Some expected mild or very mild weather this week with caveats + winter to return and a heightened snow risk afterwards for the UK & Ireland (around 28th February)...
The upcoming week will see and begin with unsettled and potentially windy weather across Ireland as that low-pressure area from the Atlantic features and turns to snow once again across parts of Scotland and potentially to other parts of northern England as it remains rather cold during this evening and into early Tuesday before turning to rain elsewhere.
From around midweek also looks set to bring a battle between high and low pressure, which is likely to see some cloudy to dull conditions developing for many and potential drizzle or light rain in places from associated weather fronts, particularly across parts of Ireland, Scotland, and some western regions, with the best of any more amicable weather and potential but limited sunshine being reserved for more southern and eastern areas in this same period.
However, this same period is also likely to bring a significant rise in temperatures and some mild to very mild conditions for many and possibly a little more in the way of sunshine for the exact period we covered for in February within our several-month-ahead forecasts and within the following dated link from last week stating:
“Looking further ahead, changes to some less cold or even mild weather can be expected at times later in the month and into March (something our unchanged winter 2024/25 forecast from several months earlier has always maintained).”
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1160068736122746/?app=fbl
By next Friday or Saturday, we could even see temperatures reaching the high teens at the very least in the warmest spots.
Beyond this, and from as early as next Sunday or Monday, we could see things turning more unsettled and gradually cooler once again, and in and around February 28th is likely to see a swift reversion back to quite cold conditions for many and an unusually late wintry blast, which will also bring a heightened snow risk of 2-5 days at the very least for some large parts of the UK and Ireland (also see the same as above and earlier dated link from last week for these dates):
"However, our forecasts also expect and have maintained that the cold and wintry weather and/or wintry blast episodes would persist deep into spring in among some mild or very mild weather periods this year and why, and the next wintry blast potential after the current cool-cold and wintry weather moderates from later next week could come around month-end and for in and around February 28 and prior to further expected and very late wintry blasts in March and April."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1160068736122746/?app=fbl
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
James Madden, Exacta Weather
Yesterday (FEBRUARY 15) snow images from southern and eastern England (southeast) + WHEN will the next cold and snow be likely to arrive?
Images courtesy of X…
This was additionally covered in not just one but TWO dated updates during this week for these parts and will continue in some parts to the north and east of England this morning before becoming confined to Scotland and returning from the west of Scotland later, and again around Tuesday with the further risk of forming snow in these parts/far north.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1158588416270778/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1161535129309440/?app=fbl
Additionally, the same forecasters who were 'headline titling' NO snow for this week, also 'headline titled' a colder than average February before quickly changing it back to spring arriving early!?
Something our several month ahead forecast covered for both of these types of scenarios in February (cold/mild) and again in our earlier and dated posting below from this week, and again before these last minute changes were quickly applied elsewhere for snow on our EXACT dates once again and then again for the incoming milder weather on our part.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1160068736122746/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1158279246301695/?app=fbl
However, remember those EXPECTED changes for later in the month back to snow and cold we have also been reporting upon from in and around 28th February or a little earlier.
"The next wintry blast and snow potential after the current cool-cold and wintry weather moderates from later next week could come around month end and for in and around February 28 and prior to further expected and very late wintry blasts at times in March and April (April one is quite HIGH confidence)."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1160108599452093/?app=fbl
Happy Sunday, everyone!
James Madden, Exacta Weather
Over the past several weeks, our forecasts have seen some major errors in regard to overall snow expectations and is something we (myself/Exacta) have openly admitted to.
Unfortunately, this is part and parcel of weather forecasting and reporting upon the weather and something I am not all that used to after a decent run of getting quite a lot consistently right from quite far ahead over a prolonged time period in recent years and for a multitude of some of the biggest weather events in our history since 2009 and 2010 with conclusive and dated proof of this in the below.
https://exactaweather.com/our-correct-predictions
Many others will be in their absolute element at present with the mainly damp squib of snow events that they called more accurately than myself on this occasion.
However, the weather prediction game is a results scenario and sometimes they will go the right way, and then again sometimes not, and I'm not going to beat myself up over it and lose any sleep as in previous years and months when this has occurred.
At the end of the day it is what it is, and whilst some others seem to oddly revel in the reduced snow prospects of late for obvious reasons, we must also be fair and honest and remember the several heat spikes we predicted for the exact dates throughout last summer and autumn that these same forecasters ruled out and then came around to our idea many days later on multiple occasions, the exact dates of multiple storms and their overall scale, and the very cold and snowy end to November that was never meant to happen along with the correct snow dates before any other forecasters worldwide.
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
Surely these correct and accurate predictions don't count for absolutely nothing and I will therefore concentrate and remember these correct predictions often from in the face of adversity, and use my less accurate ones to learn from and hopefully improve my overall methodology.
https://exactaweather.com/our-correct-predictions
In essence it is a hazard of the role and something I will openly admit to (forecast errors and more info in the link below) but I certainly won't be beating myself up over it or sulking about it, and we move onwards and upwards, and there aren't many forecasters who have that good of a weather prediction history with proof that they can openly and honestly own up to and promote their errors whilst moving on to add to their collection of forecasting accolades that have been more right than anything elsewhere not only recently but historically too.
https://exactaweather.com/the-exacta-weather-story
That’s me for now guys!
Thanks to all those regulars who continue to support me and remember these facts. 😘
Regards,
James Madden, Exacta Weather
Current snow expectations and projections for the weekend + Spring 2025/March & April + are any more cold spells and wintry episodes due this year and when?
The models are now incorporating an area of precipitation that is likely to turn wintry or to snow in places through this weekend.
This is likely to happen from the early hours of Saturday (February 15) across certain parts of the far north and west of the country, as these unsettled conditions coincide with colder conditions to deliver what could be a fairly decent snow event for Scotland throughout Saturday and the exact dates previously opted for that could also extend into some other parts of northern and northeast England on present indicators.
