UK & Ireland - Final Summer 2025 Report For June - August ☀️
Largely settled and sunny for many parts for a prolonged period + winter/snow to return around mid-month...
High-pressure-influenced weather will keep the overall theme largely settled with ample periods of sunshine for many through the upcoming week.
This could also bring temperatures to and around the 20C mark in parts of southern England by the end of the working week and prior to some slightly cooler and cloudier weather by the upcoming weekend in parts further south.
Additionally, parts further north could hold on to the sunny conditions for several days longer due to the situation of high pressure influencing our weather and some of these parts further north could also see temperatures in the high teens or possibly 20C in the best of the sunshine over the next several to 10 days.
These expected settled and mild to warm conditions will then pave the way for another wintry blast with some quite decent snow prospects for quite late in the season and April from in and around mid to late April, possibly a little earlier.
Our 75+ days-ahead snapshot of our April subscribers' forecast depicts both expected periods of 1. mild to warm and 2. an early April colder spell (which actually occurred a few days earlier in late March instead) and prior to another expected cold and potentially potent wintry episode much later in April.
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=1198988545564098&id=100063588901621
Our week-ahead forecast from last weekend via the website and also in a later-dated Facebook post below, stated the following in reference to these expected changes to mild/warm and more settled weather conditions and to match our longer-range forecast projections for this same period in April.
"Things will then become potentially more SETTLED and WARMER once again from the south later in the weekend or early NEXT WEEK."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1194112726051680/?app=fbl
James Madden, Exacta Weather
UK & Ireland - Final Summer 2025 Report For June–August ☀️⛈️🥵🌪️
Sunny spells and showers and midweek sunshine to give way to on-cue colder conditions and wintriness later in the week:
Sunny spells and showers are the form feature for many to start this week, particularly in parts of the far north and west of the country, and as a continuation of the expected unsettled weather and sunny periods from the weekend.
The influence of high pressure and sunshine could keep things more settled for most and particularly more so across some central and southern regions around midweek.
However, from around Thursday, March 27 (two days outside the original estimate and well-touted date of March 25) and into next weekend will see the theme turning colder once again for many.
Please see our dated update below covering these exact dates when there were no such indications from elsewhere:
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1186474043482215/?app=fbl
Thursday and Friday will also bring the first wintry showers in the far north and Scotland before transitioning into some other northern and western areas and potentially to some parts to the north and west of Ireland from coinciding weather fronts and significant low pressure areas should also bring some windy weather and rain elsewhere.
Additionally, the majority of these wintry and snow showers will be more likely across higher regions in the above locations, with the possibility of something wintry at some lower levels at times in these parts, albeit brief or transitional, in addition to possibly intensifying in places through this week to include other areas from the present and main third-party computer model projections, or they will be at the very least as described in the above.
The cool to cold weather is also likely to continue into the weekend and although any wintry weather will more than likely be confined to Scotland and the far north, this could still change somewhat between now and then, especially if we see any intensifications to the start of this wintry episode descriptive for the days earlier above, and prior to things becoming potentially more settled and warmer from the south later in the weekend or early next week.
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
James Madden, Exacta Weather
Very cold mornings over the next few days are set to be replaced by mild to maybe even warm conditions from tomorrow to Friday... + Will winter return and when?
Quite a cold start out there today, everyone, and this is also likely to intensify somewhat through this evening and during early tomorrow (Wednesday) with temperatures in negative figures for many parts of the country.
However, the influence of high pressure will allow for a gradual rising of temperatures in the southern half of the country in this same Wednesday to Friday period.
Initially, parts of southern and southeast England will see the most significant rises in the high teens or possibly the low 20s between now and Friday, and elsewhere, including parts much further north, will also see temperatures rising into at least the high teens in this same period.
However, low pressure will then begin to influence our overall weather pattern heading into the weekend and early next week, turning things more unsettled in the process.
The cold conditions, rising temperatures, and further unsettled weather by the weekend due to low pressure features were also ALL covered quite concisely in our dated week ahead forecast below:
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1186474043482215/?app=fbl
Additionally, our long-range subscribers weather report that was issued in early January also identified high pressure rises for these exact dates in addition to the recent wintry blast that also brought snow to Cheltenham in March (see dated forecast image below).
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1186320686830884
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
Our forecast expectations also expect another wintry blast to form on and around March 25 or possibly a little earlier or later.
Please note that EARLY APRIL has always been our favoured option for the next wintry blast, but there are some mixed and repeated signals that this could arrive earlier and the next few days model runs to come will certainly offer a better and more reliable output on our incoming weather occurrences on the ground by then.
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
James Madden: Exacta Weather
Mild To Warm In Places By Midweek + Another Wintry Blast For Around MARCH 25...
The upcoming week will see the influence of high pressure upon our overall weather pattern to bring quite a significant rise in temperatures and some ample periods of varying but pleasantly warm sunshine.
From around Wednesday/Thursday and possibly into Friday, we will see temperatures reaching at least the high teens in parts of the south and, further north, could see temperatures ranging more in the mid to high teens in this same period.
Additionally, we also can't rule out 20C or temperatures in the low 20s in some spots in the best of the sunshine during this period in the afternoons.
However, these types of high-pressure-influenced weather patterns also offer cool to cold conditions in the evenings and ground frosts are possible in some vast areas and before the strong spring sunshine burns through in the day, and also prior to giving way to more unsettled conditions towards the weekend.
