings as conditions on the ground and many snow images will prove in this period.
Additionally, as covered earlier in the week, the snow won't last into Christmas, and from around Christmas Eve and over the upcoming festive period, it will then actually become quite settled and less cold as high pressure looks set to influence our weather pattern for several days, and the worst of any weather types will only probably come in the form of fog.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1116124123850541/?app=fbl
To summarise, large parts of Scotland and northern England (high and low levels) will see the worst of these heavy snow showers and even blizzards developing in places, particularly in western parts of Scotland and northern England.
Some heavy and settling snow is also likely across parts of northeast England, Wales, Yorkshire, and some central/Midlands regions, and parts as far south as southern/eastern England could even see some less severe wintry weather or snow in places on Sunday.
Parts of Northern and eastern Ireland in particular could see some moderate to heavy snow in this same period, whilst some other large parts of Ireland are also at risk of some less severe wintry weather or snow in places during Saturday evening and into Sunday.
Our winter subscribers report will end up being just one day out with this from several months ahead for these exact dates.
Enjoy, everyone!
James Madden: Exacta Weather
For today only we will be offering our a whole 5-year subscription to all seasonal forecasts and future snow and big freeze dates for January and February 2025, will be instantly delivered by digital delivery at just £19.99.
This will be prior to some important website maintenance and new changes that are set to follow in the next several days for early 2025 and will then be priced at £99.99.
Early Winter Storm Warning for This Upcoming Weekend + the Rest of December/Christmas and What We Expect in January...
An expected stormy period of weather (potentially severe in places) and further, more potent snow prospects originally for in and around 23-27 December from our several-month-ahead and unchanged subscribers report is currently looking like arriving and being more prominent for around Sunday (22nd December) of this week instead.
This will also bring a significantly heightened risk for more notable and widespread snow prospects across the northern half of the country at the very least (possibly a bit further with any slight changes between now and then), in among some widespread stormy conditions for elsewhere from around Saturday evening and into early Sunday on our current projections, but particularly more so across the northern half of the country.
I also wouldn’t be surprised to see another named storm developing from elsewhere here (something we have been covering for several months around these exact dates).
Unfortunately for snow or, fortunately for more settled weather lovers, this would then look to set the way for some normal to even mild temperatures and potentially more settled weather around the Christmas period on the current main third-party repeated projections of recent days.
Additionally, the same several-month-ahead winter subscribers report for this winter also clearly stated this as a possibility for around the Christmas period (less cold or mild weather) if we were to experience any limited or later stratospheric interference in this period (I will also publish the full report soon for all to see).
However, another potentially snowy and stormy period could still follow on from this, and for in and around the final days of December and to start 2025.
Additionally, the same winter 2024/25 forecast also clearly depicted that the coldest and most snowiest part of this winter would occur in January 2025 and for which part and why, and it also noted it as a “potentially memorable weather period,” and if any part of this winter will resemble a big freeze or a decent run of widespread snow events, then this is the period it will occur within (something I have been covering repeatedly for several months now).
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
James Madden: Exacta Weather (17/12/2024)
Winter Weather Update: Turning very unsettled and windy + cold enough for snow in places from tomorrow evening + the rest of December and January 2025…
That expected low pressure will influence some very windy weather and showers for many from tomorrow.
Additionally, it will also be cold enough for some of these showers to turn wintry in places and to snow from Wednesday evening and into early Thursday.
The highest risk of where this will occur will initially come across parts to the west of Scotland, northern England, and Northern Ireland, and later to parts of Wales during this Wednesday evening and into early Thursday period, and despite being definitive across higher ground, we could still see some snow showers appearing to lower levels in this period.
Additionally, some of these showers could still also turn briefly wintry or to transient snow and appear in some central and southern areas when it is likely to be significantly cooler during these same overnight and early morning periods from Wednesday evening, and possibly more so in some parts of southwest England and to the east of Ireland.
The expected stormy period (potentially severe in places) and further, more potent snow prospects in and around 23-27 December from our several-month-ahead and unchanged subscribers report is currently looking like arriving for around Sunday (22nd December) of this week instead.
Unfortunately for snow or fortunately for settled weather lovers, this would then look to set the way for some normal to even mild temperatures and potentially settled weather around the Christmas period on the current main third-party repeated projections of recent days.
Additionally, the same several-month-ahead winter subscribers report for this winter also clearly stated this as a possibility for around the Christmas period (less cold or mild weather) if we were to experience any limited or later stratospheric interference in this period (I will also publish the full report soon for all to see).
However, another potentially snowy and stormy period could still follow on from this, and for in and around the final days of December and to start 2025.
Additionally, the same winter 2024/25 forecast also clearly depicted that the coldest and most snowiest part of this winter would occur in January 2025 and for which part and why, and it also noted it as a “potentially memorable weather period,” and if any part of this winter will resemble a big freeze or a decent run of widespread snow events, then this is the period it will occur within (something I have been covering repeatedly for several months now).
It also said absolutely nothing about 3 x sudden stratospheric warmings actually occurring within this period; that is just certain aspects of the press that continue to misinterpret my work with their headline titles, which only benefit them, I'm afraid.
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
James Madden: Exacta Weather
Only 14 Days Left On Our Subscribers 70% OFF Winter Offer…
The end-of-year subscribers sale with 70% off our 5-year memberships to all seasonal forecasts (£29.99), plus January and February 2025 snow dates, ends soon and will return to the full price of £99.99.
Cold enough for snow from Wednesday evening and into Thursday/Friday (north and south of the UK and across certain parts of Ireland)…
The upcoming week will bring a very mixed theme of weather for many parts of the country with further grey skies and cool to cold weather among some potential brighter and less cold spells and windy to potentially very windy conditions for many at times.
Additionally, it will also be cold enough for any precipitation to turn to snow during this period, particularly from around Wednesday evening and into Thursday and Friday from some expected low-pressure features that will also make it quite windy for many.
Initially the precipitation will begin to turn wintry and to snow across parts of Scotland, northern England, Wales, and potentially across some large parts of Ireland during this same Wednesday evening to Thursday period, and despite being definitive for it to snow across higher ground in this period in these parts, there is no reason as to why some much lower levels won't also see snow during this developing period.
Our current forecast projections also show a higher than normal probability for some moderate to heavy snow at times across parts of northern England and Wales, and a more moderate to slightly less high possibility of this in some central regions of the country and to the east of Ireland for this same period.
Additionally, throughout Thursday and into Friday will also bring the risk of some at least transient and moderate to heavy snow in parts as far south as central and southern England and in and around the capital, particularly during the late and early hours in this period, when it will be significantly cooler and more optimum for snow to fall and settle in these parts.
These dates are also within the exact range of our subscribers long-range winter forecast expectations for another at least 2-4 day cold and wintry period with some further widespread snow events during December 11-19.
Additionally, as we said they would much earlier, the main third-party computer models and other forecasters are now starting to incorporate widespread snow showers for this same period below.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1110690221060598/?app=fbl
To conclude this update and despite posting less frequent but more detailed weather updates on Facebook at particular times in recent months to prevent clear misuse and clear copying from elsewhere, our Facebook page statistics have continued at record levels for the second consecutive year with a combined page visits, views, and reach of nearly 1.2 million for 2024!
