Looking further ahead to the rest of April and May after a mixed week of rain/showers, wintry weather/colder conditions, and sunny weather:
The expected weather pattern from around mid-April in all of our short-to-moderate-range weather forecasts of late has played out as expected during this week with various low pressure features, much colder and even wintry conditions in places, and periods of sunshine as the main weather features.
All as depicted in our week-ahead forecast for this period:
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1213411307455155/?app=fbl
Additionally, we did also point out in the same week-ahead forecast and numerous other updates that we expected the influence of multiple low pressure features (heavy rain and windy conditions) to continue for several days after the earlier midweek one in among some periods of better and sunny weather for some, particularly, away from the south and west of the country and Ireland.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1213411307455155/?app=fbl
This will also be the case for various low pressure features continuing into next week and until around midweek or a little later than around Monday to Wednesday/Thursday in these parts and some parts further afield, and prior to the influence of high pressure and potentially mild to warm conditions developing once again at times over the coming weeks.
However, we did also have longer-range forecast expectations for this colder and potentially wintry weather or even snow to intensify somewhat heading into late April and from on and around April 22, that were also starting to show up repeatedly on the exact same dates within several of the main third-party computer models during the past few weeks.
Additionally, it is quite clear to see that this opportunity has pretty much little or no validity for these original dates of around April 22 going forward and on the basis and consensus of the main third-party computer models going forward for snow potential, although I personally wouldn't rule out some transient snow in places on higher ground at the very least in the coming days.
The recent cooler and unsettled conditions of late could also have been a less potent version of what we were expecting for several days later and are now likely to be replaced with more of a high-pressure-influenced weather pattern as described in the above from later next week (not perfect but definitely more settled and much warmer from later next week).
However, this does not dispel any further unsettled, cooler, and potentially wintry weather to follow on from these high-pressure-influenced weather conditions during early to mid-May, particularly across the north and Scotland in early May, and prior to something potentially much warmer to maybe even hot at times during the second half of May (ALL matching our 100+ days ahead subscribers forecast for these exact periods and weather events in the first and second half of May).
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
Happy Easter Sunday everyone!
James Madden, Exacta Weather
Copyright © 2010-2025 Exacta Weather - All Rights Reserved.
A largely sunny Easter weekend with some showers or heavy showers in places, particularly in some southern (southwest) and western areas and Ireland on Good Friday and into the early part of the Bank Holiday weekend…
The main third-party computer models appear to have backed away from any wintry precipitation or snow potential during late April.
However, this is something that could still change back to those earlier projections from the current projections over the next 24–96 hours.
Watch this space for now and further details will follow on this in the coming days and later in the weekend.
Our detailed week ahead forecast stated the following in reference to this:
"The track of some further low-pressure areas with further heavy rain and unsettled conditions will more than likely continue to barrage across or NEAR our shores and influence our weather for several days after the midweek one has passed through, particularly more so in some parts to the SOUTH and WEST of the country."
"However, AWAY from these areas and regions above, we could also see some BRIGHTER spells in between these developing showers and unsettled conditions."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1213411307455155/?app=fbl
Have a great Easter weekend everyone!
Details on next week to follow shortly…
Regards,
James Madden, Exacta Weather
With the meteorological summer fast approaching, now would be a good time to revisit some of our (myself/exacta weather's) more historical and correct long-range summer forecasts that also include dated PROOF of the forecast events from several months ahead of occurrence in the chronological images and links provided below:
1. Summer 2011 (coldest in at least two decades)
2. Summer 2012 (wettest in 100 years)
3. Summer 2018 (equally the hottest summer ever)
4. The exact date range for the hottest day ever and/or a super heatwave in 2022
5. The record-breaking June heatwave in 2023
6. September 2023 - the hottest September ever and despite earlier criticism for forecasting such an event from the Met Office (includes dated images/proof of this from several months ahead in provided link below)
https://www.plymouthherald.co.uk/news/plymouth-news/met-office-say-african-plume-8437440
💥💥💥💥💥💥
Additional dated proof and images of all the above in the first three links below:
https://exactaweather.com/the-exacta-weather-story
https://exactaweather.com/our-correct-predictions
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
I'd really love to see something similar and of similar accuracy for just one ☝️ of these major summer weather events at a similar range from elsewhere... 🤔🤨
Regards to all,
James
Why an unusually cold and late wintry episode is on the horizon for our exact dates of around APRIL 22 from 90+ days ahead + digitally dated proof...
A number of the main third-party computer models are now strongly and repeatedly hinting at an unusually cold and wintry period with the prospect of snow even to some much lower levels and in parts quite far south for late April for in and around several days from the exact date of APRIL 22nd at present.