This period of more settled and sunny weather will then actually pave the way for another cold and wintry episode and further snow prospects for something our forecasts have repeatedly maintained would occur on multiple occasions deep into spring this year, and the next wintry episode is set to strike in and around MARCH 25 or possibly a little earlier.
Just to reconfirm our dated forecast for this present and upcoming part of this week and into next week, it stated:
"Towards the end of the upcoming week we will also see high pressure starting to return across our shores and change the overall weather pattern back once again after these several days and expected wintry blast conditions on our part for these exact dates in our several week-ahead subscriber's forecast for March and spring 2025."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1179839670812319/?app=fbl
Additional and earlier updates also doubled down on this and stated:
“Before high pressure returns to settle things down and warm things up from around later on Saturday and into Sunday and beyond this.”
“A word of caution: as we expect further wintry blasts DEEP into spring and April this year.”
Our several-week-ahead spring report (early January) covered these exact dates (17th March onwards) and followed on from the predicted and accurate wintry blast for the exact dates too (see dated PROOF image below).
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1186320686830884
James Madden - Exacta Weather
Spring & Summer 2025 Key Weather Dates (Hot Weather, Cold Weather, Storms) + Limited Time Spring Sale!
The rest of the spring and full summer report both cover all of these upcoming weather events from now until August at a reduced price of 9.00 from 18.00 for BOTH reports.
Additionally, you can also save £75 with our 5-year subscription for 75% off for a limited time period (24.99 and usually 99.99).
This Week's Snow Prospects To Accompany The Arctic Cold!
Today and from early this morning we will see the risk of wintry weather and forming snow showers across parts of the far north and east of Scotland to begin with.
However, from this afternoon and throughout this evening, we will see this wintry weather spreading further afield to certain parts of northern England, Yorkshire, and parts to the east of England, particularly more so in some parts of the northeast and some North Sea-facing coastal areas.
This wintry weather and band of snow showers will then begin to work southwards during much of Wednesday and into Wednesday evening/Thursday, with the heaviest and possibly disruptive snow at times in parts to the east of Scotland and the northeast of England and some parts to the east of England.
Additionally, some parts to the north and east of northern England will be in the firing line for some moderate to heavy snow showers in this same period and some of these could extend into other parts of northern England and Yorkshire and from early Wednesday to later in the day for parts of Wales.
The further south we go in this same period raises some question marks about how far south these snow showers will actually extend to, and despite certain parts of Wales and southwest and southeast England and certain parts of central England showing some potentially moderate to heavy pockets of snow at times over the coming days, there is also the possibility of at least some brief wintry weather in the form of sleet and snow in some other parts of central and southern England, particularly later in the day and/or evenings around Wednesday and Thursday.
Additionally, the snow risk further south could still intensify further over the coming days and was something showing as a ZERO chance of happening in only recent days from elsewhere to something much more questionable, as we speak, and a lot will depend on how the expected cold Arctic air digs in and plays out with a number of other possible weather features for more southern regions and their overall snow risk.
Friday and into Saturday could also bring a brief risk of some transient snow in areas further south and in some central areas, and passing or surprise snow showers or streamer events for snow could exist in some parts of the far south before high pressure returns to settle things down and warm things up from around later on Saturday and into Sunday and beyond this.
Additionally, our dated week-ahead forecast covered these particular dates and potential warning dates for snow prior to anywhere else, the possibility of snow extending into areas much further south to what they were showing at the time from elsewhere, and the incoming high pressure rises afterward and for the exact same dates of expectancy.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1179839670812319/?app=fbl
Unfortunately, Ireland still needs a bit of luck or things to change to what they have been showing in recent days, although some parts of at least higher ground in the north could see something wintry at times, particularly later in the week, but I don't bring good news for snow across the pond prospects at present.
However, despite these changes later in the week and into next week due to high pressure rises or influences, this does NOT dispel any further cold and wintry episodes during the remainder of spring/March and into April.
Additionally, this is something I have repeatedly maintained since early January for set-dates for subscribers for which the first date is about to be ticked off on my part.
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1178632344266385
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
James Madden: Exacta Weather
Spring to winter and mid-March snow showers are set to arrive on cue from tomorrow...
The last of the recent and mild temperatures of late will begin to dissipate from today as things turn much colder for all due to cold winds sourced from the northeast pushing in across our shores.
Additionally, there will also be showers as it becomes more unsettled in parts to the north and east of the country and these are likely to turn wintry and even to snow at some lower levels in these parts through the next week, Monday to Thursday/Friday.
From the early hours of Monday and through to Tuesday will bring a heightened snow risk across some parts of the far north and Scotland and in some parts of northeast England.
Additionally, some of these wintry and snow showers could develop in other parts to the east of England and quite far south in the same Monday to Tuesday period, and some further wintry weather can't be ruled out in some parts as far south as central, southwest and southeast England with variations in overall intensity.
The cold northeast windflow will take more of a stronghold throughout Wednesday and into Thursday and allow widespread wintry and snow showers to develop across some large parts of Scotland, parts of the northern half of England, and some large parts of Ireland.
Weather warnings for snow during this Wednesday to Thursday period are extremely likely, particularly across parts of Scotland, northern and northeastern regions, and potentially to the east of England and some parts of Yorkshire and Wales.