Additionally, nearly 250,000 of those 1.2 million page statistics have come about within the last 28 days and taken us over that 1 million barrier (something I thought we would miss out on this year).
Those are some pretty pleasing page statistics to look at at this stage of the year once again for a very small page of less than 18K likes, and it shows me that I'm going in the right direction with Exacta Weather, and may I also thank all the loyal followers who have contributed to these figures and continued to support my long-range weather forecast analysis and forecasts.
James Madden: Exacta Weather
The end-of-year subscribers sale with 70% off our 5-year memberships to all seasonal forecasts (£29.99), plus January and February 2025 snow dates, ends soon and will return to the full price of £99.99.
More settled with dense fog before the widespread snow risk begins to heighten...
Now the stormy weather has fizzled out and quieter conditions begin to usher in to start this week, our detailed week-ahead forecast for this period of last week stated:
"Unfortunately, another deep low-pressure area looks to influence our weather towards the end of this working week and into early next weekend, which will initially bring further wet and windy weather for many, and not the big snow event that others may have been wrongly anticipating or hoping we would judge incorrectly for this period."
"Again, windy weather and rain are our forecasting terminology used a lot in this week's forecast, and this particular section of the forecast matches our much earlier subscribers December report for some mild December weather and further stormy conditions at times in this period, plus a transient snow event December 2-4."
"However, following on from this, we do still also expect it to turn significantly colder from this next upcoming weekend, and the first widespread wintry showers from these changes are therefore expected to occur and be visible in places throughout next weekend."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1103668445096109/?app=fbl
https://exactaweather.com/uk-long-range-weather
Some transient snow did also occur for the expected dates, and when to expect more potent wintry conditions and widespread snow below…
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1107993504663603/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1108818791247741/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1108876597908627/?app=fbl
Our detailed postings from several months earlier on why there are so many storms and their overall intensity, and prior to several more storms for the correct dates on our part (long- to moderate-range forecasts Sep-Dec)…
https://vm.tiktok.com/ZGdMeXSyG/
https://vm.tiktok.com/ZGdMe1DHH/
Additionally, the following dated posting from a week earlier also said to expect DENSE FOG for this developing period:
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1105185554944398/?app=fbl
More potent cold and snowy periods are still set to develop on cue for December and when...
From around next weekend and into much of the following week starting December 16 will bring a significantly higher risk than normal for widespread snow events across large parts of the country from some high confidence and expected weather developments on our part.
Additionally, this also matches our much earlier forecast projections and our several-month-ahead winter subscribers report for a more potent and prolonged period of cold and widespread snow to develop for the UK and Ireland during the period of 11-19 December.
More details to follow on this soon, and watch this space for how others will adjust their forecasts for this exact period quoted above.
Regards,
James Madden: Exacta Weather
The end-of-year subscribers sale with 70% off our 5-year memberships to all seasonal forecasts ends soon and will return to the full price of 99.99.
December begins today, and widespread snow is on the near horizon, and when...
Another mixed week initially lies ahead with some transient snow events and more stormy weather before it begins to turn much colder and more wintry later in the week with more widespread snow also definitely being on the near horizon for many.
Throughout later this evening and into early tomorrow, we will see some wintry showers and snow developing across Scotland and certain parts of northern England and the Lake District.
Some sporadic wintry showers could also occur across certain parts of northern England, Wales, and Northern Ireland in the same period, particularly across higher ground.
Additionally, throughout Tuesday evening and into the early hours of Wednesday, an area of rain will spread eastwards across large parts of the north, when it will be cold enough for this precipitation to turn wintry and temporarily to snow across some large parts of Scotland, northern and northeast England, even to some lower levels, and possibly briefly to some more central regions of the country in this same period.
Our long-range subscribers forecast for autumn also covered these transient snow events for the exact dates of December 2-4.
Around midweek an area of low pressure will continue to see these wintry showers continuing across parts of the far north, and certain parts of Ireland and Scotland could see some quite windy weather and rain in this period.
Unfortunately, another deep low-pressure area looks to influence our weather towards the end of this working week and into early next weekend, which will initially bring further wet and windy weather for many, and not the big snow event that others may have been wrongly anticipating or hoping we would judge incorrectly for this period.
Again, windy weather and rain are our forecasting terminology used a lot in this week's forecast, and this particular section of the forecast matches our much earlier subscribers December report for some mild December weather and further stormy conditions at times in this period, plus a transient snow event December 2-4.
However, following on from this, we do still also expect it to turn significantly colder from this next upcoming weekend, and the first widespread wintry showers from these changes are therefore expected to occur and be visible in places throughout next weekend, particularly more so on Sunday and into early next week.
A widespread snow risk will then heighten significantly across large parts of the country for several days for settling and heavy snow starting in and around or exactly on the 11th of December.
The same subscribers to the December and winter 2024/25 forecast that depicts the transient snow events for December 2-4 also had the dates of a more potent cold and snowy period starting around 11th December.
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
James Madden: Exacta Weather (05:12 01/12/2024)
Exacta Weather - UK Short Range Forecast
A Very Mixed & Less Cold Week Ahead Before A Quite Cold December Begins To Take Shape + More Snow From Early December (Next Week)…
Much of the upcoming week will offer a very mixed bag of weather, and some less cold to milder conditions in the day will be on offer for many in comparison to last week as a battle of low- and high-pressure influences takes place across our shores.
Many parts of the country will therefore see a mixture of sunshine, showers or heavy rain showers, and breezy to windy conditions at times from these expected developments during this upcoming week and into this weekend.
Additionally, some of these showers will still turn wintry in places this week, and it is another reason I have been using the terminology ‘less cold’ to mild for this upcoming week repeatedly over the past several days.
The wintry weather during this week will be confined to higher ground in Scotland, northern England, and Wales between today and Thursday/Friday, and some overnight and non-significant wintry weather or sleet could also be recorded once again across higher elevations or a little lower during the evenings and early hours around midweek in some southern regions as an area of low pressure keeps things unsettled and windy in some of these parts during this period.
However, a lot does depend on the exact arrival and extent of this more low-key, low-pressure area across southern areas with this one, and timing is key as to whether it has some brief wintry implications during the early or late hours around midweek or early Wednesday when the temperatures are likely to be significantly cooler for these parts; otherwise, it will simply result in rain or heavy rain and strong winds.
The sunny spells, periods of gloom, rain or heavy rain, and further periods of moderate to strong winds at times will continue to grace our shores throughout most of the week and prior to the next wintry blast and increasing risk for snow or widespread snow once again in and around early December (next week).
Our several-week-in-advance subscribers forecast for December and winter 2024/25 also stated the following in reference to this for in and around the dates of December 2-4 at the end of our December report:
“Additionally, this doesn’t rule out any earlier or later transient snow events in December, particularly around December 2-4; the other dates in this report have just been more consistent throughout my analysis and are therefore of higher confidence.”