The following digitally dated document above is from early January and from within the first page of our subscribers' spring 2025 forecast from over 75–90 days ahead of the occurrence of the recent prolonged mild/warm (not HOT) weather in March and April, and for the exact dates for the earlier and pending wintry episodes that are now becoming in recognition from elsewhere and the main computer models for something exceptionally wintry for late April and the EXACT dates of around APRIL 22.
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
James Madden, Exacta Weather
Copyright © 2010-2025 Exacta Weather - All Rights Reserved.
Big and expected changes in the overall weather this week as it turns colder and more unsettled with numerous low pressure features + wintry weather...
Some quite big and expected changes on our part are expected through this upcoming week and to match ALL of our short, moderate, and long range subscribers forecast from 90+ days ahead for this exact period.
Initially, cooler conditions will begin to filter in across our shores and with this will come a significant drop in temperatures in comparison to of late and to start this week.
The cooler conditions will also be accompanied by some frequent bands of showers and heavy showers with the odd rumble of thunder, particularly more so in parts to the north, west, and across some southern regions.
Some of these precipitation bands will also have the potential to turn wintry across the highest ground in the far north to start this week.
From around the early hours of Wednesday morning and through much of that day and possibly into early Thursday, the weather will then bring what appears to be a significant area of low pressure that is likely to work northwards across many parts of the country, but particularly more so in some parts of the south and west of the country for some potentially heavy rain showers and strong winds in this same period.
Additionally, it will also be cold enough across some large parts of Scotland and certain parts of northern England for wintry weather and snow across higher ground at the very least and possibly temporarily to some much lower levels during late Wednesday and early Thursday.
The track of some further low-pressure areas with further heavy rain and unsettled conditions will more than likely continue to barrage across or near our shores and influence our weather for several days after the midweek one has passed through (a potentially named storm covered above), particularly more so in some parts to the south and west of the country.
However, away from these areas and regions above, we could also see some brighter spells in between these developing showers and unsettled conditions.
This will then more than likely pave the way for some additional and more potent wintry and cold weather that could even bring wintry precipitation, snow, or temporary snow, at the very least, to some much lower levels for very late in the season during next week and late April and, as covered in our 90+ days ahead spring forecast for these exact same dates and also prior to the correctly forecast mild to warm conditions of late.
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
90+ days ahead Spring 2025 forecast digitally dated image proves all of this:
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1211316924331260/?app=fbl
James Madden, Exacta Weather
Warm/mild weather is to be gradually replaced by cooler, unsettled, and even wintry weather + a more potent wintry episode with good snow potential for our exact dates of 90+ days ahead...
Other third-party model runs are now showing repeated indicators for a quite potent wintry episode over several days with snow potential even to lower levels for within our EXACT dates of 90+ days ahead that also predicted the previous and current mild to warm weather and high-pressure dominated episodes of late for the exact dates of expectancy and until later in the month for both March and April (originally 90+ days ahead forecast estimation was also for in and around APRIL 22ND for this next particular 'wintry episode' to occur).
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
Our additional and dated posting from earlier this week also stated all the following in reference to these correct forecast indicators from anything between 75 and 90+ days ahead of the occurrence of both the mild to warm (our forecast never used the word "HOT") and the incoming and past cold weather episodes in March and April for within our exact dates by stating:
"The same long-range subscriber's forecast also correctly covered some repeated MILD to WARM weather conditions from EARLY to mid-APRIL and until LATER in the month and prior to any much COLDER temperatures and possibly WINTRY developments for around a specific date in LATE APRIL (I will provide this nearer the time)."
"Additionally, it will also begin to turn somewhat COOLER and more UNSETTLED during the LATTER part of this WEEKEND and EARLY NEXT WEEK for SOME, and this will have the potential to turn WINTRY across the HIGHEST ground in the far north of Scotland on SUNDAY and pave the way for a potentially POTENT WINTRY BLAST to include other regions just prior to the final third of the month and into and around LATE APRIL."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1208609387935347/?app=fbl
All of our latest and dated short, moderate and long-range weather forecast updates repeated upon this same wintry weather forecast information with high-confidence from around mid to late April on the basis of our much earlier forecast analysis (people must have thought we were mad during the recent mild to warm weather episodes and several of my earlier posts on this at the same time received only 0–2 likes and minimum exposure).
Additionally, the wintry weather and wintry precipitation (sleet/snow) will begin to return across higher ground in the far north at the very least from tomorrow (Sunday) and into early next week, and prior to something more unusually wintry for late April with some decent snow potential in other regions away from the far north during the final third of April and from in and around April 22, possibly a little earlier.
Our 90+ days-ahead forecast for this same period below predicted the two other exact dates, or near exact dates, of two earlier cold episodes during spring (March and April) and the exact periods of expected but varying high pressure rises in March and April (mild to warm was always our projections for these periods and not HOT) also stated:
"LATE APRIL could also bring one of those more prolonged cold and wintry episodes for the time of the year, particularly around the period of around 22-29 April."