Additionally, some of these snow showers could extend as far south as some central and southern regions in this same midweek period and, despite not really featuring in current third-party projections from elsewhere for this as yet, this is still something that could intensify nearer time.
Towards the end of the upcoming week we will also see high pressure starting to return across our shores and change the overall weather pattern back once again after these several days and expected wintry blast conditions on our part for these exact dates in our several week-ahead subscriber's forecast for March and spring 2025 (see below image).
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1178632384266381/?app=fbl
Additionally, many of our dated updates have also emphasised this further over the past several weeks by accurately pinpointing the dates of on and around March 10 for these expected changes to occur (Tomorrow is March 10).
James Madden: Exacta Weather
High pressure persists with those caveats further north + those expected changes later to something of a wintry flavour around March 10...
High pressure will continue to persist across southern areas through this upcoming week, keeping things largely settled and with some mild to very mild temperatures for many.
However, the further northwards you are could bring more in the way of cloudiness and breezy to windy weather in places in among sunny periods.
Our several-day-ahead forecast also clearly stated the following in reference to this scenario:
"The best and warmest of these daytime temperatures are more likely to reach the mid to high teens in parts of the south, and with parts much further north just about reaching double digits or a little higher in this same period, and elsewhere will be somewhere in the middle of that range."
"Not exactly any warm or hot weather on the horizon, but certainly more settled with, let's say, mildish temperatures for the start of March over the next several days with some quite cool to cold evenings in the same period, and it certainly won't be warmer than Spain, which should expect top temperatures in the low to mid-20s in some of the warmest tourist spots (something we will be nowhere near during the next week)."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1171965774933042/?app=fbl
However, for those of you who were expecting wall-to-wall sunshine by now or over the weekend from app projections and elsewhere earlier this week, below are our TWO updates from earlier last week and the CAVEATS we also expected to occur from current weather developments (cloudy, breezy and cool weather and cold nights to begin with).
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1170837501712536/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1174307068032246/?app=fbl
Towards the weekend and the early part of next week (10th March), we will begin to see changes to this overall weather pattern to something cooler and more unsettled from the north of the country that is likely to consist of some wintry weather in places due to these colder conditions and low pressure coinciding (overall extent of this could intensify quite significantly somewhat between now and then).
Additionally, our several-week-ahead subscribers report for spring also covered the dates of on and around 7-12 March for some kind of wintry blast to develop.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1171951594934460/?app=fbl
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
An additional and dated update from last week also emphasises this exact same period and dates by stating to expect changes to the current developments to this type of weather pattern for around March 10 or a little earlier.
"Additionally, we will also see a gradual breakdown of these conditions on and around March 10, possibly a little earlier."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1171965774933042/?app=fbl
James Madden, Exacta Weather
More settled & sunny but cold too + for how long? + some important changes…
Our earlier update for the upcoming settled weather over the next several days (not warmer than Spain) stated:
"Beyond this, we had initial expectations for another stormy period to develop on and around Sunday and some wintry weather on Friday that now seems to have been dropped by the models for something they were also initially quite keen on only recently."
"We can therefore expect more in the way of some settled weather with variations from region to region in terms of sunshine on current projections."
"However, the caveats could be the limited sunshine due to cloudiness or persistent cloud cover and some showers and breezy weather will still exist, particularly more so in some parts to the north and west, with some overnight frosts and quite cool or cold overnight conditions persisting in places over the next several days."
Additionally, we will now see several days of much more settled weather and sunshine with the above and below caveats, particularly to begin with, and with the cool to cold overnight conditions and frosts.
The best and warmest of these daytime temperatures are more likely to reach the mid to high teens in parts of the south, and with parts much further north just about reaching double digits or a little higher in this same period, and elsewhere will be somewhere in the middle of that range.
Not exactly anything warm or hot weather on the horizon, but certainly more settled with, let's say, mildish temperatures for the start of March over the next several days with some quite cool to cold evenings in the same period, and it certainly won't be warmer than Spain, which should expect top temperatures in the low to mid-20s in some of the warmest tourist spots (something we will be nowhere near during the next week).
Additionally, we will also see a gradual breakdown of these conditions in and around March 10, possibly a little earlier.
Further details are to follow, enhanced forecast details and March reports, and up to summer 2025 are available below:
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
Unfortunately, our posts and page are being heavily restricted for simply sharing 'links of relevance' with our own followers!? (See comments section images.)
And that just about makes up my mind on this one and is something I’ve been giving deep thought to for a while, as I will explain.
From now on, priority will be given to the decently trafficked website and website pages below, which have ranked as one of the top-performing websites on GoDaddy since its return in April 2024.
https://exactaweather.com/uk-short-range-weather
https://exactaweather.com/uk-long-range-weather
There will also be a new and small paywall option via our website in the future for our normally posted and detailed updates here that will actually stay as normal (posts, details, and frequency) but essentially be made available somewhat earlier from behind the small paywall and thus prevent certain entitled-thinking news companies and journalists from stealing my work going forward.
Additionally, and importantly, we will also be offering a totally FREE option for all our loyal followers on here to generate them a username and password for absolutely FREE, as I personally don't see why our most loyal and long-term followers should lose out or have to pay anything for what should really be public domain information and only have to be in place due to clear and repeated misuse of my forecast work from elsewhere.