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
All of the best snow and widespread snow images in chronological order from last week (north and south) and in parts to the south of Ireland…
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1094099842719636/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1094186509377636/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1094246519371635/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1094559542673666/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1095349945927959/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1096026975860256/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1096182315844722/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1096210742508546/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1096560589140228/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1096958052433815/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1097721572357463/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1097780645684889/?app=fbl
The end-of-season winter sale, plus the future expected cold and snow dates for December to February, has now ended and returned back to the full subscriber price of 12.00.
This is still incredibly good value, and you will still receive 5 x detailed reports for this:
1. UK & Ireland final 6-page winter 2024/25 report plus further expected snow dates
2. Three detailed month-ahead reports for December to February
3. Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) updates and reports
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
Additionally, we have kept the longer-term subscriber end-of-year offer on for now at 50% off...
Anyone having PayPal issues, please get in touch, and we will invoice you, or use the new barcode in the provided link above, and other payment alternatives to PayPal will also feature shortly…
James Madden: Exacta Weather (02:14)
Cold & Wintry Week Ahead For The UK & Ireland + Widespread Snow Showers + Where/When Snow Answers…
Temperatures dropped to a very cold -7 to -8C in the coldest spots of the country overnight as the expected cold and wintry theme for this week begins to gain more of a stronghold across large parts of the UK and Ireland.
Initially, many parts of the country will begin on a cold and wet note as an area of low pressure influences some heavy rain showers alongside those colder temperatures throughout today.
However, as we progress into early evening tonight (Monday), some of this wet weather will begin to turn to snow at times across parts of northern England and Northern Ireland to begin with, and despite it being quite definitive for snow across higher ground in these parts later today, there is also no reason why some of this precipitation won’t also turn wintry or to temporary heavy snow showers at some much lower levels at times as the combination of colder conditions and unsettled weather becomes optimum for a decent risk of snow.
Additionally, the snow risk will then transfer further south to large parts of Wales and central, eastern, and southern regions, including the capital, and to some other parts in the northern half of Ireland during this evening and into Tuesday morning (unusual for November).
Again, despite projections for snow being definitive across higher ground in these above regions, there is also no reason as to why some of this weather won’t turn temporarily wintry or have some heavy snow showers at lower levels as the conditions become ripe for these types of wintry developments during this period.
Our much earlier and within at least several repeated updates and well-viewed TikTok videos also covered the exact dates of in and around 19-20 November for these types of developments to occur (see dated posts below and via the Exacta Weather website).
Additionally, this is something I feel many of the others are either playing down deliberately or they genuinely have little intrinsic knowledge of how the weather and snow work, even in their relatively very short-range projections, and I’m sure certain aspects of social media will provide clear proof and images of these upcoming snow events throughout this week, even to lower levels.
Beyond this first widespread snow event throughout this evening and into tomorrow, we will then see the wintry precipitation and snow showers continuing sporadically across the country throughout the whole working week, and literally anywhere could see a developing snow shower or two, with some more prominent snow showers continuing across the north and in many western and eastern coastal areas, particularly across large parts of Wales and, more unusually but temporarily, in some southern parts of Ireland on our current indications.
Additionally, and more importantly, an area of significant low pressure will then become more threatening to elsewhere and other forecasters from later this week (around Friday to Sunday), and this will signal an end to the cold and wintry weather from elsewhere upon first glance to them and how it will eventually bring a return to some less cold and even mild conditions afterwards.
However, this initially and strongly screams out to me, ‘a transient and widespread snow event’ for large parts of the UK and Ireland for later this week (north and south) as the unsettled and potentially stormy conditions clash with the much colder weather conditions in place across our shores during this given period of around Friday to Sunday, and prior to any changes back to less cold and even mild weather.
The return to mild weather is also likely to be very well documented from elsewhere (easy to predict) and something we put an original timespan on of around 7-10 days in overall duration in our much earlier cold and snow updates for this exact period.
To honor this on cue arrival of the expected cold and widespread snow risk in this period within all our short- to moderate-range dated forecasts and in our 125-days-plus ahead forecast, we will extend the sale price of our 5-page final winter report and further expected snow dates for December to February for a few more days.
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
Happy Monday, everyone, and enjoy!
James Madden: Exacta Weather
Major Cold & Wintry Weather For November + Widespread November Snow To Strike On Cue From Later This Week & Beyond!
From this upcoming weekend will see the first snow showers of the upcoming transition to some much colder weather starting to fall across parts of the north to begin with as an initially quite cold northerly for November begins to establish some expected and quite stark changes for most and if not all parts of the country during this period, as I will explain.
The developing snow showers throughout this weekend will initially be more notable across higher ground and sporadically to some lower levels at times in parts of Scotland, northern England, and Northern Ireland, and then later across some large parts of Wales and potentially to some parts of southwest England.
However, from Monday of next week and through to around Wednesday (18th-20th November) will now bring a significantly heightened risk for some widespread and potentially notable snow for November at times across some large parts of the country from the far north to the far south of the country as the widespread wintry weather and snow showers really begin to take ahold across large parts of the UK and Northern Ireland/Ireland.
Our much earlier updates on this also pinpointed the exact dates of in and around November 19-20 for these changes to start taking effect across our shores.
Additionally, a similar sort of theme is likely to play out throughout the rest of next week, and the signals are strong for the wintry weather and widespread snow risk to continue throughout much of this above period and beyond for the exact key dates we opted for in late November, for which many other forecasters were basically mocking myself/exacta and posting repeated headline titles within their weather updates about NO snow anytime soon.
Time for them to eat their own words and choke on them as a very potent period of wintry weather and quite widespread snow for November arrives on cue across our shores to deliver the first proper and major cold and wintry weather of this autumn and winter.
In essence, there is now likely to be quite a lot of snow warnings in place from this weekend and throughout much of next week, and large parts of the country will certainly experience some form of wintry weather or snow during next week, particularly in some parts of northern, eastern, central, and southern parts of the country later in this given period (heavy snow).
Additionally, our 125+ days ahead subscribers and follow-up forecasts for late November also opted for a high-confidence cold and wintry period for this exact period of November with snow in parts much further south than normal, and after all the expected high pressure rises on our part in the earlier part of the same autumn report for September to November + the earlier stormy periods for the exact dates in September and October.
Enjoy, everyone!
Regards,
James Madden: Exacta Weather
12/11/2024
Further expected widespread snow dates for December to February 2025 in the Winter Weather Outlook + What else to expect… https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
Staying Settled & Mild to Warm for November, but for how long?
There are currently no storms or wintry blasts expected across our shores as high pressure and settled weather continue to dominate, but we should still expect some big changes during the second half of the month, as the settled and mild to warm weather gives way to more unsettled, colder conditions and early wintry blasts.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1074201804709440/
However, the weather wants to be kind and mild to warm until around mid-November on my projections, with the worst of conditions coming from some expected fog and developing frosts from cold overnight conditions at times during these types of developments.
However, we should still expect those bigger changes to some further stormy and even wintry conditions at times during the second half of November, possibly a little earlier, and as it has always been covered in what will be our 125+ days in advance forecast for this exact period.
Unfortunately, certain aspects of the media and other underperforming weather companies still want to make us appear as wrong, misuse, and even mislead others on the basis of our long-range weather forecasts. Below (see link) is a digitally dated image of our unchanged and unmanipulated autumn forecast for NOVEMBER issued in early July to several hundred subscribers and lifetime members covering September to November.