"Obviously, these won't have the same sting as, say, mid or late winter, but nevertheless they could become quite potent and even offer some temporary snow to some lower levels in this exact period that will now only be a handful of weeks away in terms of the start of the meteorological summer (1st June) with mild to warm weather periods prior to this and until LATER in April."
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
Happy Saturday all.
James Madden, Exacta Weather
Is A Wintry Blast & Colder Air Set To Replace The Mild/Warm & Sunny Weather & When...
Some much colder air and quite wintry runs keep surfacing within some of the various main weather models (a good signal) for in and around our exact dates during late April and from what will be a 90+ day ahead forecast in our long-range effort by then:
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
The same long-range subscriber's forecast also correctly covered some repeated mild to warm weather conditions from early to mid-April and until LATER in the month and prior to any much colder temperatures and possibly wintry developments for in and around a specific date in late April (I will provide this nearer the time).
Additionally, it will also begin to turn somewhat cooler and more unsettled during the latter part of this weekend and early next week for some, and this will have the potential to turn wintry across the highest ground in the far north of Scotland on Sunday and pave the way for a potentially potent wintry blast to include other regions just prior to the final third of the month and into and around late April.
Further details are to follow on this shortly...
James Madden: Exacta Weather
Largely settled and sunny for many parts for a prolonged period + winter/snow to return around mid-month...
High-pressure-influenced weather will keep the overall theme largely settled with ample periods of sunshine for many through the upcoming week.
This could also bring temperatures to and around the 20C mark in parts of southern England by the end of the working week and prior to some slightly cooler and cloudier weather by the upcoming weekend in parts further south.
Additionally, parts further north could hold on to the sunny conditions for several days longer due to the situation of high pressure influencing our weather and some of these parts further north could also see temperatures in the high teens or possibly 20C in the best of the sunshine over the next several to 10 days.
These expected settled and mild to warm conditions will then pave the way for another wintry blast with some quite decent snow prospects for quite late in the season and April from in and around mid to late April, possibly a little earlier.
Our 75+ days-ahead snapshot of our April subscribers' forecast depicts both expected periods of 1. mild to warm and 2. an early April colder spell (which actually occurred a few days earlier in late March instead) and prior to another expected cold and potentially potent wintry episode much later in April.
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=1198988545564098&id=100063588901621
Our week-ahead forecast from last weekend via the website and also in a later-dated Facebook post below, stated the following in reference to these expected changes to mild/warm and more settled weather conditions and to match our longer-range forecast projections for this same period in April.
"Things will then become potentially more SETTLED and WARMER once again from the south later in the weekend or early NEXT WEEK."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1194112726051680/?app=fbl
James Madden, Exacta Weather
UK & Ireland - Final Summer 2025 Report For June–August ☀️⛈️🥵🌪️
Very cold mornings over the next few days are set to be replaced by mild to maybe even warm conditions from tomorrow to Friday... + Will winter return and when?
Quite a cold start out there today, everyone, and this is also likely to intensify somewhat through this evening and during early tomorrow (Wednesday) with temperatures in negative figures for many parts of the country.
However, the influence of high pressure will allow for a gradual rising of temperatures in the southern half of the country in this same Wednesday to Friday period.
Initially, parts of southern and southeast England will see the most significant rises in the high teens or possibly the low 20s between now and Friday, and elsewhere, including parts much further north, will also see temperatures rising into at least the high teens in this same period.
However, low pressure will then begin to influence our overall weather pattern heading into the weekend and early next week, turning things more unsettled in the process.
The cold conditions, rising temperatures, and further unsettled weather by the weekend due to low pressure features were also ALL covered quite concisely in our dated week ahead forecast below:
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1186474043482215/?app=fbl
Additionally, our long-range subscribers weather report that was issued in early January also identified high pressure rises for these exact dates in addition to the recent wintry blast that also brought snow to Cheltenham in March (see dated forecast image below).
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1186320686830884
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
Our forecast expectations also expect another wintry blast to form on and around March 25 or possibly a little earlier or later.
Please note that EARLY APRIL has always been our favoured option for the next wintry blast, but there are some mixed and repeated signals that this could arrive earlier and the next few days model runs to come will certainly offer a better and more reliable output on our incoming weather occurrences on the ground by then.
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
James Madden: Exacta Weather
Mild To Warm In Places By Midweek + Another Wintry Blast For Around MARCH 25...
The upcoming week will see the influence of high pressure upon our overall weather pattern to bring quite a significant rise in temperatures and some ample periods of varying but pleasantly warm sunshine.
From around Wednesday/Thursday and possibly into Friday, we will see temperatures reaching at least the high teens in parts of the south and, further north, could see temperatures ranging more in the mid to high teens in this same period.
Additionally, we also can't rule out 20C or temperatures in the low 20s in some spots in the best of the sunshine during this period in the afternoons.