Just to reaffirm that I will still post on here and when my current page restrictions are lifted, but priority will now always be given to the website and certain forecast information that will also be made available significantly earlier via this route (1-3 days).
Additionally, this is the route and personal choice that I've decided to take going forward, and I am more than clear about it in my mind, and if anyone feels a totally free option to our future website services and for totally free on here (Facebook) isn't a particularly good deal, then in the nicest way possible, you're always welcome to unsubscribe from the page and go elsewhere for future heatwave, storm, and snow dates that we have maintained a very good but not perfect record for within recent years and decades.
Original and dated posting of this below:
https://exactaweather.com/our-correct-predictions
https://exactaweather.com/the-exacta-weather-story
Regards,
James Madden, Exacta Weather
Did you all know that January 2025 came in colder than average for the oldest recorded temperature dataset in the world (Mean CET) and that February 2025 is also set to come in above-average?
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html
https://exactaweather.com/winter-2024-free-report
Additionally, this is something many others were headline titling as otherwise earlier this month and something OUR winter forecast accurately depicted for BOTH from several months in advance of occurrence).
https://exactaweather.com/winter-2024-free-report
December 2024 also came in well above-average and was one of the TWO options we emphasised upon dependent on the occurrence or not of an earlier Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW).
This forecast has remained UNCHANGED over this several-month period and, as you can see for yourselves, it also identifies several exact periods for winter storms and snow dates, and also always had plenty of options for MILD weather and a mild February despite earlier cold from earlier in the year and expected atmospheric disturbances.
Also, not quite the constant and misleading snow fest or ice age winter projected from elsewhere deliberately on our part (in a nutshell, it makes competition look better and generates more revenue or advertising revenues for certain aspects of the press/journalists).
To conclusively prove this on the part of certain press, has anyone read anything about a triple SSW from myself in the below?
https://exactaweather.com/winter-2024-free-report
But they were OK with putting out misleading headlines on something I never said for this year.
Additionally, I have also stated and covered many times in digitally dated documents, posts, and videos that we fully expect the much colder and snowier winters to return from 2028 and onwards in relation to corresponding and fully expected changes to solar activity around then.
There you have it guys and exactly what I'm up against with each seasonal forecast I put out.
What can't speak and is digitally dated, can't lie!
https://exactaweather.com/winter-2024-free-report
As are the other two even more accurate long-range seasonal forecasts than went before them:
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-2024-free-report
https://exactaweather.com/summer-2024-free-report
That's me for now, guys...
Regards,
James
Yesterday (FEBRUARY 15) snow images from southern and eastern England (southeast) + WHEN will the next cold and snow be likely to arrive?
Images courtesy of X…
This was additionally covered in not just one but TWO dated updates during this week for these parts and will continue in some parts to the north and east of England this morning before becoming confined to Scotland and returning from the west of Scotland later, and again around Tuesday with the further risk of forming snow in these parts/far north.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1158588416270778/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1161535129309440/?app=fbl
Additionally, the same forecasters who were 'headline titling' NO snow for this week, also 'headline titled' a colder than average February before quickly changing it back to spring arriving early!?
Something our several month ahead forecast covered for both of these types of scenarios in February (cold/mild) and again in our earlier and dated posting below from this week, and again before these last minute changes were quickly applied elsewhere for snow on our EXACT dates once again and then again for the incoming milder weather on our part.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1160068736122746/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1158279246301695/?app=fbl
However, remember those EXPECTED changes for later in the month back to snow and cold we have also been reporting upon from in and around 28th February or a little earlier.
"The next wintry blast and snow potential after the current cool-cold and wintry weather moderates from later next week could come around month end and for in and around February 28 and prior to further expected and very late wintry blasts at times in March and April (April one is quite HIGH confidence)."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1160108599452093/?app=fbl
Happy Sunday, everyone!
James Madden, Exacta Weather
Over the past several weeks, our forecasts have seen some major errors in regard to overall snow expectations and is something we (myself/Exacta) have openly admitted to.
Unfortunately, this is part and parcel of weather forecasting and reporting upon the weather and something I am not all that used to after a decent run of getting quite a lot consistently right from quite far ahead over a prolonged time period in recent years and for a multitude of some of the biggest weather events in our history since 2009 and 2010 with conclusive and dated proof of this in the below.
https://exactaweather.com/our-correct-predictions
Many others will be in their absolute element at present with the mainly damp squib of snow events that they called more accurately than myself on this occasion.
However, the weather prediction game is a results scenario and sometimes they will go the right way, and then again sometimes not, and I'm not going to beat myself up over it and lose any sleep as in previous years and months when this has occurred.
At the end of the day it is what it is, and whilst some others seem to oddly revel in the reduced snow prospects of late for obvious reasons, we must also be fair and honest and remember the several heat spikes we predicted for the exact dates throughout last summer and autumn that these same forecasters ruled out and then came around to our idea many days later on multiple occasions, the exact dates of multiple storms and their overall scale, and the very cold and snowy end to November that was never meant to happen along with the correct snow dates before any other forecasters worldwide.