This exact same digitally dated forecast also covered the EXACT dates for the two previous stormy periods and wintry episodes in September and October + these expected high pressure rises and mild to warm conditions well into late autumn (the real problem here and how much more accurate and further ahead my summer forecast was issued to their own forecasts).
https://exactaweather.com/summer-2024-free-report
The likes of NW, MO, and BBC all underperform quite regularly with their long-range efforts and then TRY to pick on or even bully those who are outperforming them
I would love to see their earlier and more accurate summer and autumn forecasts, and then they are more than welcome to judge me and this winter!
Oh wait, they don't exist! 🤔😂
Nothing more to say on the matter...
Additionally, it will also turn colder in the evenings for all as expected in this same 125-day forecast for in and around bonfire night on our part, and then the second half of the month should also play out as expected.
Regards,
James (03/11/2024)
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
Just some of the snow images from last winter when NO relevant warnings or snow were ever forecast or issued from elsewhere or until the very last minute ❄️🌨️
We expect something much more potent to develop in terms of these wintry blasts for this year, and although not entirely cold throughout, as we have always covered and in numerous posts, with at least several notable wintry blasts and major stormy conditions to contend with, regardless of SSW developments in this period.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1020579150071706/
The following: why so many storms? posts and video were posted before the recent stormy period and any indications from elsewhere that our weather reports identified from 100+ days ahead for the exact dates not once, but twice:
https://vm.tiktok.com/ZGdLyTGeR/
Dominant high pressure to keep things largely settled over the coming weeks and into November, but how will this impact our weather? Mild/warm, cold, & foggy? ☀️🥶🌁
The high pressure rises that have brought the mild and warmer than average temperatures during this week have actually worked against us, with that expected pool of colder air now being further away from us and our forecast expectations for the period of later this weekend and early next week.
However, the expected low-pressure system will still influence some unsettled weather and heavy rain and at least moderate winds to breezy conditions in parts of the north, Ireland, and western parts of the UK throughout this evening and into Friday, and the rain showers will also continue into this weekend in some of these places and for what is just outside our exact long-range dates of October 27 for this, but also without the wintry flavour we had expected it to coincide with from the north for this period.
However, it will still turn colder in this period for many and as we had expected from either scenario, particularly during the evenings, and a sort of north and south divide establishes itself with the best and worst of the weather conditions over the coming days.
Our week-ahead forecast also stated all of the following in reference to these developments:
"However, an additional area of low pressure and rather unsettled feature then looks to interfere with this regime from in and around Thursday or Friday, and this could bring more in the way of some heavy showers and potentially gusty to strong winds, particularly across parts of Scotland and Ireland and in western parts of the UK once again to begin with."
"Additionally, this will also pave the way for some much cooler to even colder conditions for the time of the year from the north as we head into next weekend, and this should also happen to coincide with some further stormy conditions in this period to bring some wintry weather across the far north and Scotland at the very least during next weekend and early next week (around October 27/28)."
"Additionally, they are also currently showing a bit of a tussle between high and low pressure for this later in the week that would see a north and south divide establishing itself on their current projections (colder and unsettled further north and milder and more settled further south)."
"However, further analysis is required over the coming days, and there could yet be some significant changes away from such dominant high pressure projections for in and around October 27 once the stormy conditions of recent days pass and allow these projections to become more affirmative (high pressure rises are STILL to be expected after these dates)."
https://exactaweather.com/uk-short-range-weather
Additionally, that colder pool of air will now have more of an influence later in November and still matches our forecast expectations on reanalysis, despite this recent forecast error, and it will also be a more potent wintry blast than we had ever originally expected for late October.
Other forecasters should now also be starting to see the multiple cold and wintry blasts potential for later in November and throughout large parts of December, with at least 2-4 major and widespread snow events in this period (something we have been making you aware of for several months and for the expected dates).
However, further high pressure rises or significant high pressure rises are likely to continue during next week and into early November at the very least, and despite some further mild to warm daytime temperatures for many for the time of the year from these types of developments in the coming weeks, it will also turn quite chilly to cold in the evenings, and overnight widespread frosts and foggy conditions are also to be expected for many despite these mild to warm temperature developments during the day from as early as this weekend and early next week (possibly patchy frost and fog at first).
To conclude, our long-range efforts did however accurately predict the September and October stormy periods and the snow across higher ground for the exact dates on both earlier occasions, and these two out of three stormy periods were also depicted quite accurately from 100 plus days ahead, and two out of three or two and a half out of three or more from this far ahead isn't a bad call on my part.
More forecast details are to follow shortly...
James Madden: Exacta Weather
24/10/2024 - 00:28
Expected Stormy Conditions To Give Way To Mild/Warm & Sunny Autumn Weather As High Pressure Returns On Cue + More Stormy Conditions Later As It Turns Colder From The North
The UK and Ireland are currently recovering from the aftermath and disruption of Storm Ashley throughout much of yesterday, with gales and strong winds being felt quite widely and top wind gusts of 110 MPH registered in the Cairngorms, Scotland, and 80 MPH+ in County Mayo, Ireland, from these stormy developments.
However, from around Tuesday through to around Thursday of this week we will see an area of non-significant high pressure extending across our shores to give some temporary relief and quite warm daytime temperatures for October with some brighter or sunny spells and drier weather for many in among some less vigorous and more sporadic showery activity in places.
Additionally, we should also see temperatures in the high teens for many in the best of the autumn sunshine, and possibly even 20C or higher could be reached in more southern areas.
The following dated posting from last week also stated the following in reference to this:
"Just to ensure I've been 'thorough' for all expected weather types, but just to say I still expect further significant high pressure rises and warm weather across our shores during next week and late October."
"However, we must also consider what I stated about this period and October several weeks earlier and why in the dated posting below:"
"This could literally bring a day or two of warm to hot and summery weather and be quickly replaced with more cooler and unsettled weather in the days to follow as the jet stream looks to go a little erratic, which in turn makes the weather much harder to predict and further analysis is required over the coming days."
"This WILL also send the apps and third-party forecasters into total disarray over the coming weeks, and expect NO consistency from them."
However, an additional area of low pressure and rather unsettled feature then looks to interfere with this regime from in and around Thursday or Friday, and this could bring more in the way of some heavy showers and potentially gusty to strong winds, particularly across parts of Scotland and Ireland and in western parts of the UK once again to begin with.
Additionally, this will also pave the way for some much cooler to even colder conditions for the time of the year from the north as we head into next weekend, and this should also happen to coincide with some further stormy conditions in this period to bring some wintry weather across the far north and Scotland at the very least during next weekend and early next week (around October 27/28).
Importantly, current third-party models, despite being in some kind of recognition of this for later this week now, are still not fully on board with it and how cold it could become from the north in this period.
Additionally, they are also currently showing a bit of a tussle between high and low pressure for this later in the week period that would see a north and south divide establishing itself on their current projections (colder and unsettled further north and milder and more settled further south).
However, further analysis is required over the coming days, and there could yet be some significant changes away from such dominant high pressure projections for in and around October 27 once the stormy conditions of recent days pass and allow these projections to become more affirmative (high pressure rises are still to be expected after these dates).