However, these types of high-pressure-influenced weather patterns also offer cool to cold conditions in the evenings and ground frosts are possible in some vast areas and before the strong spring sunshine burns through in the day, and also prior to giving way to more unsettled conditions towards the weekend.
This period of more settled and sunny weather will then actually pave the way for another cold and wintry episode and further snow prospects for something our forecasts have repeatedly maintained would occur on multiple occasions deep into spring this year, and the next wintry episode is set to strike in and around MARCH 25 or possibly a little earlier.
Just to reconfirm our dated forecast for this present and upcoming part of this week and into next week, it stated:
"Towards the end of the upcoming week we will also see high pressure starting to return across our shores and change the overall weather pattern back once again after these several days and expected wintry blast conditions on our part for these exact dates in our several week-ahead subscriber's forecast for March and spring 2025."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1179839670812319/?app=fbl
Additional and earlier updates also doubled down on this and stated:
“Before high pressure returns to settle things down and warm things up from around later on Saturday and into Sunday and beyond this.”
“A word of caution: as we expect further wintry blasts DEEP into spring and April this year.”
Our several-week-ahead spring report (early January) covered these exact dates (17th March onwards) and followed on from the predicted and accurate wintry blast for the exact dates too (see dated PROOF image below).
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1186320686830884
James Madden - Exacta Weather
Spring & Summer 2025 Key Weather Dates (Hot Weather, Cold Weather, Storms) + Limited Time Spring Sale!
The rest of the spring and full summer report both cover all of these upcoming weather events from now until August at a reduced price of 9.00 from 18.00 for BOTH reports.
Additionally, you can also save £75 with our 5-year subscription for 75% off for a limited time period (24.99 and usually 99.99).
Did you all know that January 2025 came in colder than average for the oldest recorded temperature dataset in the world (Mean CET) and that February 2025 is also set to come in above-average?
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html
https://exactaweather.com/winter-2024-free-report
Additionally, this is something many others were headline titling as otherwise earlier this month and something OUR winter forecast accurately depicted for BOTH from several months in advance of occurrence).
https://exactaweather.com/winter-2024-free-report
December 2024 also came in well above-average and was one of the TWO options we emphasised upon dependent on the occurrence or not of an earlier Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW).
This forecast has remained UNCHANGED over this several-month period and, as you can see for yourselves, it also identifies several exact periods for winter storms and snow dates, and also always had plenty of options for MILD weather and a mild February despite earlier cold from earlier in the year and expected atmospheric disturbances.
Also, not quite the constant and misleading snow fest or ice age winter projected from elsewhere deliberately on our part (in a nutshell, it makes competition look better and generates more revenue or advertising revenues for certain aspects of the press/journalists).
To conclusively prove this on the part of certain press, has anyone read anything about a triple SSW from myself in the below?
https://exactaweather.com/winter-2024-free-report
But they were OK with putting out misleading headlines on something I never said for this year.
Additionally, I have also stated and covered many times in digitally dated documents, posts, and videos that we fully expect the much colder and snowier winters to return from 2028 and onwards in relation to corresponding and fully expected changes to solar activity around then.
There you have it guys and exactly what I'm up against with each seasonal forecast I put out.
What can't speak and is digitally dated, can't lie!
https://exactaweather.com/winter-2024-free-report
As are the other two even more accurate long-range seasonal forecasts than went before them:
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-2024-free-report
https://exactaweather.com/summer-2024-free-report
That's me for now, guys...
Regards,
James
Yesterday (FEBRUARY 15) snow images from southern and eastern England (southeast) + WHEN will the next cold and snow be likely to arrive?
Images courtesy of X…
This was additionally covered in not just one but TWO dated updates during this week for these parts and will continue in some parts to the north and east of England this morning before becoming confined to Scotland and returning from the west of Scotland later, and again around Tuesday with the further risk of forming snow in these parts/far north.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1158588416270778/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1161535129309440/?app=fbl
Additionally, the same forecasters who were 'headline titling' NO snow for this week, also 'headline titled' a colder than average February before quickly changing it back to spring arriving early!?
Something our several month ahead forecast covered for both of these types of scenarios in February (cold/mild) and again in our earlier and dated posting below from this week, and again before these last minute changes were quickly applied elsewhere for snow on our EXACT dates once again and then again for the incoming milder weather on our part.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1160068736122746/?app=fbl
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1158279246301695/?app=fbl
However, remember those EXPECTED changes for later in the month back to snow and cold we have also been reporting upon from in and around 28th February or a little earlier.
"The next wintry blast and snow potential after the current cool-cold and wintry weather moderates from later next week could come around month end and for in and around February 28 and prior to further expected and very late wintry blasts at times in March and April (April one is quite HIGH confidence)."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1160108599452093/?app=fbl
Happy Sunday, everyone!