Throughout Sunday we could also see an extension of these snow showers in these parts and potentially in some other parts to the east of the country and some other parts of northern and central England and Yorkshire before petering out later.
Unfortunately, the current projections have downgraded the earlier and quite widespread snow projections from this Saturday to what I have covered above, and unless we see some last minute intensifications, only those parts I have covered will be at risk of any snow and/or transient snow in this period.
However, with the way things have gone of late, I certainly wouldn't be banking on any last-minute intensifications of this scenario, although still entirely possible at this stage, particularly with the colder conditions that are expected to coincide with these weather developments during this weekend.
Looking further ahead, changes to some less cold or even mild weather can be expected at times later in the month and into March (something our unchanged winter 2024/25 forecast from several months earlier has always maintained).
However, our forecasts also expect and have maintained that the cold and wintry weather and/or wintry blast episodes would persist deep into spring in among some mild or very mild weather periods this year and why, and the next wintry blast potential after the current cool-cold and wintry weather moderates from later next week could come around month end and for in and around February 28 and prior to further expected and very late wintry blasts in March and April (April one is quite HIGH confidence).
James Madden, Exacta Weather
(13/02/2025)
Further details are to follow on this shortly and within the week-ahead weather update in the coming days...
Further enhanced details are also available in our detailed several-page reports for spring and summer 2025 below:
Will The Easterly Bring Snow This Week?
The cold easterly flow that is upon us and is likely to bring very cold temperatutres of around -8 to -10C in the coldest spots at a time that we opted for during the second half of January and/or early February from several months ahead (slightly out in timing) has produced minimal snow as of yet (there has been some but not as expected).
However, our projections from earlier last week also stated that around mid-month would be the time for the high risk and high impact type events for snow below.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1153915153404771/?app=fbl
The strongish signals are still there for something biggish and high impact for snow to strike later this week or on them exact quoted dates of around February 15...
We just need to wait on the others and the third-party models to hopefully strengthen up on this over the next few days and for this one to deliver.
There also isn't much point to an already repeated week ahead forecast and to repeat my snow forecast expectations for these dates (be them right or wrong) when I am already prepccupied with several other things at the minute too.
More to follow on this in the coming days...
James Madden, Exacta Weather
Monday 10/02/2025
Ever-increasing and on-cue high-risk SNOW opportunities from late Friday to Monday for the UK & Ireland + where?
The latest and now repeated outputs intensify that area of expected snow across southern regions and towards the capital from tomorrow afternoon/evening and into Saturday, including parts now as far south out as southwest England and Wales and with further snow showers as far north as northeast England and to the east of Scotland in the same period.
Something we have been conveying in multiple and repeated snow updates throughout this week for these locations and in yesterday's very detailed and early snow warning update before anything else available elsewhere.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1153915153404771/?app=fbl
Additional and sporadic snow showers could also pop up literally anywhere in this same period, and the latest and repeated outputs also intensify the snow potential on late Sunday and into Monday across parts of southeast England to begin with, before becoming more extensive across other southern regions and southwest England, central regions, Wales, northern and northeast and to the east of England and Scotland, and some less intense snow to parts of the south, east, and north of Ireland.
This also matches our several month-ahead subscribers winter report for this type of exact weather event to develop for the dates of the second half of January and/or into early February because of an earlier and expected major disturbance in the upper atmosphere.
Enjoy, everyone but also take care of the obvious hazards that come with cold weather and SNOW! (something the others tried to play down for obvious reasons and half-called for mid-February but can't or won't be able to sustain for much longer)
James Madden, Exacta Weather
Prolonged cold and wintry period to kick off within days, and when will high-impact winter weather and snow strike…
Throughout Friday evening and into this weekend, we will start to see the first of these wintry and potentially moderate to heavy snow showers pushing in across southern and eastern parts of the country towards the far south-east of the country and the capital under a much colder airflow.
The colder airflow across our shores will also allow for the formation of snow showers in other parts of the country away from the southern and eastern quadrants during this same period, particularly, in some large parts of northeast England and in some parts to the east of Scotland.
Additionally, some hit-and-miss moderate to heavy snow showers could pop up anywhere in other southern regions away from the southeast and parts of northern and central England and Yorkshire in this same period, with some first wintry showers and snow in Wales and some parts to the east and far north of Ireland.
From around Sunday evening and into Monday will then bring an even greater risk of more organised heavy and settling snow to develop across large swathes of the country in combination with much colder conditions, and although the finer details still need ironing out on this one, there is an increasingly high chance of potentially disruptive snow that should warrant warnings across parts of southern, eastern, central, northern and north-eastern England, Scotland and then potentially later to parts of the east and north of Ireland and Wales once again.
The cold weather throughout next week will also allow for any accumulating and heavy snow to stick around on the ground (even to lower levels) for several days, and the continued risk for passing and widespread snow showers will continue to heighten through the week before a very big and HIGH-risk type IMPACT event for snow and extreme winter weather types in and around mid-February.
Further details are to follow on this over the coming days, but the arrival of widespread cold and snow is now literally imminent and more than set to deliver on our part in terms of a prolonged cold and snowy period with some HIGH-IMPACT weather events for snow.
James Madden, Exacta Weather
(05/02/2025)
Cool to cold week ahead, with snow showers in places midweek before an Easterly influence and widespread snow showers for most within our earlier predicted dates...
The upcoming week will begin on a fairly calm and settled note as thanks to the expected influence of high pressure rises allowing for the formation of fog and frosts.
Throughout Tuesday evening and into early Wednesday will also see wintry snow showers forming sporadically across large parts of Ireland and then later to parts of the west of Scotland and northern England.
Additionally, it could very well be that some of this wintry weather could become a little more extensive than current indicators.
Towards the end of the working week and into next weekend will see more of an Easterly and/or northerly/NE influence starting to take shape across our shores to deliver at least a several day cold and very snowy period for our exact quoted and much earlier dates starting around "February 8-15".