This also once again matches our 100+ days ahead autumn subscribers forecast dates that depicted another stormy period and of a potentially wintry nature from the north for in and around October 27.
Additionally, for the second time this autumn for our exact dates, we can now look back on our dated screenshots of our autumn subscribers report for these TWO earlier storm dates in September and October issued on July 6 (105 days ahead).
https://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=1070753775054243&set=pcb.1070753811720906
https://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=1070753768387577&set=pcb.1070753811720906
A decent achievement, yeah? Do some people even realise how hard it is to do this time and time again for the exact dates? The odds are astronomically high, everyone!
If any one of the supercomputers at the main establishments was producing such results, then we would be hearing about it left right and centre (GUARANTEED).
I would love to see something in such similar and enhanced detail from this far ahead from the so-called big boys and their supercomputers (just ONE would be great to see), but the reality is that it doesn't EXIST recently or historically for any of them...
https://exactaweather.com/our-correct-predictions
They have also all been well aware for some time that we have a decent knack for pinpointing such weather events from quite far ahead, and this is also why they try to rubbish me and then claim forecast success on their part when these weather events actually happen.
Thank you again to all the absolutely desperate to prove me wrong detractors for heavily promoting these exact same dates for me and raising extra awareness for others and nonbelievers of the Exacta Weather long-range weather forecasting methodology of these particular weather developments.
James Madden: Exacta Weather 20/10/2024 - 23:11
UK & Ireland Winter Weather Forecast + Expected Snow Dates
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
Please note that this is the only section of Exacta Weather that is monetised to cover expensive hosting and running costs and future app and weather forecast production.
Major stormy conditions are set to arrive on cue as the weather turns harsh for this weekend...
Throughout tomorrow afternoon and evening, we will see some heavy rain and strong winds developing across some large parts of Ireland and to the west of the UK and Scotland as the stormy conditions of the upcoming weekend begin.
Some of the strongest winds could be in excess of at least the 70-90 MPH range in the most remote or exposed areas in these parts from tomorrow afternoon/evening and early Saturday.
The rain will then gradually peter out as it travels eastwards, and the rest of Saturday could actually offer some respite from these conditions despite staying windy or breezy.
However, the next area of unsettled weather will then begin to arrive as another major low pressure area pushes in from the Atlantic for in and around the early hours of Sunday, and this will bring with it further heavy and potentially thundery rain showers for many and further strong winds in places during much of Sunday, but particularly more so across the western side of the UK and Ireland.
Again, do not be surprised to see the strongest winds reaching at least 70-90 MPH in some spots during this part of the forecasting period over the coming days.
The good news is that some further high pressure rises are still expected through next week and into late October, so it won't be all doom and gloom, but this weekend does look pretty grim for most, I'm afraid.
Additionally, our week-ahead forecast towards the end of last week stated:
"However, from in and around Friday (Thursday 17th-Saturday 19th is the range), we will begin to see the influence of a major area of low pressure upon our weather from the north of the country, and many northern parts of the country and across Ireland are likely to become temporarily and very unsettled over a number of days in this period, and it could also become temporarily cooler and unsettled in other parts of the country, as the overall track and intensity of this unsettled period, although now in some recognition from elsewhere and the models, is not set in stone for this period and how it will present itself across our shores later in the week."
https://exactaweather.com/uk-short-range-weather
Additionally, our 100+ day ahead autumn subscribers forecast issued in early July also quoted these exact dates of around OCTOBER 17-19 for such a stormy scenario on this sort of scale to develop across our shores within this period.
https://exactaweather.com/uk-long-range-weather
Take care, all.
James Madden: Exacta Weather
17/10/2024 - 16:54
PS: Just to add that temperatures reached a warm 22-23°C yesterday in the warmest spots of the country and despite the rain, which is some 8-9°C above the seasonal average for October.
Warm to HOT weather for October is set to arrive on cue, but it won't be entirely straightforward for certain dates we have covered, and why? + Winter Blocking, SSW, and snow/cold dates details...
High pressure rises towards the start of the upcoming week will allow for some much warmer conditions for the time of the year across some large parts of the UK and Ireland, with temperatures well in excess of the October average of 14C and with temperatures as warm as in excess of 20C or the low 20s at the very least in the warmest spots of the country around midweek.
However, from in and around Friday (Thursday 17th-Saturday 19th is the range) we will begin to see the influence of a major area of low pressure influencing upon our weather from the north of the country, and many northern parts of the country and across Ireland are likely to become temporarily and very unsettled over a number of days in this period, and it could also become temporarily cooler and unsettled in other parts of the country, as the overall track and intensity of this unsettled period, although now in some recognition from elsewhere and the models, is not set in stone for this period and how it will present itself across our shores later in the week.
Additionally, our 100+ day ahead autumn subscribers forecast also quoted these exact dates of October 17-19 for such a scenario to develop across our shores within this period.
The good news is that despite this expected unsettled weather towards the end of the new working week and around next weekend, it is also around next weekend at the latest that we also expect some even more significant high pressure rises to start taking effect and drawing some further warmer to even HOT temperatures for October across our shores for the time of year and for several days.
A forced check of the Met Office and BBC weather apps for this upcoming period is currently only showing maximum temperatures of around 14C for my own location in Lancashire and no higher than 15C for London for something that is now only several days away, and something I feel is being largely undervalued once again on their part in terms of these maximum day temperatures and how unsettled they have it for this period at present (I have taken screenshots for both locations).
The following and earlier update also covered what we thought would be a more predominant theme of warm to hot and settled weather for this exact period in October, and in exception for these long-range and expected interruptions, which I specified for TWO particular dates of HIGH confidence and which I also covered in multiple posts recently.
"From in and around Sunday and Monday (more Monday, 14th October), we will then begin to see high pressure starting to rise across our shores to bathe us in some much warmer than average temperatures for the time of the year and October, and a more PREDOMINANT theme of these high pressure RISES could now take effect over the coming WEEKS and into LATE October."
"However, it might not be entirely straightforward as the jet stream looks to stay a little erratic at times, bringing some interspersed and potentially cool/colder days with unsettled weather at times during these high pressure rises."
Importantly, the second date we covered in our 100+ day ahead autumn report and for which we also recently revealed in multiple detailed postings for another October stormy period in the links below, and which is likely to follow on from this several-day warm to hot period for in and around October 27.
This will be influenced in some shape or form from a major low-pressure area or storm system via the remnants of the recent Hurricane Milton and should also contain something of a wintry flavour to it as colder conditions also infiltrate from the north (see below posts on these details).
Our end-of-September detailed update also stated the following about this wintry blast and the upcoming high pressure rises: "An additional short-lived and similar or even more intensive high-pressure build is also an outside possibility and can't be entirely ruled out from around mid-October or a bit LATER."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1058183489644605/
James Madden: Exacta Weather
October 12, 2024, 23:12
UK & Ireland Winter 2024/25 Forecast + December + Expected Cold & Snow Dates...
Our UK and Ireland winter 2024/25 forecast for the start of winter and December has identified TWO dates and periods in particular of high confidence dates to expect colder conditions and snow quite widely.
Additionally, there is a third date of less higher and more moderate confidence with some possible transient snow events during December too.