James Madden, Exacta Weather
Over the past several weeks, our forecasts have seen some major errors in regard to overall snow expectations and is something we (myself/Exacta) have openly admitted to.
Unfortunately, this is part and parcel of weather forecasting and reporting upon the weather and something I am not all that used to after a decent run of getting quite a lot consistently right from quite far ahead over a prolonged time period in recent years and for a multitude of some of the biggest weather events in our history since 2009 and 2010 with conclusive and dated proof of this in the below.
https://exactaweather.com/our-correct-predictions
Many others will be in their absolute element at present with the mainly damp squib of snow events that they called more accurately than myself on this occasion.
However, the weather prediction game is a results scenario and sometimes they will go the right way, and then again sometimes not, and I'm not going to beat myself up over it and lose any sleep as in previous years and months when this has occurred.
At the end of the day it is what it is, and whilst some others seem to oddly revel in the reduced snow prospects of late for obvious reasons, we must also be fair and honest and remember the several heat spikes we predicted for the exact dates throughout last summer and autumn that these same forecasters ruled out and then came around to our idea many days later on multiple occasions, the exact dates of multiple storms and their overall scale, and the very cold and snowy end to November that was never meant to happen along with the correct snow dates before any other forecasters worldwide.
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
Surely these correct and accurate predictions don't count for absolutely nothing and I will therefore concentrate and remember these correct predictions often from in the face of adversity, and use my less accurate ones to learn from and hopefully improve my overall methodology.
https://exactaweather.com/our-correct-predictions
In essence it is a hazard of the role and something I will openly admit to (forecast errors and more info in the link below) but I certainly won't be beating myself up over it or sulking about it, and we move onwards and upwards, and there aren't many forecasters who have that good of a weather prediction history with proof that they can openly and honestly own up to and promote their errors whilst moving on to add to their collection of forecasting accolades that have been more right than anything elsewhere not only recently but historically too.
https://exactaweather.com/the-exacta-weather-story
That’s me for now guys!
Thanks to all those regulars who continue to support me and remember these facts. 😘
Regards,
James Madden, Exacta Weather
UK & Ireland Week Ahead Weather Update + More Winter Storms & Heavy Snow In Places Before Some Much Quieter Weather...
The next wave of unsettled and stormy weather will start to approach from the far south of the UK and Ireland once again during this evening and into the early hours of tomorrow.
Initially this will bring rain and moderate to strong winds across the far southwest and across southern England and Ireland before spreading northwards across all other areas during tomorrow.
However, as this rain and unsettled conditions push northwards from the early hours of Monday, they will begin to turn wintry in nature and there is a good risk of some moderate to heavy and settling snow in this period in some parts of Wales to begin with and with the possibility of some less intense and transient snow in parts of eastern and western coastal areas in Ireland and southern Ireland.
From around 2AM Monday until around 9AM will then bring a significantly heightened risk for some quite heavy and settling snow across some parts of central and northern England, particularly but not restricted to some large parts of northern and northwest England and some parts of central England towards Birmingham or Nottingham during the early hours before transferring to the north and Scotland later.
The risk of further snow will continue as the next stormy bout passes through tomorrow afternoon and evening in some parts of northwest and northern England and Wales.
After a temporarily quieter run of weather, we will begin to see another stormy feature approaching from the south during Wednesday evening and into Thursday and this will initially bring further rain and strong winds to many parts of southern England and some central areas at first, before turning to potentially moderate to heavy snow during Wednesday evening and Thursday in these same localities (southern and central England) and some parts of Wales (may extend further north yet).
The good news it that this will then pave the way for some much more settled and better weather afterwards over a potentially prolonged time period, but we do expect more winter storms and the snow to return at certain points, particularly heading into spring and deep spring on our current forecasting projections.
However, around Friday 31st January could also bring some last and widely distributed snow showers across the north (at least moderate confidence and one to watch for)…
https://exactaweather.com/spring-and-summer-2025
Our dated week ahead forecast re-covered the earlier named storm we had been previously covering and the next pending one by stating:
"The 2 x expected winter storms and/or named storms (significant low-pressure areas) will then make their approach around Friday and again on Sunday/Monday, bringing with them strong to exceptionally strong winds at times and rain to begin with."
"However, it will also be cold enough at particular times during this Friday-to-Sunday/Monday period for widespread and disruptive snow showers to develop across large parts of the UK and Ireland in among these windy and stormy conditions."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1141949544601332/?app=fbl
“These strong winds could also become very strong and reach over AT LEAST 70-90 MPH in some of the worst hit regions during Friday, particularly in some western parts of the country, Scotland, and across parts of Northern Ireland.”