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1149245563871730/?app=fbl
At first, they could be more hit-and-miss snow showers across eastern and southern parts of the country before becoming more intense in nature and more widespread during the above quoted period.
With this major cold and snow on the very near horizon due to the awakening of cold easterly winds and others starting to pick up on this, we can refer back to our several day ahead projections for this below.
Additionally, our long-range and unchanged winter forecast from several months earlier also opted for this type of development or a memorable weather event of this type during and around the second half of January and/or early February and the exact causality factors behind it (I will also publish this shortly)...
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1149245563871730/?app=fbl
Happy Sunday, everyone!
James Madden: Exacta Weather
Latest Weather Update/February + Fog/Frost + Could The Beast Be Awakening Anytime Soon And/Or A Cold Northerly & Some Proper Snow?
The largely much more settled weather and even sunny spells will continue over the next several days from high pressure influenced weather continuing into the weekend and beyond.
A "prolonged" and more settled period of much "quieter" weather was covered for these dates and beyond this in our dated week ahead forecast below from several days earlier, and as the more unsettled and expected stormy weather of late moves away from our shores.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1146633717466248/?app=fbl
Additionally, the expected unsettled weather across southern areas during midweek resulted in more thundery rain and showers than any wintry weather or snow on our part and to follow the trend with the more recent winter storms in terms of snow production and it not being cold enough at these particular times, although there could have been some very brief wintry weather or snow in certain parts of southwest England if anyone was up late enough to catch this.
However, there are some final bands of precipitation and unsettled weather that could turn wintry and to snow in parts of Scotland, northern England, some certain parts of central England, and potentially to the East of England, Wales, and parts of Northern Ireland during Thursday evening and Friday morning.
This is also something else that was additionally covered in our dated week-ahead forecast for these exact dates.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1146633717466248/?app=fbl
Beyond this and into next week and early February will see that 'prolonged' and expected period of 'largely settled' weather taking shape for many parts of the country, but it will result in some quite cool to cold temperatures with some developing widespread frosts in the evenings and even more of those widespread and dense fog patches at times across large parts of the country.
Beyond this, further and for in and around February 8-15, could then bring that cold easterly and/or northerly (possible combination of the two NE at times) and multiple widespread snow events for large parts of the country that we just missed out on recently and over several days at the very least.
Overall confidence is currently moderate and increasingly increasing to much higher levels for these expected weather developments to bring widespread snow and notable cold weather to the UK and Ireland from these expected to develop weather scenarios, with some also increasing signals from elsewhere for similar dates or a little bit later in the above quoted period around early to mid-February.
Additionally, our further ahead reports also cover why we expect these types of weather patterns to return at times deep into spring:
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
Can I also just say a big thank you to all of you who took the time out to comment and react to my most recent post below with such heartfelt messages and comments (they mean a lot), and I have taken the last several days to rest and shut off from everything before completing and analysing my previous long-range forecast details and my latest forecast output and analysis for this current update fully refreshed and sufficiently rested.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1147000327429587/?app=fbl
Unfortunately, the current antibiotics have not worked for me, and they are likely to change to something much stronger during my next appointment in the coming days.
Additionally, some of the updates could therefore be less frequent than normal, as the medication I am likely to return to is much stronger and more draining but likely to do the job better (I refused this initially and recently to prevent this from happening) hence such a detailed weather update here and a relaxed and calm approach to what is expected from myself for further ahead and the final part of this winter.
Furthermore, a thankful period of more settled and high-confidence quieter weather from the weather gods and on my part at a much-needed time is welcomed and really doesn't need to be repeatedly repeated by myself to you all, and which is also increasingly likely (high-pressure rises) to effectively nudge in a very cold and worthwhile snowy period across our shores later in February.
Regards,
James Madden: Exacta Weather
30/01/2025
Despite overnight bringing some wintry showers to parts of England and Wales to begin with, they never really amounted to much overall and were simply overcome by not cold enough temperatures.
Some passing rain bands could still turn wintry in certain places throughout today, but in essence we really needed that easterly in among our shores for several days prior to a sudden and little later change to these series of storms and the widespread snow events that would have followed for it to be more memorable for such factors.
Even though I can honestly claim some success with the logistics and timings of the recent named storms before many others, unfortunately and also honestly, my efforts have failed in their overall expectations on this occasion for snow and widespread snow.
If I'm being honest, I came into this last week very excited and confident on the overall snow prospects, particularly after the unusual and snowy second half of November cold that was never meant to happen from elsewhere, and the further snow and additional snow dates arriving on time to match my earlier long-range efforts at times in December and January.
The exact same methodology that managed to identify all of these previous correct weather events on my part was also applied here, and I'm more than happy to admit and try and learn from such forecasting errors.
Additionally, it also tells me that my methodology certainly isn't foolproof or as tight as I thought it was entering this last few weeks, but I can also admit it and take it on the chin with such a ratio of past and recent weather events and my long-range reports that more often than not speak for themselves.
However, how certain individuals continue to use my work including certain aspects of the media has got the better of me and frustrated me a lot of late and is something I need to make decisions on in going forward to totally eradicate and not impact upon my concentration levels.
I also really don't have the energy to be dealing with such things no more or with those who think they have an entitlement to just take my work, and it is running me down personally and needs reviewing, as I've also had several off days in recent weeks due to recurring illness (see current medication image in comments) and no doubt due to the overall stress of this situation I'm desperate to try and stop.
I'm also not making excuses here or looking for sympathy but being more honest on my current situation, and I'm even as honest to say that the forecast errors were made and stuck to by myself for this last week before I started to struggle with illness due to my already lowered immune system from my IBD medication, for which I have also honestly provided a dated image of my current medication in the comments section below.
Future forecast updates announcement and weather reports to follow shortly...
Regards and speak soon,
James (27/01/2025)
UK & Ireland Week Ahead Weather Update + More Winter Storms & Heavy Snow In Places Before Some Much Quieter Weather...