However, it is important to note that we do also have some other forecast expectations to start winter at times this year, and it would be unfair to paint a predominant theme of this cold and snow throughout the month as a whole.
Nevertheless, at least TWO cold and snowy periods are on the cards regardless of any earlier SSW occurrences, maybe even three if the third one of moderate confidence also comes to fruition.
Further details for these exact dates in December plus the rest of the autumn and November reports are now free to one-time or first-time subscribers of our UK and Ireland winter 2024/25 report and expected snow and cold dates.
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) Events + Blocking Patterns During Last Winter & Winter 2024/25 (UK & Ireland)...
During last winter we were very unlucky as a nation and for snow lovers with the predicted SSW events not bringing more notable and lengthy cold and snow to our shores in something that would normally occur in our favour several times out of ten, but this year is different, and we have a lot in our favour for at least some decent cold and snowy shots, even if things were to go drastically wrong.
The following unchanged and dated Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) forecast from around this time last year (13 months) was correct in forecasting what was later classified as a very rare weather event by many others (see below LEFT image).
1. A minor SSW event in mid-November (moderate to high confidence).
2. A major SSW event in January (high confidence).
3. A major SSW event in February (high confidence).
https://www.facebook.com/story.php/?story_fbid=794715829324707&id=100063588901621
Additionally, this was also covered in some extra detail within the Daily Mirror several days later by myself (see above RIGHT image).
My expectations for all SSW occurrences have been covered within the final winter 2024/25 forecasts and with the expected snow and cold dates below.
Warmer, sunny, and more settled/Indian summer type weather still to come over the next several days + big changes ahead as autumn and much colder weather looks set to arrive with a vengeance during next week...
Free Winter 2024/25 Forecast + previous lifetime subscribers...
If anyone is not a subscriber or genuinely struggling in these hard times, then it is still important that you are aware of the pending weather scenarios of the coming months and this winter too.
So if you genuinely can't afford access to the report or are unemployed, in association with a charity and/or vulnerable or suffer from illness and any kind of mobility issues, and/or a single parent, then please email us with a brief line as to why, and we will forward you these particular reports for FREE.
Please email us if you fall into any of these above categories at: exactaweather@gmail.com
This is also a final call out and has been pretty well promoted via the website for several months now, but if there are any previous lifetime subscribers among our followers who have not yet received the final winter 2024/25 forecast plus expected snow dates in recent days, then please get in touch using one of the above and I will check it out for you.
Any long-term or new individual forecast subscribers can now also take advantage of our 50% off limited time end-of-year offer for the new 5 year subscription to all of our seasonal forecasts and save nearly £200 (normally 99.99).
Instant email delivery of Winter 2024/25 reports + 5-page full Winter 2024/25 forecast and expected snow dates...
October Weather, Winter 2024/25, and Previous Lifetime Subs + Where Have We Been? + Our Seasonal Weather Predictions...
High Pressure/Warm Weather Showing For Our Exact Dates In Early October (UK & Ireland) + More Stormy, Cold & Wintry Weather Also Set To Arrive On Cue Next Month...
An area of high pressure during early October and in and around our dates of October 3-8 is now repeatedly showing up within EVERY Global Forecast System (GFS) model run for our exact dates once again.
This would bring a welcomed change to some much warmer than average temperatures and mid-autumn sunshine for many during early October over a number of days and from as early as later next week.
However, it is important to remember, that it is now October and this high pressure area or heat surge will not have the same sting that it usually would in one of the summer months or earlier in September, and in addition to the previous October warm to hot spells in terms of their overall intensity.
https://exactaweather.com/summer-2024-free-report
However, we could still be looking at some much warmer than average temperatures and Indian summer type weather over at least a 2-4 day period during early October, and if I were to have a conservative guesstimate, I would say that maximum temperatures could reach as high as the low to mid-20s at the very least in places during the peak of these high pressure developments.
Additionally, the average temperature for October is 14°C, and these types of temperatures are very warm and well above average for the time of the year.
Any slight intensifications nearer the time could make it even warmer, but the above estimate is probably a fair sort of assumption to pass from my own forecast analysis and probably high teens at least elsewhere. It could also become and feel quite chilly in the evenings at this time of the year under such high pressure rises, and it may take a while for the strength of the sunshine to warm things up as the morning progresses to the afternoon.
Our original forecast for this part of October also stated the following from a number of weeks in advance, and I also repeated this forecast information in another update from earlier this week:
"However, our forecast indications do suggest a mix of the two and still favour another heat surge or major heat surge for our earlier given dates of in and around 3rd–8th OCTOBER, but this doesn't mean there will be no unsettled and cooler weather to contend with."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1048224433973844/?app=fbl
Unfortunately, this predicted warm spell will more than likely be temporary and replaced with some expected stormy, much cooler, and even wintry weather on our part during October, something our subscribers have been aware of since early July.
An additional short-lived and similar or even more intensive high pressure build is also an outside possibility and can't be entirely ruled out from around mid-October or a bit later, but confidence is only low on this and things would need to change as they stand for this to occur, and the form horse is currently favouring some very cold and unsettled weather.
Additionally, the same subscribers report from early July also covered these warmer periods in October and their overall extent by clearly stating that temperatures would not be as hot as in previous October's from these high pressure rises and to expect some very stormy and much cooler to cold weather during the month too.
Unfortunately certain press coverage of my October forecast for heat portrays this in a somewhat different light and as per usual from them really, and I still can't be entirely sure whether it's to make me look less accurate or just for clickbait to benefit themselves and advertising revenues.
A subscriber screenshot to follow shortly and prove this once and for all, but people are manipulating my long-range forecasts to suit their own agendas.
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
Unfortunately and sadly, certain press coverage of my long-range weather forecasts often portrays my forecast work in a somewhat different or more 'extreme' light to reality, and I still can't be entirely sure whether it's to make me look less accurate overall or just for clickbait to benefit themselves and advertising revenues.
To clearly demonstrate to all how this occurs and keeps occurring to me, and it's only now that the summer is over that I can personally fully appreciate how tidily accurate my subscribers summer 2024 report was overall and that I can highlight this for all to review for themselves within the free and dated version as proof from early April below.
https://exactaweather.com/summer-2024-free-report
And then we have the later dated press versions of my work, which I had to address earlier this year, and I even released the summer 2024 forecast for absolutely free within the public domain at a much earlier date to prove these HOTTEST SUMMER EVER claims with mine and the Exacta Weather name attached as incorrect and invalid.
Additionally, there isn't much I can do about this or how they use my forecast work that enters the public domain, so I would politely ask in the future not to necessarily always read too much into the actual headlines (I don't write them).
Please also kindly read what features within "quotation" marks from myself, as this will have been said; anything not in "quotation" marks is questionable and can be easily misinterpreted, misprinted, or even worded in a way that can make me appear wrong.
There are actually only a few news and media companies that I deal with directly or have long-standing relationships with for authorised use of my forecast work, and these are the Daily Mirror, GB News, and the Daily Star.
All the other high-traffic and clickbait articles that do the rounds with my forecast information just steal the information from these authorised articles and/or the public domain/Facebook to increase their own advertising revenues from my hard work (whereas the Exacta Weather website itself contains no ads to generate extra revenue).