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1142982827831337/?app=fbl
Another earlier update stated the following about next week:
"However, the next series of the Atlantic weather influences after this from Monday to Wednesday of next week will arrive and coincide and mix with some much cooler air at times in this same period to bring further snow possibilities well into next week."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1144586867670933/?app=fbl
Yesterday's update followed this up further by also stating:
"This will then pave the way for some similar weather scenarios to develop around the middle of next week but with more of a snow risk, including more southern regions quite far south."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1145429247586695/?app=fbl
I know most people are all for the snow prospects, but I have also covered these expected winter storms and the overall scale in other areas on my part quite well...
Again, stay safe and take care!
https://exactaweather.com/uk-short-range-weather
James Madden: Exacta Weather
26/01/2025
The following two updates and videos from much earlier last year (early October 2024) explained why we are seeing so many storms (way above-average) and why they were expected to continue in the long-term autumn and winter periods.
And several major winter storms later with more to come...
Plus our dated news article covering this from several years earlier >>>
https://vm.tiktok.com/ZGdAWPLuc/
Calm Before The Expected Winter Storms & Snow...
The start of this week and the next few days will see a continuation of thick cloud cover, mist/fog in places, and some passing showers in among some fairly calm and cool weather.
However, the calm before the storm quote will be very apt here, as some strong weather systems and/or potentially named winter storms look set to push in from the Atlantic later in the week.
Prior to this and throughout Thursday, we will see those showers increasing in nature across large parts of the country, and they will also start to turn wintry and snowy, even to some lower levels across some large parts of the northern half of the UK and Ireland and in parts potentially as far south as some central regions.
The 2 x expected winter storms and/or named storms (significant low-pressure areas) will then make their approach around Friday and again on Sunday/Monday, bringing with them strong to exceptionally strong winds at times and rain to begin with.
However, it will also be cold enough at particular times during this Friday-to-Sunday/Monday period for widespread and disruptive snow showers to develop across large parts of the UK and Ireland in among these windy and stormy conditions.
Time to consider battening down those hatches for more winter storms once again (due to long-term Gulf Stream changes) and preparing for further snow!
All as previously covered in our earlier forecast expectations and further winter storms for these same dates...
May I also apologise and explain regarding the lateness of this week's more detailed week-ahead update...
Unfortunately, early Monday or at the weekend seems to have become a prime time for certain aspects of the press to continue stealing and twisting my hard forecast work (I switched it to these days to avoid this) and I really don't like having to mix things up a bit on my part to prove this and feel sort of deceitful in having to now hold back certain information from what I would have normally put out to within the public domain by now.
However, the amount of people who continue to make money out of my back and steal my work is literally at ridiculous levels and needs addressing, as they are also not thorough with what has been said and can often include misleading headlines that don't match my included "quotations."
Additionally, to prove this further and remain honest to myself and my page followers, even though a cold easterly was on the cards within other third-party model projections, did any of my updates use or mention the words "easterly" or "beast from the east" ONCE prior to or during these projections from elsewhere?
I only ever referred to the "easterly" potential once it was passing or had passed altogether, and please feel free to check this for yourself in all the dated posts below.
Additionally, I also pointed out VERY QUICKLY in numerous updates and DURING these changes from elsewhere that the alternative and equally weighted scenario would still bring winter storms, widespread snow prospects and colder conditions than anticipated with the expected timings for this for the exact dates of this week.
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1138939054902381/?app=fbl
I am also well aware that many of you are aware of this whole charade with the press and people copying and misinterpreting my hard work, but there are others who aren't and just see the version that pays and benefits the others the best.
James Madden: Exacta Weather
UK & Ireland Spring & Summer 2025 Weather Reports…
Any preorder or lifetime and 5-year subscribers who haven't already received the above reports or previous subscribers (we believe most of you have them already) please email us at the following email, and we will sort this as quickly as possible for you:
Major Cold & Wintry Weather For November + Widespread November Snow To Strike On Cue From Later This Week & Beyond!
From this upcoming weekend will see the first snow showers of the upcoming transition to some much colder weather starting to fall across parts of the north to begin with as an initially quite cold northerly for November begins to establish some expected and quite stark changes for most and if not all parts of the country during this period, as I will explain.
The developing snow showers throughout this weekend will initially be more notable across higher ground and sporadically to some lower levels at times in parts of Scotland, northern England, and Northern Ireland, and then later across some large parts of Wales and potentially to some parts of southwest England.
However, from Monday of next week and through to around Wednesday (18th-20th November) will now bring a significantly heightened risk for some widespread and potentially notable snow for November at times across some large parts of the country from the far north to the far south of the country as the widespread wintry weather and snow showers really begin to take ahold across large parts of the UK and Northern Ireland/Ireland.
Our much earlier updates on this also pinpointed the exact dates of in and around November 19-20 for these changes to start taking effect across our shores.