The next wave of unsettled and stormy weather will start to approach from the far south of the UK and Ireland once again during this evening and into the early hours of tomorrow.
Initially this will bring rain and moderate to strong winds across the far southwest and across southern England and Ireland before spreading northwards across all other areas during tomorrow.
However, as this rain and unsettled conditions push northwards from the early hours of Monday, they will begin to turn wintry in nature and there is a good risk of some moderate to heavy and settling snow in this period in some parts of Wales to begin with and with the possibility of some less intense and transient snow in parts of eastern and western coastal areas in Ireland and southern Ireland.
From around 2AM Monday until around 9AM will then bring a significantly heightened risk for some quite heavy and settling snow across some parts of central and northern England, particularly but not restricted to some large parts of northern and northwest England and some parts of central England towards Birmingham or Nottingham during the early hours before transferring to the north and Scotland later.
The risk of further snow will continue as the next stormy bout passes through tomorrow afternoon and evening in some parts of northwest and northern England and Wales.
After a temporarily quieter run of weather, we will begin to see another stormy feature approaching from the south during Wednesday evening and into Thursday and this will initially bring further rain and strong winds to many parts of southern England and some central areas at first, before turning to potentially moderate to heavy snow during Wednesday evening and Thursday in these same localities (southern and central England) and some parts of Wales (may extend further north yet).
The good news it that this will then pave the way for some much more settled and better weather afterwards over a potentially prolonged time period, but we do expect more winter storms and the snow to return at certain points, particularly heading into spring and deep spring on our current forecasting projections.
However, around Friday 31st January could also bring some last and widely distributed snow showers across the north (at least moderate confidence and one to watch for)…
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
Our dated week ahead forecast re-covered the earlier named storm we had been previously covering and the next pending one by stating:
"The 2 x expected winter storms and/or named storms (significant low-pressure areas) will then make their approach around Friday and again on Sunday/Monday, bringing with them strong to exceptionally strong winds at times and rain to begin with."
"However, it will also be cold enough at particular times during this Friday-to-Sunday/Monday period for widespread and disruptive snow showers to develop across large parts of the UK and Ireland in among these windy and stormy conditions."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1141949544601332/?app=fbl
“These strong winds could also become very strong and reach over AT LEAST 70-90 MPH in some of the worst hit regions during Friday, particularly in some western parts of the country, Scotland, and across parts of Northern Ireland.”
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1142982827831337/?app=fbl
Another earlier update stated the following about next week:
"However, the next series of the Atlantic weather influences after this from Monday to Wednesday of next week will arrive and coincide and mix with some much cooler air at times in this same period to bring further snow possibilities well into next week."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1144586867670933/?app=fbl
Yesterday's update followed this up further by also stating:
"This will then pave the way for some similar weather scenarios to develop around the middle of next week but with more of a snow risk, including more southern regions quite far south."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1145429247586695/?app=fbl
I know most people are all for the snow prospects, but I have also covered these expected winter storms and the overall scale in other areas on my part quite well...
Again, stay safe and take care!
https://exactaweather.com/uk-short-range-weather
James Madden: Exacta Weather
26/01/2025
The following two updates and videos from much earlier last year (early October 2024) explained why we are seeing so many storms (way above-average) and why they were expected to continue in the long-term autumn and winter periods.
And several major winter storms later with more to come...
Plus our dated news article covering this from several years earlier >>>
https://vm.tiktok.com/ZGdAWPLuc/
Named and expected winter storm set to arrive from Friday, and it WILL bring widespread snow + When are where snow warnings are likely to be issued? Explained…
Prior to the now first named and expected storm arriving across our shores during the early hours of Friday morning we will also see rain turning temporarily to snow or heavy and settling snow in places (higher and lower elevations) on Thursday afternoon and evening in parts across the northern half of the UK and Ireland and potentially in some parts as far south as central England, Wales, and to the east of Ireland.
The named winter storm will then make its presence felt across large parts of the UK and Ireland from around late Thursday and during the early hours of Friday, initially bringing with it strong winds and heavy rain.
These strong winds could also become very strong and reach over at least 70-90 MPH in some of the worst hit regions during Friday, particularly in some western parts of the country, Scotland, and across parts of Northern Ireland.
It WILL also be cold enough for some widespread and disruptive heavy snow showers to form from expected these developments during Friday, and I would be very surprised if there aren’t any snow warnings in place from elsewhere across some large parts of northern England and Scotland and Northern Ireland for this period.
Parts as far south as some central regions could also see rain turning to temporary snow during this same period of earlier Friday but there is a bit more of a fine line for being definitive on snow occurring here, and will have to be more of a wait and see event for these parts.
However, our forecast still also fully expects widespread snow showers to continue in the days after this (something our forecast has always stated for these dates) as I will explain.
From around Friday evening and into early Saturday will see further snow and heavy snow across some large parts of the north, including northern England, Scotland, and Northern Ireland, for which apt weather warnings are also likely to be issued.
Those snow showers will continue into this weekend and could also become well-organised to give some moderate to heavy and potentially accumulating snow in parts as far south as the capital and southern England and some central regions (for which warnings are also likely to follow from elsewhere).
Early to mid-Saturday will see that snow risk being highlighted by others in southern England and potentially towards the capital of the country, and around Saturday evening and into the early hours of Sunday WILL see the snow risk heightening once again across some large parts of the north including Scotland and northern England and potentially to the north and west of Ireland a little earlier.
Some of these final snow and heavy snow showers for this week WILL also be likely to reach as parts as far south as some central regions and parts of Wales during this same end of the week period.
Our dated winter storm warnings and snow expectations from several days earlier for these exact days and dates.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1139378431525110/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1140465578083062/?app=fbl
Our most recent week ahead forecast also went a little further and strongly showed at least 1-2 named storms for this upcoming period:
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1141949544601332/?app=fbl
James Madden: Exacta Weather
(22/01/2025)
Calm Before The Expected Winter Storms & Snow...