There are also usually lots of well-timed 'Met Office responds' articles within days or sometimes hours to my actual "quotation" referenced news contributions going live and not the headlines or other non-quoted statements from myself (please remember this).
I can also now easily see how it may appear to others who simply take in these headlines and forget about this golden rule of just reading what I've said in "quotations" being valid within it.
I really hope this helps you all to understand my predicament and why there are often such big discrepancies and differences between my more often than not accurate subscribers forecasters, as well as when certain aspects of the press and media have gotten a hold of my work and how they and the Met Office consistently try to clearly twist things with lots of success towards myself and my forecast work, particularly my amended forecasts (something I try not to do that often and something they are guilty of daily).
However, I did get several winter forecasts completely wrong several years ago for several successive years.
Again, this is something I have openly admitted to time and time again, and I also covered it earlier this year in the Exacta Weather story link below, but otherwise most other seasonal forecasts have contained good to high accuracy overall since 2010.
I also cover this same situation with certain aspects of the press, Met Office, and BBC in some quite concise detail within the Exacta Weather story link.
https://exactaweather.com/the-exacta-weather-story
Personally and honestly, I didn't really know how to handle all this over the years and recently, and I was sort of more head in the clouds with the national recognition from everyone who appeared to want to use my forecast work, and I guessed they thought my work was good, and I just thought that I was gaining quite a bit of recognition.
However, it has become more than evidently clear to me over time how cutthroat this weather circle really is and how I am often used as a scapegoat by others to hide their own inaccuracies from this type of mass coverage, and understandably so, and something I now get when my name is attached to every extreme weather headline, despite what I actually say in "quotation" marks and my accurate subscribers forecast often saying something very different.
I have absolutely nothing to lose by telling the truth and being honest, and further conclusive proof of this will follow, and I will continue to address any such occurrences with proof in the future.
Important Winter 2024/25 Weather Forecast Update (Lifetime Subs) & Why I and Exacta Weather Went Missing For A While...
I'm really hoping everyone is now up to date with who should be in receipt of the winter 2024/25 forecast plus expected snow dates for any previous lifetime subscribers.
Additionally, a lot of the same questions have suddenly been filtering through to me as to where I've been and why I and Exacta Weather disappeared.
I didn't actually disappear altogether and kept myself active on Facebook, but there was a good few years period when the site was inactive due to illness, which I have covered in some quite personal details in the Exacta Weather story link that I put together for the relaunch of the website in April of this year.
Unfortunately, it will take a good five minutes of your time to read and digest, but it does explain my previous situation fully and honestly, and I will repost again individually at some point.
I really would appreciate those who follow my forecasts to at some point just give it a quick read if you can, and any feedback would also be gratefully received.
https://exactaweather.com/the-exacta-weather-story
I also continued to keep my long-range and seasonal forecasts active on Facebook even throughout some lengthy hospital stays and within certain approved media articles from the Daily Mirror, GB News, Daily Star, and Daily Express, in addition to some major weather predictions on my part as I continued to issue ALL these forecasts for FREE due to no website or hosting costs on my part.
https://exactaweather.com/our-correct-predictions
I can only sincerely apologise to those who have experienced issues with our restricted email access of late, and via this website, which has now been restored at: exactaweather@gmail.com
I have additionally had to invest in a paid email service to overcome such issues in the future, and the current contact for this is: contact@exactaweather.com
This is also a final call out and has been pretty well promoted via the website for several months now, but if there are any previous lifetime subscribers among our followers who have not yet received the final winter 2024/25 forecast plus expected snow dates over the past several days, then please get in touch using one of the above and we will check it out for you as soon as we can.
Any long-term or new individual forecast subscribers can now also take advantage of our 50% off limited time end-of-year offer for the new 5-year subscription to all of our seasonal forecasts and save nearly £200.
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
Our Seasonal Weather Predictions Over The Past 12 Months + Winter 2024/25 & Snow Update...
To offer some sort of credence and confidence to our early forecast projections for multiple and major cold shots in the near future, I have decided to list our long-range and seasonal forecast successes over the last 12 months from at least several months ahead of occurrence, despite others refuting this correct forecast information, particularly the Met Office (I offer proof of this).
1. The hottest September EVER (2023)
2. The mild and stormy October (2023)
3. The EXACT dates of the early November storm (2023)
4. The early mid-November sudden stratospheric warming (2023)
5. The late November and early December snow and cold (2023) plus several other snow events that had no prior warnings from elsewhere Plus the very mild and unsettled weather that followed...
6. The January sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) plus snow events dates...
7. The February sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) plus snow events dates...
8. An average June for Central England Temperature (CET)
9. A warmer than average July for Central England Temperature (CET) Plus the exact dates of the heat surges from over 12 weeks ahead of occurrence...
10. The prolonged and unsettled weather throughout summer
11. Indian summer weather x 2 (September 2024)
12. Cool, autumnal, and stormy weather for the exact dates in September plus snow x 2 to date across higher ground.
Please feel free to check out our dated Facebook posts around all these dates...
Additionally, our more short-to-moderate range forecasts ranging anywhere from 2 to 8 weeks in advance have also identified the following for the exact dates:
1. The late June heat surge
2. The late July and early August heat surges
3. The early to mid-August heat surge
4. The late August heat surge
5. The early September heat surge
6. The mid-September heat surge
This is also in addition to my many correct long-range and seasonal weather forecasts for the biggest weather events over the last decade, including the hottest day ever forecast, which still needs to be added in, and all the correct aspects of our summer 2024 forecast:
https://exactaweather.com/our-correct-predictions
Dated proof images and media links for the above forecasts are also available to view at the following links to our website below:
https://exactaweather.com/the-exacta-weather-story https://exactaweather.com/our-correct-predictions https://exactaweather.com/uk-long-range-weather
Regards,
James Madden
Saturday 28/09/2024 (05:22)
UK & Ireland Final Winter 2024/25 Weather Forecast (5-Pages December-March) + SSW Forecast Update + Expected Snow Dates
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25 https://exactaweather.com/summer-2024-free-report
Temperatures peak at a very hot 34.8°C, but turning much cooler and more unsettled. When is the next heat surge likely?
It was the hottest day of the year earlier today, with temperatures falling just short of 35°C (34.8C).
Our detailed posting below and via Facebook above from 4 weeks in advance clearly depicts the incoming heat event for these exact dates by stating:
"The next opportunity of much 'higher' confidence has been repeatedly showing in our forecasts for several weeks now for in and around August 10, and the overall period of August 10-15 looks extremely favourable for some kind of major heat surge due to a strong area of high pressure pushing in across our shores (UK and Ireland)."
"It is important to note that these potential heatwaves or heat surges in August are bonus heatwaves, so to speak, and were not actually part of our original long-range summer forecast, for which we had expected a quick reversion to the predominant cooler and unsettled conditions of much of the summer to date once again."
"However, as with the mid-to-late June heat surge with temperatures exceeding 30°C, which we identified and repeated from late May onwards due to some earlier and repeated forecast indicators that were not in our original projections (still a long range forecast in itself), and this is pretty much the same for this one in and around August 10."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/995325239263764/?app=fbl
Our much earlier forecast indications for this period were also quoted in the national news several weeks ahead of time (Daily Mirror).