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
Surely these correct and accurate predictions don't count for absolutely nothing and I will therefore concentrate and remember these correct predictions often from in the face of adversity, and use my less accurate ones to learn from and hopefully improve my overall methodology.
https://exactaweather.com/our-correct-predictions
In essence it is a hazard of the role and something I will openly admit to (forecast errors and more info in the link below) but I certainly won't be beating myself up over it or sulking about it, and we move onwards and upwards, and there aren't many forecasters who have that good of a weather prediction history with proof that they can openly and honestly own up to and promote their errors whilst moving on to add to their collection of forecasting accolades that have been more right than anything elsewhere not only recently but historically too.
https://exactaweather.com/the-exacta-weather-story
That’s me for now guys!
Thanks to all those regulars who continue to support me and remember these facts. 😘
Regards,
James Madden, Exacta Weather
Current snow expectations and projections for the weekend + Spring 2025/March & April + are any more cold spells and wintry episodes due this year and when?
The models are now incorporating an area of precipitation that is likely to turn wintry or to snow in places through this weekend.
This is likely to happen from the early hours of Saturday (February 15) across certain parts of the far north and west of the country, as these unsettled conditions coincide with colder conditions to deliver what could be a fairly decent snow event for Scotland throughout Saturday and the exact dates previously opted for that could also extend into some other parts of northern and northeast England on present indicators.
Throughout Sunday we could also see an extension of these snow showers in these parts and potentially in some other parts to the east of the country and some other parts of northern and central England and Yorkshire before petering out later.
Unfortunately, the current projections have downgraded the earlier and quite widespread snow projections from this Saturday to what I have covered above, and unless we see some last minute intensifications, only those parts I have covered will be at risk of any snow and/or transient snow in this period.
However, with the way things have gone of late, I certainly wouldn't be banking on any last-minute intensifications of this scenario, although still entirely possible at this stage, particularly with the colder conditions that are expected to coincide with these weather developments during this weekend.
Looking further ahead, changes to some less cold or even mild weather can be expected at times later in the month and into March (something our unchanged winter 2024/25 forecast from several months earlier has always maintained).
However, our forecasts also expect and have maintained that the cold and wintry weather and/or wintry blast episodes would persist deep into spring in among some mild or very mild weather periods this year and why, and the next wintry blast potential after the current cool-cold and wintry weather moderates from later next week could come around month end and for in and around February 28 and prior to further expected and very late wintry blasts in March and April (April one is quite HIGH confidence).
James Madden, Exacta Weather
(13/02/2025)
Further details are to follow on this shortly and within the week-ahead weather update in the coming days...
Further enhanced details are also available in our detailed several-page reports for spring and summer 2025 below:
Despite overnight bringing some wintry showers to parts of England and Wales to begin with, they never really amounted to much overall and were simply overcome by not cold enough temperatures.
Some passing rain bands could still turn wintry in certain places throughout today, but in essence we really needed that easterly in among our shores for several days prior to a sudden and little later change to these series of storms and the widespread snow events that would have followed for it to be more memorable for such factors.
Even though I can honestly claim some success with the logistics and timings of the recent named storms before many others, unfortunately and also honestly, my efforts have failed in their overall expectations on this occasion for snow and widespread snow.
If I'm being honest, I came into this last week very excited and confident on the overall snow prospects, particularly after the unusual and snowy second half of November cold that was never meant to happen from elsewhere, and the further snow and additional snow dates arriving on time to match my earlier long-range efforts at times in December and January.
The exact same methodology that managed to identify all of these previous correct weather events on my part was also applied here, and I'm more than happy to admit and try and learn from such forecasting errors.
Additionally, it also tells me that my methodology certainly isn't foolproof or as tight as I thought it was entering this last few weeks, but I can also admit it and take it on the chin with such a ratio of past and recent weather events and my long-range reports that more often than not speak for themselves.
However, how certain individuals continue to use my work including certain aspects of the media has got the better of me and frustrated me a lot of late and is something I need to make decisions on in going forward to totally eradicate and not impact upon my concentration levels.
I also really don't have the energy to be dealing with such things no more or with those who think they have an entitlement to just take my work, and it is running me down personally and needs reviewing, as I've also had several off days in recent weeks due to recurring illness (see current medication image in comments) and no doubt due to the overall stress of this situation I'm desperate to try and stop.
I'm also not making excuses here or looking for sympathy but being more honest on my current situation, and I'm even as honest to say that the forecast errors were made and stuck to by myself for this last week before I started to struggle with illness due to my already lowered immune system from my IBD medication, for which I have also honestly provided a dated image of my current medication in the comments section below.
Future forecast updates announcement and weather reports to follow shortly...
Regards and speak soon,
James (27/01/2025)
UK & Ireland Week Ahead Weather Update + More Winter Storms & Heavy Snow In Places Before Some Much Quieter Weather...
The next wave of unsettled and stormy weather will start to approach from the far south of the UK and Ireland once again during this evening and into the early hours of tomorrow.
Initially this will bring rain and moderate to strong winds across the far southwest and across southern England and Ireland before spreading northwards across all other areas during tomorrow.
However, as this rain and unsettled conditions push northwards from the early hours of Monday, they will begin to turn wintry in nature and there is a good risk of some moderate to heavy and settling snow in this period in some parts of Wales to begin with and with the possibility of some less intense and transient snow in parts of eastern and western coastal areas in Ireland and southern Ireland.
From around 2AM Monday until around 9AM will then bring a significantly heightened risk for some quite heavy and settling snow across some parts of central and northern England, particularly but not restricted to some large parts of northern and northwest England and some parts of central England towards Birmingham or Nottingham during the early hours before transferring to the north and Scotland later.