The start of this week and the next few days will see a continuation of thick cloud cover, mist/fog in places, and some passing showers in among some fairly calm and cool weather.
However, the calm before the storm quote will be very apt here, as some strong weather systems and/or potentially named winter storms look set to push in from the Atlantic later in the week.
Prior to this and throughout Thursday, we will see those showers increasing in nature across large parts of the country, and they will also start to turn wintry and snowy, even to some lower levels across some large parts of the northern half of the UK and Ireland and in parts potentially as far south as some central regions.
The 2 x expected winter storms and/or named storms (significant low-pressure areas) will then make their approach around Friday and again on Sunday/Monday, bringing with them strong to exceptionally strong winds at times and rain to begin with.
However, it will also be cold enough at particular times during this Friday-to-Sunday/Monday period for widespread and disruptive snow showers to develop across large parts of the UK and Ireland in among these windy and stormy conditions.
Time to consider battening down those hatches for more winter storms once again (due to long-term Gulf Stream changes) and preparing for further snow!
All as previously covered in our earlier forecast expectations and further winter storms for these same dates...
May I also apologise and explain regarding the lateness of this week's more detailed week-ahead update...
Unfortunately, early Monday or at the weekend seems to have become a prime time for certain aspects of the press to continue stealing and twisting my hard forecast work (I switched it to these days to avoid this) and I really don't like having to mix things up a bit on my part to prove this and feel sort of deceitful in having to now hold back certain information from what I would have normally put out to within the public domain by now.
However, the amount of people who continue to make money out of my back and steal my work is literally at ridiculous levels and needs addressing, as they are also not thorough with what has been said and can often include misleading headlines that don't match my included "quotations."
Additionally, to prove this further and remain honest to myself and my page followers, even though a cold easterly was on the cards within other third-party model projections, did any of my updates use or mention the words "easterly" or "beast from the east" ONCE prior to or during these projections from elsewhere?
I only ever referred to the "easterly" potential once it was passing or had passed altogether, and please feel free to check this for yourself in all the dated posts below.
Additionally, I also pointed out VERY QUICKLY in numerous updates and DURING these changes from elsewhere that the alternative and equally weighted scenario would still bring winter storms, widespread snow prospects and colder conditions than anticipated with the expected timings for this for the exact dates of this week.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1138939054902381/?app=fbl
I am also well aware that many of you are aware of this whole charade with the press and people copying and misinterpreting my hard work, but there are others who aren't and just see the version that pays and benefits the others the best.
James Madden: Exacta Weather
UK & Ireland Spring & Summer 2025 Weather Reports…
Any preorder or lifetime and 5-year subscribers who haven't already received the above reports or previous subscribers (we believe most of you have them already) please email us at the following email, and we will sort this as quickly as possible for you:
The Severe Wintry Weather & Snow Persist Across Britain & Ireland This Week, But For How Long & When Will The More Memorable Cold/Snow Arrive...
The wintry, icy, and snowy conditions have been persisting in some large parts of the north overnight and into early today (Monday), and some parts of northern, central, and eastern and southern England are all at risk of this precipitation band turning wintry in places through today and into this evening, and in parts of Wales and Ireland.
Additionally, our last several website updates and dated postings on here, and since the week before last, have clearly stated that this snowy period would persist for several days once it started and again in parts further south from further expected low-pressure areas in this period.
One of those low-pressure areas will arrive in and around Wednesday afternoon/evening and into early Thursday, and this will once again bring the risk of some moderate to heavy snow in parts of southern England and towards the capital.
The current projections are also for this low pressure to be more of a southern England-only snow event unless we see some changes to drag in some parts further north between now and then.
However, frequent snow showers will still continue to develop across parts away from the south of the UK and Ireland during this working week, and although anywhere could see a passing one, they will be more likely in coastal areas and parts of Wales in addition to some further heavier snow showers across Scotland and Northern Ireland/Ireland.
Additionally, our last several website updates and dated postings on here stated that these conditions would start to head back to normal by the end of this upcoming week, but only after another low-pressure and stormy area brings the risk of further at least transient snow for in and around next weekend and prior to this event starting to turn things much milder.
At present the other main third-party computer models are not fully buying a stormy or at least transient snowy period as this low-pressure feature passes through around next weekend, but we could see details of this changing as the week progresses, and it is definitely a work in process for the finer details and its overall snow prospects as of yet, but a respite in the colder weather and snow potential will reduce for several days significantly following on from this milder and windy weather and rain transition afterwards.
Unfortunately, with the thaw will come ample flood warnings once again...
Additionally, our several-month-ahead winter subscribers report covered a major snow event for these exact dates in early January, in addition to what we expect to be an even more memorable weather event later in January and possibly into at least early February, which we still expect to occur with even higher confidence on an already high confidence scenario due to the recent and expected cold and snow that has taken shape so nicely.
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter
Throughout much of the last working week, we had snow across Scotland and in parts of northeast England and Ireland, and although not to the exact scale we had expected, it snowed when we said it would again, and images are available of snow in these locations for then via X and our Facebook page.
However, the more recent and continuing snowstorm of this weekend was more to scale and included snow in parts that were never meant to see any snow (London), according to others (it was also always touted and covered as the biggest of these TWO snowy/stormy periods on our part).
Our posting from 29 December and below (8 DAYS AGO) covering the past working week snow events and something bigger for the weekend/snowstorm, including parts of southern England.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1124976309631989/?app=fbl
Additionally, below are some of the heaviest snow images from yesterday, courtesy of X, and the link provided below also contains further images of the snowstorm and snow-filled roads across some large parts of the country during early Sunday morning.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1130163385779948/?app=fbl
For those non-snow enthusiasts or more warm-weather lovers…
Our UK & Ireland Spring & Summer 2025 long-range forecasts provide details on when and what to expect for the upcoming spring and summer 2025 periods.