Additionally, a similar sort of theme is likely to play out throughout the rest of next week, and the signals are strong for the wintry weather and widespread snow risk to continue throughout much of this above period and beyond for the exact key dates we opted for in late November, for which many other forecasters were basically mocking myself/exacta and posting repeated headline titles within their weather updates about NO snow anytime soon.
Time for them to eat their own words and choke on them as a very potent period of wintry weather and quite widespread snow for November arrives on cue across our shores to deliver the first proper and major cold and wintry weather of this autumn and winter.
In essence, there is now likely to be quite a lot of snow warnings in place from this weekend and throughout much of next week, and large parts of the country will certainly experience some form of wintry weather or snow during next week, particularly in some parts of northern, eastern, central, and southern parts of the country later in this given period (heavy snow).
Additionally, our 125+ days ahead subscribers and follow-up forecasts for late November also opted for a high-confidence cold and wintry period for this exact period of November with snow in parts much further south than normal, and after all the expected high pressure rises on our part in the earlier part of the same autumn report for September to November + the earlier stormy periods for the exact dates in September and October.
Enjoy, everyone!
Regards,
James Madden: Exacta Weather
12/11/2024
Further expected widespread snow dates for December to February 2025 in the Winter Weather Outlook + What else to expect…
Temperatures peak at a very hot 34.8°C, but turning much cooler and more unsettled. When is the next heat surge likely?
It was the hottest day of the year earlier today, with temperatures falling just short of 35°C (34.8C).
Our detailed posting below and via Facebook above from 4 weeks in advance clearly depicts the incoming heat event for these exact dates by stating:
"The next opportunity of much 'higher' confidence has been repeatedly showing in our forecasts for several weeks now for in and around August 10, and the overall period of August 10-15 looks extremely favourable for some kind of major heat surge due to a strong area of high pressure pushing in across our shores (UK and Ireland)."
"It is important to note that these potential heatwaves or heat surges in August are bonus heatwaves, so to speak, and were not actually part of our original long-range summer forecast, for which we had expected a quick reversion to the predominant cooler and unsettled conditions of much of the summer to date once again."
"However, as with the mid-to-late June heat surge with temperatures exceeding 30°C, which we identified and repeated from late May onwards due to some earlier and repeated forecast indicators that were not in our original projections (still a long range forecast in itself), and this is pretty much the same for this one in and around August 10."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/995325239263764/?app=fbl
Our much earlier forecast indications for this period were also quoted in the national news several weeks ahead of time (Daily Mirror).
"Madden also identified around August 10 to August 15 as when this second "heat surge" will strike."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-faces-high-30cs-heatwave-33239125.amp
The BBC and Met Office apps were almost 10°C out (9.8C) with maximum temperatures in the UK for this period! 🌞 🔥 🥵
Our earlier and dated posting is below:
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1011786310950990/
Our posting from last week in reference to today's maximum temperatures of at least 34°C!
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1013617134101241/
Signals are ever-increasing for the hot to very hot weather to return during late August/later next week and into September...
There are currently some increasing signals for another major heat surge during late August or for one to develop over several days in and around August 20–25 (same as our weekend update on this).
Four consecutive heat surges have occurred for almost or on the exact dates on our part throughout this summer in repeated reports and updates dating anywhere from 4 to 16 weeks in advance, which therefore increases confidence to something moderately higher.
Another hot to very hot period from another high pressure build is now gaining strength for our originally earmarked period to subscribers and our earlier updates for around August 20–25, and is also something I have been covering as a possibility for recent updates.
Additionally, these high pressure rises are even more confident to continue into September at times, but with some notable caveats that have been covered in the subscriber reports and also something that I will post more details on at a later date.
Unfortunately, there is still a quite prolonged and much cooler and unsettled theme on the cards for many prior to this next heat surge, and this is also something I have been forewarning of repeatedly for much of the second half of August.
The following and subsequent dated website and Facebook updates from last week also stated the following in reference to this:
"Unfortunately, beyond this upcoming weekend does look rather cool and unsettled for the foreseeable, with the only crumb of hope coming from a potentially 'low to moderate' confidence heat burst later in August as the cool and unsettled theme becomes the more predominant feature from a more southerly driven jet stream (something we have covered predominantly over the past several months)."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1011786310950990/
"Additionally, from in and around next Wednesday (August 14th) or possibly earlier, we will see a more prolonged run for a southerly driven jet stream developing, which will in turn bring a much cooler and unsettled theme for the foreseeable future for many (you have been warned), and it could also feel quite autumnal at times for the height of summer and August."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1012948724168082/
"However, from Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, we will see areas further north turning gradually and significantly cooler and more unsettled, and this will eventually drag in most, if not all, parts of the country for a potentially prolonged period and somewhat of a potentially widespread thundery breakdown as next week progresses."
https://www.facebook.com/100063588901621/posts/1013617134101241/
The subsequent Daily Mirror articles from earlier last month (July) and earlier last week also stated:
Madden reckons the second half of August will bring "some much cooler and unsettled weather."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-faces-high-30cs-heatwave-33239125.amp
Exacta Weather forecaster James Madden said: "At the very least, we are going to see temperatures well in excess of 30C to 35C in the hottest parts of the country later this week!"