The risk of further snow will continue as the next stormy bout passes through tomorrow afternoon and evening in some parts of northwest and northern England and Wales.
After a temporarily quieter run of weather, we will begin to see another stormy feature approaching from the south during Wednesday evening and into Thursday and this will initially bring further rain and strong winds to many parts of southern England and some central areas at first, before turning to potentially moderate to heavy snow during Wednesday evening and Thursday in these same localities (southern and central England) and some parts of Wales (may extend further north yet).
The good news it that this will then pave the way for some much more settled and better weather afterwards over a potentially prolonged time period, but we do expect more winter storms and the snow to return at certain points, particularly heading into spring and deep spring on our current forecasting projections.
However, around Friday 31st January could also bring some last and widely distributed snow showers across the north (at least moderate confidence and one to watch for)…
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
Our dated week ahead forecast re-covered the earlier named storm we had been previously covering and the next pending one by stating:
"The 2 x expected winter storms and/or named storms (significant low-pressure areas) will then make their approach around Friday and again on Sunday/Monday, bringing with them strong to exceptionally strong winds at times and rain to begin with."
"However, it will also be cold enough at particular times during this Friday-to-Sunday/Monday period for widespread and disruptive snow showers to develop across large parts of the UK and Ireland in among these windy and stormy conditions."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1141949544601332/?app=fbl
“These strong winds could also become very strong and reach over AT LEAST 70-90 MPH in some of the worst hit regions during Friday, particularly in some western parts of the country, Scotland, and across parts of Northern Ireland.”
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1142982827831337/?app=fbl
Another earlier update stated the following about next week:
"However, the next series of the Atlantic weather influences after this from Monday to Wednesday of next week will arrive and coincide and mix with some much cooler air at times in this same period to bring further snow possibilities well into next week."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1144586867670933/?app=fbl
Yesterday's update followed this up further by also stating:
"This will then pave the way for some similar weather scenarios to develop around the middle of next week but with more of a snow risk, including more southern regions quite far south."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1145429247586695/?app=fbl
I know most people are all for the snow prospects, but I have also covered these expected winter storms and the overall scale in other areas on my part quite well...
Again, stay safe and take care!
https://exactaweather.com/uk-short-range-weather
James Madden: Exacta Weather
26/01/2025
The following two updates and videos from much earlier last year (early October 2024) explained why we are seeing so many storms (way above-average) and why they were expected to continue in the long-term autumn and winter periods.
And several major winter storms later with more to come...
Plus our dated news article covering this from several years earlier >>>
https://vm.tiktok.com/ZGdAWPLuc/
Calm Before The Expected Winter Storms & Snow...
The start of this week and the next few days will see a continuation of thick cloud cover, mist/fog in places, and some passing showers in among some fairly calm and cool weather.
However, the calm before the storm quote will be very apt here, as some strong weather systems and/or potentially named winter storms look set to push in from the Atlantic later in the week.
Prior to this and throughout Thursday, we will see those showers increasing in nature across large parts of the country, and they will also start to turn wintry and snowy, even to some lower levels across some large parts of the northern half of the UK and Ireland and in parts potentially as far south as some central regions.
The 2 x expected winter storms and/or named storms (significant low-pressure areas) will then make their approach around Friday and again on Sunday/Monday, bringing with them strong to exceptionally strong winds at times and rain to begin with.
However, it will also be cold enough at particular times during this Friday-to-Sunday/Monday period for widespread and disruptive snow showers to develop across large parts of the UK and Ireland in among these windy and stormy conditions.
Time to consider battening down those hatches for more winter storms once again (due to long-term Gulf Stream changes) and preparing for further snow!
All as previously covered in our earlier forecast expectations and further winter storms for these same dates...
May I also apologise and explain regarding the lateness of this week's more detailed week-ahead update...
Unfortunately, early Monday or at the weekend seems to have become a prime time for certain aspects of the press to continue stealing and twisting my hard forecast work (I switched it to these days to avoid this) and I really don't like having to mix things up a bit on my part to prove this and feel sort of deceitful in having to now hold back certain information from what I would have normally put out to within the public domain by now.
However, the amount of people who continue to make money out of my back and steal my work is literally at ridiculous levels and needs addressing, as they are also not thorough with what has been said and can often include misleading headlines that don't match my included "quotations."
Additionally, to prove this further and remain honest to myself and my page followers, even though a cold easterly was on the cards within other third-party model projections, did any of my updates use or mention the words "easterly" or "beast from the east" ONCE prior to or during these projections from elsewhere?
I only ever referred to the "easterly" potential once it was passing or had passed altogether, and please feel free to check this for yourself in all the dated posts below.
Additionally, I also pointed out VERY QUICKLY in numerous updates and DURING these changes from elsewhere that the alternative and equally weighted scenario would still bring winter storms, widespread snow prospects and colder conditions than anticipated with the expected timings for this for the exact dates of this week.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1138939054902381/?app=fbl
I am also well aware that many of you are aware of this whole charade with the press and people copying and misinterpreting my hard work, but there are others who aren't and just see the version that pays and benefits the others the best.
James Madden: Exacta Weather
UK & Ireland Spring & Summer 2025 Weather Reports…
Any preorder or lifetime and 5-year subscribers who haven't already received the above reports or previous subscribers (we believe most of you have them already) please email us at the following email, and we will sort this as quickly as possible for you:
Major Cold & Wintry Weather For November + Widespread November Snow To Strike On Cue From Later This Week & Beyond!