"Madden also identified around August 10 to August 15 as when this second "heat surge" will strike."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-faces-high-30cs-heatwave-33239125.amp
The BBC and Met Office apps were almost 10°C out (9.8C) with maximum temperatures in the UK for this period! 🌞 🔥 🥵
Our earlier and dated posting is below:
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1011786310950990/
Our posting from last week in reference to today's maximum temperatures of at least 34°C!
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1013617134101241/
Signals are ever-increasing for the hot to very hot weather to return during late August/later next week and into September...
There are currently some increasing signals for another major heat surge during late August or for one to develop over several days in and around August 20–25 (same as our weekend update on this).
Four consecutive heat surges have occurred for almost or on the exact dates on our part throughout this summer in repeated reports and updates dating anywhere from 4 to 16 weeks in advance, which therefore increases confidence to something moderately higher.
Another hot to very hot period from another high pressure build is now gaining strength for our originally earmarked period to subscribers and our earlier updates for around August 20–25, and is also something I have been covering as a possibility for recent updates.
Additionally, these high pressure rises are even more confident to continue into September at times, but with some notable caveats that have been covered in the subscriber reports and also something that I will post more details on at a later date.
Unfortunately, there is still a quite prolonged and much cooler and unsettled theme on the cards for many prior to this next heat surge, and this is also something I have been forewarning of repeatedly for much of the second half of August.
The following and subsequent dated website and Facebook updates from last week also stated the following in reference to this:
"Unfortunately, beyond this upcoming weekend does look rather cool and unsettled for the foreseeable, with the only crumb of hope coming from a potentially 'low to moderate' confidence heat burst later in August as the cool and unsettled theme becomes the more predominant feature from a more southerly driven jet stream (something we have covered predominantly over the past several months)."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1011786310950990/
"Additionally, from in and around next Wednesday (August 14th) or possibly earlier, we will see a more prolonged run for a southerly driven jet stream developing, which will in turn bring a much cooler and unsettled theme for the foreseeable future for many (you have been warned), and it could also feel quite autumnal at times for the height of summer and August."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1012948724168082/
"However, from Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, we will see areas further north turning gradually and significantly cooler and more unsettled, and this will eventually drag in most, if not all, parts of the country for a potentially prolonged period and somewhat of a potentially widespread thundery breakdown as next week progresses."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1013617134101241/
The subsequent Daily Mirror articles from earlier last month (July) and earlier last week also stated:
Madden reckons the second half of August will bring "some much cooler and unsettled weather."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-faces-high-30cs-heatwave-33239125.amp
Exacta Weather forecaster James Madden said: "At the very least, we are going to see temperatures well in excess of 30C to 35C in the hottest parts of the country later this week!"
Madden did add that, after this upcoming weekend, conditions do "look rather cool and unsettled for the foreseeable."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-weather-exact-dates-heatwave-33398643
But the summer and sun will still be returning, plus for Ireland too.
More forecast details are to follow on this shortly.
James Madden: Exacta Weather
12/08/2024, 20:00
UK & Ireland Autumn and Winter 2024/25 Weather Reports 🍂🍃❄️🌨️🥶
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This is currently the only section that is monetized via Exacta Weather, and any revenue generated will simply be reinvested in trying to cover running costs and future free services via the website or apps.
This works out at less than £4 per report for 5 reports in total and is for those in need of a longer-range forecast for business or commercial requirements.
1 x 4-page Autumn 2024 report upon purchase (September - December)
1 x SSW report and dates for early winter 2024/25 upon purchase
1 x September 2024 report in August
1 x October 2024 report in September
1 x November 2024 report in October
Instant email delivery upon purchase
Temperatures start to rise today as a HOT SUMMER WEEKEND arrives on cue for many!
From today (Thursday), we will see high pressure starting to push in across our shores, and this will start to influence a significant rise in temperatures from today and into this weekend.
This will initially see temperatures reaching or nearing 20°C throughout this afternoon quite widely, and some parts of the southeast could see temperatures reaching or passing 25°C later today.
Throughout tomorrow (Friday), we will once again see temperatures reaching or nearing 20°C quite widely, and the heat will start to become more extensive across parts of southern and eastern England, where temperatures will rise into the mid- to high 20s in some places during Friday afternoon.
A similar theme and temperatures will continue into Saturday (10th AUGUST), before things really turn up a notch throughout Sunday and into Monday, when temperatures could reach as high as 32-34°C in some parts of southern and eastern England.
Additionally, temperatures are also likely to reach into the mid- to high 20s at the peak of this in many other parts of the country during this Sunday to Monday period.
Even some heat-starved and large parts of Ireland and certain parts of Scotland are also likely to see temperatures ranging in the low to mid-20s at the peak of these developments during this same period, particularly on Sunday.
Warm to summery conditions but not as hot as the previous days, then look to cling on for at least another 2-4 days in parts of the south of the country during the next week to begin with.
However, from Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, we will see areas further north turning gradually and significantly cooler and more unsettled, and this will eventually drag in most, if not all, parts of the country for a potentially prolonged period and somewhat of a potentially widespread thundery breakdown as next week progresses.
Our update from earlier in the week also stated the following in reference to the above forecast details when there were no such indications from elsewhere:
"From in and around Wednesday and THURSDAY, we will see temperatures rising significantly once again as high pressure rises across our shores throughout this period and into THIS WEEKEND, delivering a much more summery and hot theme than current app indications."
"Another forced check of the current BBC and Met Office apps for this period and later this week are showing some very unsettled conditions and temperatures no higher than 19°C for my own location in Lancashire and no higher than 25°C for London."
Our much earlier forecast indications for this period in late June were also quoted in the national news in early July (Daily Mirror).
The same article also correctly covered the mid- and late-July heat surges and the incoming one at present before any other forecaster or forecasting company that is finally in recognition of this now.
"Madden also identified around August 10 to August 15 as when this second "heat surge" will strike."
"Madden reckons the second half of August will bring "some much cooler and unsettled weather."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-faces-high-30cs-heatwave-33239125.amp
James Madden: Exacta Weather
08/08/2024 - 05:00
UK & Ireland Autumn and Winter 2024/25 Weather Reports 🍂🍃❄️🌨️🥶
The forecasts are reduced by 50% in a limited-time offer until 5 p.m.
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
War Of The Weathermen Important Update...
I've literally only just spotted this one now, everyone, as I've started checking news and media articles periodically (to avoid any confusion from other contributors within the same articles for myself).
It is unusual for a national news article to do such a piece, but there are also some very true statements contained throughout by myself, and the Daily Star has done a great job of covering this "war of the weathermen." 😂
I wondered why the Met Office tried dressing up a new type of long-range weather forecast recently too. 😂
Thanks
https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/weathermen-war-met-office-slammed-33381917
Additionally, all our correct forecast predictions since 2010 are contained within the following links below, plus proof of this (something similar from a 170-year establishment compared to my 14 years would be nice to see):
https://exactaweather.com/the-exacta-weather-story
https://exactaweather.com/our-correct-predictions
James Madden: Exacta Weather
07/08/2024 - 07:00