The full and final spring 2025 (March-May) and preliminary summer 2025 (June-August) weather forecasts will shortly be ready and sent out via PDF download and delivered instantly to subscribers/lifetime subscribers.
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
Our latest two seasonal forecasts (summer 2024 and autumn 2024) since returning with Exacta Weather are available for free download below and are digitally dated to offer proof of many long-range weather events several months prior to their occurrence.
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-2024-free-report
https://exactaweather.com/summer-2024-free-report
The half-price pre-order price for non- or new subscribers is just 9.00 (usually 18.00) and guarantees immediate delivery upon completion and several additional reports/updates from mid-January and onwards.
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
Subscribers £10 to all forecasts offer is only available in the link below to brand new subscribers:
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
James Madden: Exacta Weather
(06/01/2025)
A Multitude of Widespread Snow Events from Saturday for the UK & Ireland + When, Where & How…
The risk of any wintry weather or snow will continue throughout this afternoon and evening in some coastal fringes of eastern England and Scotland, in addition to some possible wintry weather across at least higher ground in some parts of the far north and west of Ireland.
This will then pave the way for the first of a multitude of widespread and major snow events for several days throughout much of Saturday, but particularly more so from around midday for many parts of the UK and Ireland.
Initially the snow and wintry weather will start to form during Saturday morning/afternoon across parts of southwest England and Southern Ireland.
The snow will then expand to many other southern parts of the country, including in and around the capital, before spreading further afield and intensifying across parts of central England, Yorkshire, and many parts of Ireland, before intensifying even further during Saturday evening and into much of Sunday across large parts of northern and northeast England, Scotland, and Northern Ireland.
To summarise and conclude for the weekend snow event, many parts of the far south (UK and Ireland) are likely to see snow or moderate settling snow in places from around early Saturday for an hour or two and then later on Monday.
Other southern regions will also experience some slightly more intensified moderate to heavy settling snow showers in comparison to parts of the very far south as this winter storm begins to take shape on Saturday and clashes with the cold conditions as it moves northwards/northeastwards.
Additionally, many parts of central England and Yorkshire and many other parts of Ireland are also likely to see snow or moderate to heavy and settling snow in places from Saturday afternoon, particularly down the central spine of the country and in parts of Staffordshire and Yorkshire for any heavier snow.
Additionally, some extra caution must be advised for the next region summaries, as some large parts of northern and northeast England, Wales, Scotland, and Northern Ireland are at risk of some potentially severe conditions from some very heavy and settling snow throughout Saturday evening and into much of Sunday, and major disruption or a potential red weather warning could even be issued in some of these parts, particularly across parts of northwest England and Wales.
From next Monday and through much of next week, we will also see the snow risk remaining in place for many, and it will also significantly heighten and return across parts of southern England once again as further expected weather features sweep southwards during early next week, and a potentially later-in-the-week stormy period looks to keep the snow prospects, or at least transient snow prospects, quite good during next week, particularly during the Monday to Wednesday/Thursday period and in and around next weekend and how they will coincide with the colder conditions for more further widespread snow events.
A breakdown of these colder and wintry conditions is more likely to happen towards the end of the next week, but only after one final transient snowy and stormy episode will we see some sort of respite from these overall conditions.
Our much earlier forecast updates on this stated:
"Further multiple and significant low-pressure areas will then continue to barrage in across our shores and bring further very windy weather throughout this upcoming WEEKEND under a much colder airflow, and this will initially bring further snow and heavy snow to parts of SOUTHERN England and SOUTHERN Ireland on multiple occasions prior to the north on this occasion."
"However, parts of the north of the UK and Ireland will also face further significant snow later this WEEKEND and continuing into NEXT WEEK as these significant areas of low pressure and stormy conditions continue to arrive but under much more favourable, optimum, and much colder conditions for multiple and widespread snow events across large parts of the UK and Ireland over a quite SUSTAINED time period."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1124976309631989/?app=fbl
"However, by SUNDAY many parts of the country (UK and Ireland) are now likely to be at the risk of seeing snow and heavy snow, and snow warnings will be in place across large parts of the country (north and south) as a MAJOR spell of cold and snow arrives across our shores and persists with variation for SEVERAL days."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1126402869489333/?app=fbl
James Madden: Exacta Weather
When, where, and how widespread snow will fall over the next 7-10 days as a sustained and expected cold, wintry, and stormy period with multiple widespread snow events begins...
(both in the north and south of the UK and Ireland)...
I hope everyone has had a good festive period that was dominated by a spell of rather benign, mild, drizzly, and foggy weather for many.
However, the calm before the storm, or storms and widespread snowstorms, would be more apt, as the upcoming week will now see an upsurge from this quieter weather activity as more expected stormy and windy weather returns (some of these storms could be named) and coincides with some much colder weather to deliver multiple and widespread snow events across some large parts of the country.
Initially, the first of these heavy and settling snow showers will begin during the early hours of Monday morning across parts of the far north of Scotland and even to lower levels in these parts whilst persisting throughout much of Tuesday, with elsewhere remaining more cloudy, showery, and windy.
However, the 'first' significant low-pressure area for the upcoming week will begin to arrive and have implications upon our weather with very windy conditions from around the early hours of Wednesday and into Thursday, when it will be cold enough for some significant and heavy snow showers to develop across higher and lower ground across large swathes of the northern half of the country (both the UK and Ireland).
Additionally, as the colder air starts to dig in during late Wednesday and into Thursday, the widespread snow risk will then transfer into more central and southern parts of the country, and any earlier rain in these parts will also turn to snow later in parts of southeast and eastern England.
Further multiple and significant low-pressure areas will then continue to barrage in across our shores and bring further very windy weather throughout this upcoming weekend under a much colder airflow, and this will initially bring further snow and heavy snow to parts of southern England and southern Ireland on multiple occasions prior to the north on this occasion.
However, parts of the north of the UK and Ireland will also face further significant snow later this weekend and continuing into next week as these significant areas of low pressure and stormy conditions continue to arrive but under much more favourable, optimum, and much colder conditions for multiple and widespread snow events across large parts of the UK and Ireland over a quite sustained time period.