From this upcoming weekend will see the first snow showers of the upcoming transition to some much colder weather starting to fall across parts of the north to begin with as an initially quite cold northerly for November begins to establish some expected and quite stark changes for most and if not all parts of the country during this period, as I will explain.
The developing snow showers throughout this weekend will initially be more notable across higher ground and sporadically to some lower levels at times in parts of Scotland, northern England, and Northern Ireland, and then later across some large parts of Wales and potentially to some parts of southwest England.
However, from Monday of next week and through to around Wednesday (18th-20th November) will now bring a significantly heightened risk for some widespread and potentially notable snow for November at times across some large parts of the country from the far north to the far south of the country as the widespread wintry weather and snow showers really begin to take ahold across large parts of the UK and Northern Ireland/Ireland.
Our much earlier updates on this also pinpointed the exact dates of in and around November 19-20 for these changes to start taking effect across our shores.
Additionally, a similar sort of theme is likely to play out throughout the rest of next week, and the signals are strong for the wintry weather and widespread snow risk to continue throughout much of this above period and beyond for the exact key dates we opted for in late November, for which many other forecasters were basically mocking myself/exacta and posting repeated headline titles within their weather updates about NO snow anytime soon.
Time for them to eat their own words and choke on them as a very potent period of wintry weather and quite widespread snow for November arrives on cue across our shores to deliver the first proper and major cold and wintry weather of this autumn and winter.
In essence, there is now likely to be quite a lot of snow warnings in place from this weekend and throughout much of next week, and large parts of the country will certainly experience some form of wintry weather or snow during next week, particularly in some parts of northern, eastern, central, and southern parts of the country later in this given period (heavy snow).
Additionally, our 125+ days ahead subscribers and follow-up forecasts for late November also opted for a high-confidence cold and wintry period for this exact period of November with snow in parts much further south than normal, and after all the expected high pressure rises on our part in the earlier part of the same autumn report for September to November + the earlier stormy periods for the exact dates in September and October.
Enjoy, everyone!
Regards,
James Madden: Exacta Weather
12/11/2024
Further expected widespread snow dates for December to February 2025 in the Winter Weather Outlook + What else to expect…
Temperatures peak at a very hot 34.8°C, but turning much cooler and more unsettled. When is the next heat surge likely?
It was the hottest day of the year earlier today, with temperatures falling just short of 35°C (34.8C).
Our detailed posting below and via Facebook above from 4 weeks in advance clearly depicts the incoming heat event for these exact dates by stating:
"The next opportunity of much 'higher' confidence has been repeatedly showing in our forecasts for several weeks now for in and around August 10, and the overall period of August 10-15 looks extremely favourable for some kind of major heat surge due to a strong area of high pressure pushing in across our shores (UK and Ireland)."
"It is important to note that these potential heatwaves or heat surges in August are bonus heatwaves, so to speak, and were not actually part of our original long-range summer forecast, for which we had expected a quick reversion to the predominant cooler and unsettled conditions of much of the summer to date once again."
"However, as with the mid-to-late June heat surge with temperatures exceeding 30°C, which we identified and repeated from late May onwards due to some earlier and repeated forecast indicators that were not in our original projections (still a long range forecast in itself), and this is pretty much the same for this one in and around August 10."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/995325239263764/?app=fbl
Our much earlier forecast indications for this period were also quoted in the national news several weeks ahead of time (Daily Mirror).
"Madden also identified around August 10 to August 15 as when this second "heat surge" will strike."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-faces-high-30cs-heatwave-33239125.amp
The BBC and Met Office apps were almost 10°C out (9.8C) with maximum temperatures in the UK for this period! 🌞 🔥 🥵
Our earlier and dated posting is below:
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1011786310950990/
Our posting from last week in reference to today's maximum temperatures of at least 34°C!
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1013617134101241/
Signals are ever-increasing for the hot to very hot weather to return during late August/later next week and into September...
There are currently some increasing signals for another major heat surge during late August or for one to develop over several days in and around August 20–25 (same as our weekend update on this).
Four consecutive heat surges have occurred for almost or on the exact dates on our part throughout this summer in repeated reports and updates dating anywhere from 4 to 16 weeks in advance, which therefore increases confidence to something moderately higher.
Another hot to very hot period from another high pressure build is now gaining strength for our originally earmarked period to subscribers and our earlier updates for around August 20–25, and is also something I have been covering as a possibility for recent updates.
Additionally, these high pressure rises are even more confident to continue into September at times, but with some notable caveats that have been covered in the subscriber reports and also something that I will post more details on at a later date.
Unfortunately, there is still a quite prolonged and much cooler and unsettled theme on the cards for many prior to this next heat surge, and this is also something I have been forewarning of repeatedly for much of the second half of August.