Madden did add that, after this upcoming weekend, conditions do "look rather cool and unsettled for the foreseeable."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-weather-exact-dates-heatwave-33398643
But the summer and sun will still be returning, plus for Ireland too.
More forecast details are to follow on this shortly.
James Madden: Exacta Weather
12/08/2024, 20:00
UK & Ireland Autumn and Winter 2024/25 Weather Reports 🍂🍃❄️🌨️🥶
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
This is currently the only section that is monetized via Exacta Weather, and any revenue generated will simply be reinvested in trying to cover running costs and future free services via the website or apps.
This works out at less than £4 per report for 5 reports in total and is for those in need of a longer-range forecast for business or commercial requirements.
1 x 4-page Autumn 2024 report upon purchase (September - December)
1 x SSW report and dates for early winter 2024/25 upon purchase
1 x September 2024 report in August
1 x October 2024 report in September
1 x November 2024 report in October
Instant email delivery upon purchase
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
Temperatures start to rise today as a HOT SUMMER WEEKEND arrives on cue for many!
From today (Thursday), we will see high pressure starting to push in across our shores, and this will start to influence a significant rise in temperatures from today and into this weekend.
This will initially see temperatures reaching or nearing 20°C throughout this afternoon quite widely, and some parts of the southeast could see temperatures reaching or passing 25°C later today.
Throughout tomorrow (Friday), we will once again see temperatures reaching or nearing 20°C quite widely, and the heat will start to become more extensive across parts of southern and eastern England, where temperatures will rise into the mid- to high 20s in some places during Friday afternoon.
A similar theme and temperatures will continue into Saturday (10th AUGUST), before things really turn up a notch throughout Sunday and into Monday, when temperatures could reach as high as 32-34°C in some parts of southern and eastern England.
Additionally, temperatures are also likely to reach into the mid- to high 20s at the peak of this in many other parts of the country during this Sunday to Monday period.
Even some heat-starved and large parts of Ireland and certain parts of Scotland are also likely to see temperatures ranging in the low to mid-20s at the peak of these developments during this same period, particularly on Sunday.
Warm to summery conditions but not as hot as the previous days, then look to cling on for at least another 2-4 days in parts of the south of the country during the next week to begin with.
However, from Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, we will see areas further north turning gradually and significantly cooler and more unsettled, and this will eventually drag in most, if not all, parts of the country for a potentially prolonged period and somewhat of a potentially widespread thundery breakdown as next week progresses.
Our update from earlier in the week also stated the following in reference to the above forecast details when there were no such indications from elsewhere:
"From in and around Wednesday and THURSDAY, we will see temperatures rising significantly once again as high pressure rises across our shores throughout this period and into THIS WEEKEND, delivering a much more summery and hot theme than current app indications."
"Another forced check of the current BBC and Met Office apps for this period and later this week are showing some very unsettled conditions and temperatures no higher than 19°C for my own location in Lancashire and no higher than 25°C for London."
Our much earlier forecast indications for this period in late June were also quoted in the national news in early July (Daily Mirror).
The same article also correctly covered the mid- and late-July heat surges and the incoming one at present before any other forecaster or forecasting company that is finally in recognition of this now.
"Madden also identified around August 10 to August 15 as when this second "heat surge" will strike."
"Madden reckons the second half of August will bring "some much cooler and unsettled weather."
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-faces-high-30cs-heatwave-33239125.amp
James Madden: Exacta Weather
08/08/2024 - 05:00
UK & Ireland Autumn and Winter 2024/25 Weather Reports 🍂🍃❄️🌨️🥶
The forecasts are reduced by 50% in a limited-time offer until 5 p.m.
https://exactaweather.com/autumn-and-winter-2024%2F25
War Of The Weathermen Important Update...
I've literally only just spotted this one now, everyone, as I've started checking news and media articles periodically (to avoid any confusion from other contributors within the same articles for myself).
It is unusual for a national news article to do such a piece, but there are also some very true statements contained throughout by myself, and the Daily Star has done a great job of covering this "war of the weathermen." 😂
I wondered why the Met Office tried dressing up a new type of long-range weather forecast recently too. 😂
Thanks
https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/weathermen-war-met-office-slammed-33381917
Additionally, all our correct forecast predictions since 2010 are contained within the following links below, plus proof of this (something similar from a 170-year establishment compared to my 14 years would be nice to see):
https://exactaweather.com/the-exacta-weather-story
https://exactaweather.com/our-correct-predictions
James Madden: Exacta Weather
07/08/2024 - 07:00