Additionally, to increase confidence, I can state that these imminent snow events are of much higher confidence than anything we experienced in late November and the winter to date, and I can stick my neck on the line with this one and say that MANY parts of the country (UK and Ireland) WILL see some notable and heavy snow from Wednesday morning and evening and for up to several days after.
The following double-posted update from mid-December also stated the following in reference to this "snowy" and "stormy" period for these exact dates:
"However, another potentially snowy and stormy period could still follow on from this, and for in and around the final days of December and to start 2025."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1116124123850541/?app=fbl
An additional Christmas website and Facebook update also promised widespread snow events as a parting gift for Christmas for these exact dates by stating:
"Our several-month-ahead subscribers winter report and recent forecast indications for the 'final days of December and early 2025' are still highly set for a widespread snowy period on our current forecast indicators (around early next week starting 30 Dec)."
"I'll be back before long to bring home that late December snow event, which should then also be on the radars of all the others."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1120559536740333/?app=fbl
These also match our much longer-range forecast projections and those of our unchanged winter 2024/25 subscribers report for these exact dates in late December and early 2025.
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
Enjoy, everyone, but also take care!
James Madden: Exacta Weather
Major Cold & Wintry Weather For November + Widespread November Snow To Strike On Cue From Later This Week & Beyond!
From this upcoming weekend will see the first snow showers of the upcoming transition to some much colder weather starting to fall across parts of the north to begin with as an initially quite cold northerly for November begins to establish some expected and quite stark changes for most and if not all parts of the country during this period, as I will explain.
The developing snow showers throughout this weekend will initially be more notable across higher ground and sporadically to some lower levels at times in parts of Scotland, northern England, and Northern Ireland, and then later across some large parts of Wales and potentially to some parts of southwest England.
However, from Monday of next week and through to around Wednesday (18th-20th November) will now bring a significantly heightened risk for some widespread and potentially notable snow for November at times across some large parts of the country from the far north to the far south of the country as the widespread wintry weather and snow showers really begin to take ahold across large parts of the UK and Northern Ireland/Ireland.
Our much earlier updates on this also pinpointed the exact dates of in and around November 19-20 for these changes to start taking effect across our shores.
Additionally, a similar sort of theme is likely to play out throughout the rest of next week, and the signals are strong for the wintry weather and widespread snow risk to continue throughout much of this above period and beyond for the exact key dates we opted for in late November, for which many other forecasters were basically mocking myself/exacta and posting repeated headline titles within their weather updates about NO snow anytime soon.
Time for them to eat their own words and choke on them as a very potent period of wintry weather and quite widespread snow for November arrives on cue across our shores to deliver the first proper and major cold and wintry weather of this autumn and winter.
In essence, there is now likely to be quite a lot of snow warnings in place from this weekend and throughout much of next week, and large parts of the country will certainly experience some form of wintry weather or snow during next week, particularly in some parts of northern, eastern, central, and southern parts of the country later in this given period (heavy snow).
Additionally, our 125+ days ahead subscribers and follow-up forecasts for late November also opted for a high-confidence cold and wintry period for this exact period of November with snow in parts much further south than normal, and after all the expected high pressure rises on our part in the earlier part of the same autumn report for September to November + the earlier stormy periods for the exact dates in September and October.
Enjoy, everyone!
Regards,
James Madden: Exacta Weather
12/11/2024
Further expected widespread snow dates for December to February 2025 in the Winter Weather Outlook + What else to expect…
Temperatures peak at a very hot 34.8°C, but turning much cooler and more unsettled. When is the next heat surge likely?
It was the hottest day of the year earlier today, with temperatures falling just short of 35°C (34.8C).
Our detailed posting below and via Facebook above from 4 weeks in advance clearly depicts the incoming heat event for these exact dates by stating:
"The next opportunity of much 'higher' confidence has been repeatedly showing in our forecasts for several weeks now for in and around August 10, and the overall period of August 10-15 looks extremely favourable for some kind of major heat surge due to a strong area of high pressure pushing in across our shores (UK and Ireland)."
"It is important to note that these potential heatwaves or heat surges in August are bonus heatwaves, so to speak, and were not actually part of our original long-range summer forecast, for which we had expected a quick reversion to the predominant cooler and unsettled conditions of much of the summer to date once again."
"However, as with the mid-to-late June heat surge with temperatures exceeding 30°C, which we identified and repeated from late May onwards due to some earlier and repeated forecast indicators that were not in our original projections (still a long range forecast in itself), and this is pretty much the same for this one in and around August 10."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/995325239263764/?app=fbl
Our much earlier forecast indications for this period were also quoted in the national news several weeks ahead of time (Daily Mirror).
"Madden also identified around August 10 to August 15 as when this second "heat surge" will strike."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-faces-high-30cs-heatwave-33239125.amp
The BBC and Met Office apps were almost 10°C out (9.8C) with maximum temperatures in the UK for this period! 🌞 🔥 🥵
Our earlier and dated posting is below:
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1011786310950990/
Our posting from last week in reference to today's maximum temperatures of at least 34°C!
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1013617134101241/
Signals are ever-increasing for the hot to very hot weather to return during late August/later next week and into September...
There are currently some increasing signals for another major heat surge during late August or for one to develop over several days in and around August 20–25 (same as our weekend update on this).
Four consecutive heat surges have occurred for almost or on the exact dates on our part throughout this summer in repeated reports and updates dating anywhere from 4 to 16 weeks in advance, which therefore increases confidence to something moderately higher.
Another hot to very hot period from another high pressure build is now gaining strength for our originally earmarked period to subscribers and our earlier updates for around August 20–25, and is also something I have been covering as a possibility for recent updates.
Additionally, these high pressure rises are even more confident to continue into September at times, but with some notable caveats that have been covered in the subscriber reports and also something that I will post more details on at a later date.