The following and subsequent dated website and Facebook updates from last week also stated the following in reference to this:
"Unfortunately, beyond this upcoming weekend does look rather cool and unsettled for the foreseeable, with the only crumb of hope coming from a potentially 'low to moderate' confidence heat burst later in August as the cool and unsettled theme becomes the more predominant feature from a more southerly driven jet stream (something we have covered predominantly over the past several months)."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1011786310950990/
"Additionally, from in and around next Wednesday (August 14th) or possibly earlier, we will see a more prolonged run for a southerly driven jet stream developing, which will in turn bring a much cooler and unsettled theme for the foreseeable future for many (you have been warned), and it could also feel quite autumnal at times for the height of summer and August."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1012948724168082/
"However, from Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, we will see areas further north turning gradually and significantly cooler and more unsettled, and this will eventually drag in most, if not all, parts of the country for a potentially prolonged period and somewhat of a potentially widespread thundery breakdown as next week progresses."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1013617134101241/
The subsequent Daily Mirror articles from earlier last month (July) and earlier last week also stated:
Madden reckons the second half of August will bring "some much cooler and unsettled weather."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-faces-high-30cs-heatwave-33239125.amp
Exacta Weather forecaster James Madden said: "At the very least, we are going to see temperatures well in excess of 30C to 35C in the hottest parts of the country later this week!"
Madden did add that, after this upcoming weekend, conditions do "look rather cool and unsettled for the foreseeable."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-weather-exact-dates-heatwave-33398643
But the summer and sun will still be returning, plus for Ireland too.
More forecast details are to follow on this shortly.
James Madden: Exacta Weather
12/08/2024, 20:00
UK & Ireland Autumn and Winter 2024/25 Weather Reports 🍂🍃❄️🌨️🥶
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
This is currently the only section that is monetized via Exacta Weather, and any revenue generated will simply be reinvested in trying to cover running costs and future free services via the website or apps.
This works out at less than £4 per report for 5 reports in total and is for those in need of a longer-range forecast for business or commercial requirements.
1 x 4-page Autumn 2024 report upon purchase (September - December)
1 x SSW report and dates for early winter 2024/25 upon purchase
1 x September 2024 report in August
1 x October 2024 report in September
1 x November 2024 report in October
Instant email delivery upon purchase
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
Temperatures start to rise today as a HOT SUMMER WEEKEND arrives on cue for many!
From today (Thursday), we will see high pressure starting to push in across our shores, and this will start to influence a significant rise in temperatures from today and into this weekend.
This will initially see temperatures reaching or nearing 20°C throughout this afternoon quite widely, and some parts of the southeast could see temperatures reaching or passing 25°C later today.
Throughout tomorrow (Friday), we will once again see temperatures reaching or nearing 20°C quite widely, and the heat will start to become more extensive across parts of southern and eastern England, where temperatures will rise into the mid- to high 20s in some places during Friday afternoon.
A similar theme and temperatures will continue into Saturday (10th AUGUST), before things really turn up a notch throughout Sunday and into Monday, when temperatures could reach as high as 32-34°C in some parts of southern and eastern England.
Additionally, temperatures are also likely to reach into the mid- to high 20s at the peak of this in many other parts of the country during this Sunday to Monday period.
Even some heat-starved and large parts of Ireland and certain parts of Scotland are also likely to see temperatures ranging in the low to mid-20s at the peak of these developments during this same period, particularly on Sunday.
Warm to summery conditions but not as hot as the previous days, then look to cling on for at least another 2-4 days in parts of the south of the country during the next week to begin with.
However, from Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, we will see areas further north turning gradually and significantly cooler and more unsettled, and this will eventually drag in most, if not all, parts of the country for a potentially prolonged period and somewhat of a potentially widespread thundery breakdown as next week progresses.
Our update from earlier in the week also stated the following in reference to the above forecast details when there were no such indications from elsewhere:
"From in and around Wednesday and THURSDAY, we will see temperatures rising significantly once again as high pressure rises across our shores throughout this period and into THIS WEEKEND, delivering a much more summery and hot theme than current app indications."
"Another forced check of the current BBC and Met Office apps for this period and later this week are showing some very unsettled conditions and temperatures no higher than 19°C for my own location in Lancashire and no higher than 25°C for London."
Our much earlier forecast indications for this period in late June were also quoted in the national news in early July (Daily Mirror).
The same article also correctly covered the mid- and late-July heat surges and the incoming one at present before any other forecaster or forecasting company that is finally in recognition of this now.
"Madden also identified around August 10 to August 15 as when this second "heat surge" will strike."
"Madden reckons the second half of August will bring "some much cooler and unsettled weather."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-faces-high-30cs-heatwave-33239125.amp
James Madden: Exacta Weather
08/08/2024 - 05:00
UK & Ireland Autumn and Winter 2024/25 Weather Reports 🍂🍃❄️🌨️🥶
The forecasts are reduced by 50% in a limited-time offer until 5 p.m.
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
War Of The Weathermen Important Update...
I've literally only just spotted this one now, everyone, as I've started checking news and media articles periodically (to avoid any confusion from other contributors within the same articles for myself).
It is unusual for a national news article to do such a piece, but there are also some very true statements contained throughout by myself, and the Daily Star has done a great job of covering this "war of the weathermen." 😂
I wondered why the Met Office tried dressing up a new type of long-range weather forecast recently too. 😂
Thanks
https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/weathermen-war-met-office-slammed-33381917
Additionally, all our correct forecast predictions since 2010 are contained within the following links below, plus proof of this (something similar from a 170-year establishment compared to my 14 years would be nice to see):
https://exactaweather.com/the-exacta-weather-story
https://exactaweather.com/our-correct-predictions
James Madden: Exacta Weather
07/08/2024 - 07:00