Unfortunately, there is still a quite prolonged and much cooler and unsettled theme on the cards for many prior to this next heat surge, and this is also something I have been forewarning of repeatedly for much of the second half of August.
The following and subsequent dated website and Facebook updates from last week also stated the following in reference to this:
"Unfortunately, beyond this upcoming weekend does look rather cool and unsettled for the foreseeable, with the only crumb of hope coming from a potentially 'low to moderate' confidence heat burst later in August as the cool and unsettled theme becomes the more predominant feature from a more southerly driven jet stream (something we have covered predominantly over the past several months)."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1011786310950990/
"Additionally, from in and around next Wednesday (August 14th) or possibly earlier, we will see a more prolonged run for a southerly driven jet stream developing, which will in turn bring a much cooler and unsettled theme for the foreseeable future for many (you have been warned), and it could also feel quite autumnal at times for the height of summer and August."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1012948724168082/
"However, from Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, we will see areas further north turning gradually and significantly cooler and more unsettled, and this will eventually drag in most, if not all, parts of the country for a potentially prolonged period and somewhat of a potentially widespread thundery breakdown as next week progresses."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1013617134101241/
The subsequent Daily Mirror articles from earlier last month (July) and earlier last week also stated:
Madden reckons the second half of August will bring "some much cooler and unsettled weather."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-faces-high-30cs-heatwave-33239125.amp
Exacta Weather forecaster James Madden said: "At the very least, we are going to see temperatures well in excess of 30C to 35C in the hottest parts of the country later this week!"
Madden did add that, after this upcoming weekend, conditions do "look rather cool and unsettled for the foreseeable."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-weather-exact-dates-heatwave-33398643
But the summer and sun will still be returning, plus for Ireland too.
More forecast details are to follow on this shortly.
James Madden: Exacta Weather
12/08/2024, 20:00
UK & Ireland Autumn and Winter 2024/25 Weather Reports 🍂🍃❄️🌨️🥶
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
This is currently the only section that is monetized via Exacta Weather, and any revenue generated will simply be reinvested in trying to cover running costs and future free services via the website or apps.
This works out at less than £4 per report for 5 reports in total and is for those in need of a longer-range forecast for business or commercial requirements.
1 x 4-page Autumn 2024 report upon purchase (September - December)
1 x SSW report and dates for early winter 2024/25 upon purchase
1 x September 2024 report in August
1 x October 2024 report in September
1 x November 2024 report in October
Instant email delivery upon purchase
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
Temperatures start to rise today as a HOT SUMMER WEEKEND arrives on cue for many!
From today (Thursday), we will see high pressure starting to push in across our shores, and this will start to influence a significant rise in temperatures from today and into this weekend.
This will initially see temperatures reaching or nearing 20°C throughout this afternoon quite widely, and some parts of the southeast could see temperatures reaching or passing 25°C later today.
Throughout tomorrow (Friday), we will once again see temperatures reaching or nearing 20°C quite widely, and the heat will start to become more extensive across parts of southern and eastern England, where temperatures will rise into the mid- to high 20s in some places during Friday afternoon.
A similar theme and temperatures will continue into Saturday (10th AUGUST), before things really turn up a notch throughout Sunday and into Monday, when temperatures could reach as high as 32-34°C in some parts of southern and eastern England.
Additionally, temperatures are also likely to reach into the mid- to high 20s at the peak of this in many other parts of the country during this Sunday to Monday period.
Even some heat-starved and large parts of Ireland and certain parts of Scotland are also likely to see temperatures ranging in the low to mid-20s at the peak of these developments during this same period, particularly on Sunday.
Warm to summery conditions but not as hot as the previous days, then look to cling on for at least another 2-4 days in parts of the south of the country during the next week to begin with.
However, from Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, we will see areas further north turning gradually and significantly cooler and more unsettled, and this will eventually drag in most, if not all, parts of the country for a potentially prolonged period and somewhat of a potentially widespread thundery breakdown as next week progresses.
Our update from earlier in the week also stated the following in reference to the above forecast details when there were no such indications from elsewhere:
"From in and around Wednesday and THURSDAY, we will see temperatures rising significantly once again as high pressure rises across our shores throughout this period and into THIS WEEKEND, delivering a much more summery and hot theme than current app indications."
"Another forced check of the current BBC and Met Office apps for this period and later this week are showing some very unsettled conditions and temperatures no higher than 19°C for my own location in Lancashire and no higher than 25°C for London."
Our much earlier forecast indications for this period in late June were also quoted in the national news in early July (Daily Mirror).
The same article also correctly covered the mid- and late-July heat surges and the incoming one at present before any other forecaster or forecasting company that is finally in recognition of this now.
"Madden also identified around August 10 to August 15 as when this second "heat surge" will strike."
"Madden reckons the second half of August will bring "some much cooler and unsettled weather."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-faces-high-30cs-heatwave-33239125.amp
James Madden: Exacta Weather
08/08/2024 - 05:00
UK & Ireland Autumn and Winter 2024/25 Weather Reports 🍂🍃❄️🌨️🥶
The forecasts are reduced by 50% in a limited-time offer until 5 p.m.
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
War Of The Weathermen Important Update...
I've literally only just spotted this one now, everyone, as I've started checking news and media articles periodically (to avoid any confusion from other contributors within the same articles for myself).
It is unusual for a national news article to do such a piece, but there are also some very true statements contained throughout by myself, and the Daily Star has done a great job of covering this "war of the weathermen." 😂
I wondered why the Met Office tried dressing up a new type of long-range weather forecast recently too. 😂
Thanks
https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/weathermen-war-met-office-slammed-33381917
Additionally, all our correct forecast predictions since 2010 are contained within the following links below, plus proof of this (something similar from a 170-year establishment compared to my 14 years would be nice to see):
https://exactaweather.com/the-exacta-weather-story
https://exactaweather.com/our-correct-predictions
James Madden: Exacta Weather
07/08/2024 - 07:00
